Jaguars vs Commanders Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 1 – September 11, 2022

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On Sunday, September 11, 2022, the Washington Commanders (0-0) and the Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) match up at FedExField.

Commanders vs. Jaguars Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing the Commanders as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Commanders have -150 odds to pick up the win, while the Jaguars are listed at +130 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 44 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Commanders vs. Jaguars Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Landover, Maryland
  • Stadium: FedExField

Betting Preview


  • The average points scored by the Commanders last season, 19.7, was 7.2 fewer than the 26.9 the Jaguars gave up per game.
  • Washington was 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 overall in games when it put up over 26.9 points last season.
  • The Commanders’ offense averaged 323.6 yards per game last year, 29.5 yards fewer than the 353.1 allowed by the Jaguars’ defense. The Commanders averaged 5.1 yards per play, while the Jaguars allowed 5.6.
  • In games that Washington piled up over 353.1 yards last year, the team was 3-3 against the spread and 4-2 overall.
  • The Commanders averaged 121.2 yards on the ground last year, just 3.9 yards fewer than the Jaguars allowed to opposing rushing attacks (125.1).
  • Washington had a 3-3 ATS record and a 3-3 overall record when the team ran for over 125.1 yards last year.


  • The Commanders allowed an average of 25.5 points last year, 10.6 more than the 14.9 the Jaguars put on the board.
  • The Commanders’ defense surrendered 359.3 yards per game last year, 53.9 more than the 305.4 the Jaguars’ offense accumulated. The Jaguars picked up 5.0 yards per play and the Commanders conceded 5.7.
  • In games that Jacksonville picked up over 359.3 yards last year, the team was 1-4 against the spread and 1-4 overall.
  • The Commanders’ defense allowed an average of 104.4 yards to opposing running games last season. That is about the same as the rushing output per contest for the Jaguars (103.2).
  • When Jacksonville rushed for more than 104.4 yards last year it had a 2-5 ATS record and a 0-7 overall record.

Commanders vs. Jaguars Injury Report


Washington: No Injuries Listed


Jaguars: No Injuries Listed

Commanders vs. Jaguars Betting Analysis

Commanders Betting Insights

  • The Commanders beat the spread seven times in 17 games last year.
  • As a 3-point favorite or more, the Commanders had one win ATS (1-1) last year.
  • Washington was favored on the moneyline four total times last season. They finished 3-1 in those games.
  • Washington played as a moneyline favorite of -150 or shorter in just two games last season, and it won both.
  • In 17 Commanders games last season, seven hit the over.

Jaguars Betting Insights

  • The Jaguars covered the spread five times in 17 games last season.
  • The Jaguars had an ATS record of 4-8 as underdogs of 3 points or more last season.
  • Jacksonville won three, or 20%, of the 15 games it played as underdogs last season.
  • Jacksonville had a record of 2-10, a 16.7% win rate, when it was set as an underdog of +130 or more by bookmakers last season.
  • Last season, five of the Jaguars’ 17 games went over the point total.

Commanders vs. Jaguars Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.4 46.7 44.2
Implied Total AVG 25.4 25.9 25.0
ATS Record 7-10-0 3-5-0 4-5-0
Over/Under Record 7-10-0 2-6-0 5-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 1-1 2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 4-9 2-4 2-5


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.7 46.2 45.1
Implied Total AVG 26.8 26.7 26.9
ATS Record 5-12-0 3-6-0 2-6-0
Over/Under Record 5-12-0 2-7-0 3-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-2 0-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-12 3-5 0-7

Players to Watch


  • Over the course of 17 games played last year for the Colts, Carson Wentz amassed 3,563 passing yards, with 27 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against seven interceptions and completing 62.4% of his passes.
  • He added 215 yards on the ground, with one rushing touchdown. He averaged 12.6 yards per game and 3.8 per attempt.
  • In 16 games, Taylor Heinicke had 3,419 passing yards, with 20 touchdowns against 15 interceptions and completing 65.0% of his passes.
  • He also added 313 rushing yards, with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 19.6 yards per game and 5.2 per carry).
  • Antonio Gibson averaged 64.8 rushing yards per game last season (1,037 total yards to rank sixth in the NFL), while scoring seven rushing touchdowns.
  • In addition to his ground game, Gibson pulled down 42 passes (on 52 targets) for 294 yards with three receiving touchdowns. He averaged 18.4 yards per game.
  • Terry McLaurin had 77 catches for 1,053 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He averaged 4.5 yards per game over 17 games and was targeted 130 times.
  • Cole Holcomb put up 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL, 142 tackles, and two interceptions over 16 games in 2021.
  • Jonathan Allen totaled 9.0 sacks in addition to his 10.0 TFL and 62 tackles in 17 games.
  • Kendall Fuller had 77 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one interception in the 2021 season.
  • Kamren Curl had 1.0 sack to go with 2.0 TFL and 99 tackles in 16 games.


  • Trevor Lawrence last season piled up 3,641 passing yards with 12 passing touchdowns, 17 interceptions and a 59.6% completion percentage.
  • Lawrence made a difference with his legs, too, running for 334 yards and two TDs.
  • As a runner, James Robinson compiled 767 rushing yards with eight touchdowns.
  • Robinson had 31 receptions (2.2 per game) for 222 yards (15.9 per game) and zero TDs.
  • Last year for the Cardinals, Christian Kirk grabbed 77 balls on 103 targets for 982 yards and five touchdowns.
  • Marvin Jones Jr. got 120 targets last season and turned them into 73 receptions (4.3 per game) for 832 yards and four TDs.
  • Foyesade Oluokun helped spur the Falcons’ defense last season with 192 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and three interceptions in 17 games.
  • Josh Allen accumulated 7.5 sacks to go along with 12.0 TFL, 71 tackles, and one interception in 16 games.
  • In 15 games, Andrew Wingard totaled 88 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and one interception.
  • A big player on defense, Tyson Campbell had two interceptions to go with 72 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 10 passes defended.

Commanders vs. Jaguars Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Commanders, and we predict that Commanders will cover the spread (Commanders -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 44 points.

How to Bet on Commanders vs. Jaguars

You can bet on Commanders vs. Jaguars at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Commanders vs. Jaguars picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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