Dolphins vs. Lions Prediction: Week 8 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – October 2022

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As they try to end a four-game losing streak, the Detroit Lions (1-5) host the Miami Dolphins (4-3) at Ford Field on Sunday, October 30, 2022.

Dolphins vs. Lions Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Dolphins as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Dolphins have -180 odds to pick up the win, while the Lions are listed at +155 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 51.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Dolphins vs. Lions Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Ford Field

Betting Preview

Dolphins

The Dolphins rank 10th in total offense (367.0 yards per game) and 21st in total defense (358.4 yards allowed per game) this year. The Dolphins are compiling 21.0 points per game on offense, which ranks them 19th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 23rd, allowing 23.6 points per game.

Offensively, the Dolphins have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards, ranking third-best in the NFL by compiling 281.6 per game. They rank 24th on defense (255.1 passing yards allowed per game). The Dolphins rank fourth-worst in rushing offense (85.4 rushing yards per game), but they’ve been better on defense, ranking eighth with 103.3 rushing yards allowed per game.

The Dolphins are averaging a 36.6% third-down conversion rate on offense this year (22nd in NFL), and they are giving up a 41.6% third-down percentage (21st) on the defensive side of the ball. The Dolphins have the 22nd-ranked defense this year in terms of yards per play (5.8 yards per play allowed), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with 6.1 yards per play. With seven forced turnovers (23rd in NFL) against nine turnovers committed (16th in NFL), the Dolphins’ -2 turnover margin ranks 21st in the league.

Lions

Defensively, the Lions are bottom-five, giving up 412.2 total yards per game (worst). Fortunately, they are thriving on the offensive side of the ball, putting up 395.2 total yards per contest (fourth-best). The Lions’ defense has been a bottom-five unit in scoring defense this season, conceding 32.3 points per game, which ranks worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank ninth with 24.3 points per contest.

In terms of passing, the Lions rank ninth in the NFL (249.5 passing yards per game) and 22nd defensively (249.3 passing yards allowed per contest). The Lions rank seventh in rushing yards per game (145.7), but they’ve been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking second-worst in the NFL with 162.8 rushing yards surrendered per contest.

The Lions have been struggling on third down, ranking second-worst with a 47.9% third-down conversion rate allowed per game. They have been more productive on the other side of the ball, posting a 36.5% third-down rate (24th-ranked). While the Lions’ defense has been stuck in neutral, ranking worst by surrendering 6.4 yards per play, their offense is fourth-best with 6.1 yards per play. The Lions sport a bottom-five turnover margin this season, third-worst at -6.

Dolphins vs. Lions Injury Report

Dolphins

Player Pos. Injury Status
Durham Smythe TE Hamstring Questionable
River Cracraft WR Neck Out
Thomas Morstead P Illness Questionable
Tanner Conner TE Knee Questionable
Xavien Howard CB Groin Questionable
Emmanuel Ogbah DE Back Questionable

Lions

Player Pos. Injury Status
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR Concussion Questionable
Jonah Jackson OG Neck Questionable
Matt Nelson OT Calf Out
Mike Hughes CB Knee Out
Chase Lucas CB Ankle Out

Dolphins vs. Lions Betting Analysis

Dolphins Betting Insights

The Dolphins have covered the spread three times this season (3-4-0). The Dolphins have not covered the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.

This season, Dolphins games have hit the over twice. The Dolphins won 71.4% of the games last season when they were favored on the moneyline (5-2).

The Dolphins won all four games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -180 or shorter.

Lions Betting Insights

The Lions have gone 3-3-0 against the spread this season. The Lions are 2-1 ATS when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.

Games involving Lions have hit the over four times this season. This season, the Lions have been the underdog five times and won one of those games.

This season, the Lions have been at least a +155 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.

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Dolphins vs. Lions Against The Spread & Betting Records

Dolphins

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 46.9 47.4 46.2
Implied Total AVG 25.7 26.0 25.3
ATS Record 3-4-0 2-2-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-5-0 0-4-0 2-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 2-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-1 1-1

Lions

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.1 48.5 49.7
Implied Total AVG 26.5 25.7 27.3
ATS Record 3-3-0 2-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-2-0 3-0-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 1-1 0-3

Players to Watch

Dolphins

  • Tyreek Hill has brought down 57 passes (first in the NFL) on 78 targets for 773 total yards (first in the NFL) and two touchdowns. He is averaging 8.1 catches and 110.4 yards per game over seven games played.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has 1,296 passing yards, nine touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and three interceptions this year. He has completed 67.3% of his passes, averaging 259.2 yards per game and 8.6 per attempt.
  • Jaylen Waddle has three touchdown catches this season, and has 34 catches for 621 yards (fourth in the NFL) on 53 targets, while averaging 4.9 catches and 88.7 yards per game.
  • In the ground game, Raheem Mostert averages 4.5 yards per attempt (29th in the NFL) and 55.4 yards per game for 388 total rushing yards. He has scored one rushing touchdown this season.
  • Mostert has been targeted 19 times to the tune of 12 receptions, 94 yards and one TD.
  • Over on defense, Jevon Holland has 33 tackles, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions in 2022.
  • Jerome Baker has 37 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks this season.
  • Christian Wilkins has collected 39 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks so far this year. He’s second on the Dolphins in tackles.
  • This season, Elandon Roberts has 38 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks. He’s third on the Dolphins in tackles.

Lions

  • Through six games played this year, Jared Goff has amassed 1,583 passing yards, with 11 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) against six interceptions and completing 62.3% of his passes.
  • Jamaal Williams has scored six rushing touchdowns, while totaling 411 rushing yards (4.5 per carry and 68.5 per game).
  • This season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has caught 28 passes for 275 receiving yards with three touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 40 total times and is averaging 5.6 receptions per game in five games played.
  • T.J. Hockenson has 23 catches for 315 yards and three receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.8 yards per game through six games and has been targeted 39 times.
  • DeShon Elliott has intercepted one pass to go with 48 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one pass defended in 2022.
  • Alex Anzalone has 1.5 sacks (second on the Lions) to go with 2.0 TFL and 46 tackles.
  • Malcolm Rodriguez has recorded 2.0 TFL and 39 tackles in the 2022 season.
  • Jeff Okudah’s stats include 39 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended in six games

Dolphins vs. Lions Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Dolphins, and we predict that Dolphins will cover the spread (Dolphins -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 51.5 points.

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How to Bet on Dolphins vs. Lions

You can bet on Dolphins vs. Lions at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Dolphins vs. Lions picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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