Dolphins vs. Steelers Prediction: Week 7 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – October 2022

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On Sunday, October 23, 2022, the Miami Dolphins (3-3) host the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-4) at Hard Rock Stadium and will attempt to end a three-game losing streak.

Dolphins vs. Steelers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Dolphins as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Dolphins have -330 odds to pick up the win, while the Steelers are listed at +275 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 44.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Dolphins vs. Steelers Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBC
  • Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
  • Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium

Betting Preview


The Dolphins are totaling 366.2 yards per game on offense this year (eighth in NFL), and they are giving up 361.3 yards per game (23rd) on the defensive side of the ball. The Dolphins are totaling 21.8 points per game on offense, which ranks them 18th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 27th, allowing 25.8 points per contest.

The Dolphins rank 24th in pass defense this year (256.7 passing yards allowed per game), but they’ve been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 285.0 passing yards per game. While the Dolphins’ run defense ranks 11th with 104.7 rushing yards allowed per game, they’ve been worse on offense, ranking third-worst (81.2 rushing yards per game).

The Dolphins are putting up a 38.2% third-down conversion rate on offense (21st in the NFL), and they rank 27th on defense with a 44.0% third-down percentage allowed. Offensively, the Dolphins have been a top-five unit in terms of yards per play, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by averaging 6.1 yards per play. They rank 25th on defense (5.9 yards per play allowed). The Dolphins own the fifth-worst turnover margin in the league at -5, forcing four turnovers (28th in NFL) while turning it over nine times (22nd in NFL).


The Steelers have struggled on both offense and defense this season, ranking fourth-worst in total offense (291.5 total yards per game) and fourth-worst in total defense (398.0 total yards allowed per game). The Steelers have been sputtering offensively, ranking third-worst in the NFL with 16.2 points per game. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, surrendering 24.3 points per contest (22nd-ranked).

The Steelers rank 25th in passing yards per game (204.8), but they’ve been less effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-worst in the NFL with 277.8 passing yards allowed per contest. The Steelers’ running game has been struggling, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 86.7 rushing yards per game. They have been better defensively, surrendering 120.2 rushing yards per contest (18th-ranked).

From an offensive perspective, the Steelers are putting up a 38.3% third-down conversion rate (20th-ranked). They rank 26th in the NFL defensively (43.7% third-down rate allowed). The Steelers’ offense has not been getting things done in terms of yards per play, ranking third-worst in the NFL at 4.8. They have been more productive on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering 5.7 yards per play (19th-ranked). At +1, the Steelers have the 13th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL, with 10 forced turnovers (fifth in NFL) and nine turnovers committed (22nd in NFL).

Dolphins vs. Steelers Injury Report


Player Pos. Injury Status
Trey Flowers LB Foot Out
Nik Needham CB Achilles Out
Christian Wilkins DT Hand Questionable
Greg Little OT Achilles Questionable
Jaylen Waddle WR Shoulder Questionable
Emmanuel Ogbah DE Back Questionable
Keion Crossen DB Knee Doubtful
Durham Smythe TE Hamstring Questionable
Terron Armstead OT Toe Questionable
Kader Kohou CB Oblique Questionable
Skylar Thompson QB Thumb Questionable


Player Pos. Injury Status
James Pierre CB Hip Questionable
Damontae Kazee FB Wrist Questionable
Steven Sims WR Hamstring Out
Ahkello Witherspoon CB Hamstring Doubtful

Dolphins vs. Steelers Betting Analysis

Dolphins Betting Insights

The Dolphins have covered the spread three times in six games with a set spread.

Dolphins games have gone over the total twice this season. The Dolphins went 5-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 71.4% of those games).

The Dolphins played as a moneyline favorite of -330 or shorter in just one game last season, which they won.

Steelers Betting Insights

The Steelers are 2-3-1 against the spread this season. The Steelers are 1-1 ATS when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.

This season, Steelers games have hit the over twice. The Steelers have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won twice.

The Steelers have entered two games this season as the underdog by +275 or more and are 1-1 in those contests.

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Dolphins vs. Steelers Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.3 48.3 46.2
Implied Total AVG 25.7 26.0 25.3
ATS Record 3-3-0 2-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 0-3-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-1 1-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.4 42.5 42.3
Implied Total AVG 24.8 24.0 25.7
ATS Record 2-3-1 1-1-1 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 1-2-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-3 1-1 1-2

Players to Watch


  • Tyreek Hill’s 701 receiving yards this season (first in the NFL) have come from 50 receptions (second in the NFL) on 65 targets. He’s averaging 8.3 catches and 116.8 yards per game, with two receiving touchdowns.
  • Jaylen Waddle’s 533 receiving yards this season (fifth in the NFL) have come from 48 targets and 30 receptions. He’s averaging 88.8 receiving yards and 5.0 catches per game, with three receiving touchdowns.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has 1,035 passing yards through four games this year, averaging 258.8 per game with a 69.6% completion percentage and eight touchdowns against three interceptions.
  • In the ground game, Raheem Mostert averages 4.4 yards per attempt (32nd in the NFL) and 51.5 yards per game for 309 total rushing yards. He has recorded one rushing touchdown this season.
  • He’s added eight catches (on 14 targets) for 64 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He’s averaging 10.7 receiving yards and 1.3 receptions per game.
  • On defense, Brandon Jones has 42 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and three passes defended in 2022.
  • Jevon Holland has 28 tackles, 1.5 sacks, and one interception so far this season.
  • Jerome Baker has recorded 33 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two passes defended.
  • This season, Elandon Roberts has 35 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks.


  • Mitchell Trubisky is averaging 6.2 passing yards per attempt (35th in the NFL) and 159.4 yards per game this year, completing 60.9% of his passes on the way to 797 total yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions through five games.
  • Trubisky has also rushed for one touchdown and 29 yards (fifth on the Steelers).
  • Najee Harris averages 44.0 rushing yards per game through six games (264 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
  • Harris also has 15 catches for 71 yards (sixth on the Steelers), with two receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 18 times and averages 11.8 yards per game.
  • This season, Chase Claypool has caught 23 passes for 225 receiving yards with one touchdown in the passing game. He has been targeted 36 total times and is averaging 3.8 receptions per game through six games played.
  • In three games, Kenny Pickett has 514 passing yards, with one touchdown against four interceptions and completing 66.3% of his passes.
  • He has tacked on 41 rushing yards (fourth on the Steelers), while scoring two touchdowns on the ground (averaging 13.7 yards per game and 4.6 per carry).
  • So far in 2022, Alex Highsmith has 26 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 6.5 sacks over six games.
  • Myles Jack has 57 tackles and two passes defended.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick has 33 tackles and three interceptions in the 2022 campaign. He is third on the Steelers in tackles.
  • Cameron Heyward’s stats include 25 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and two passes defended in six games

Dolphins vs. Steelers Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is the Dolphins, and we expect that Dolphins will cover the spread (Dolphins -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 44.5 points.

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How to Bet on Dolphins vs. Steelers

You can bet on Dolphins vs. Steelers at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Dolphins vs. Steelers picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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