Commanders vs Texans Prediction: Week 11 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – November 20, 2022

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The Houston Texans (1-7-1) will have their eyes set on halting their four-game losing streak when they collide with the Washington Commanders (5-5) at NRG Stadium on Sunday, November 20, 2022.

Commanders vs. Texans Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing the Commanders as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Commanders have -165 odds to pick up the win, while the Texans are listed at +140 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 41 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Commanders vs. Texans Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Stadium: NRG Stadium

Betting Preview

Commanders

The Commanders are totaling 324.1 yards per game offensively this season (25th in NFL), and they are surrendering 324.1 yards per game (10th) on the defensive side of the ball. The Commanders are putting up 19.1 points per game offensively this year (25th in NFL), and they are allowing 21.3 points per game (15th) on the other side of the ball.

The Commanders are totaling 211.7 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 22nd in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, they rank 15th, giving up 212.7 passing yards per contest. From an offensive standpoint, the Commanders rank 20th in the NFL with 112.4 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 12th in rushing yards allowed per contest (111.4).

From an offensive standpoint, the Commanders rank 23rd in the NFL with a 37.7% third-down conversion rate. Meanwhile, they rank sixth in third-down conversion rate allowed (34.7%). The Commanders have been a bottom-five offense in terms of yards per play this year, ranking third-worst with 4.8 yards per play. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 16th in the NFL (5.5 yards per play allowed). The Commanders have forced 11 total turnovers (18th in NFL) this season and have turned it over 13 times (18th in NFL) for a turnover margin of -2, 21st-ranked in the NFL.

Texans

The Texans have been outplayed on both offense and defense this season, ranking fourth-worst in total offense (301.2 total yards per game) and third-worst in total defense (394.7 total yards allowed per game). The Texans have been sputtering on offense, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 16.6 points per game. They have been better on the other side of the ball, surrendering 23 points per contest (20th-ranked).

With 199.4 passing yards per game on offense, the Texans rank 24th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 16th, allowing 212.9 passing yards per contest. The Texans rank 26th in rushing yards per game (101.8), but they’ve been worse defensively, ranking worst in the NFL with 181.8 rushing yards allowed per contest.

The Texans’ offense has not been getting things done on third down, ranking third-worst in the NFL with a 31% third-down conversion rate. They have been more effective on defense, surrendering a 42.2% third-down rate (24th-ranked). The Texans’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards given up per play, ranking fifth-worst at 5.9. They have been better on offense, compiling 5.2 yards per play (22nd-ranked). After forcing 11 turnovers (18th in NFL) and turning the ball over 11 times (13th in NFL) this season, the Texans own the 14th-ranked turnover margin of 0.

Commanders vs. Texans Injury Report

Commanders

Player Pos. Injury Status
J.D. McKissic RB Neck Out
Jonathan Williams RB Knee Questionable
Armani Rogers TE Knee Out
David Mayo LB Hamstring Questionable
Cole Holcomb LB Foot Out
Christian Holmes CB Hamstring Questionable

Texans

Player Pos. Injury Status
Neville Hewitt LB Hamstring Out
Derek Stingley Jr. DB Hamstring Out

Commanders vs. Texans Betting Analysis

Commanders Betting Insights

The Commanders have gone 6-4-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 3-point favorites or more, the Commanders have a perfect ATS record of 1-0.

Commanders games have gone over the total four times this season. The Commanders won 75% of the games last season when they were favored on the moneyline (3-1).

The Commanders played as a moneyline favorite of -165 or shorter in only two games last season, and they won both.

Texans Betting Insights

The Texans have covered the spread five times in nine games with a set spread. The Texans have an ATS record of 5-3 when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.

Games involving Texans have hit the over four times this year. This season, the Texans have been the underdog nine times and won one of those games.

This season, the Texans have won one of their eight games when they’re the underdog by at least +140 on the moneyline.

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Commanders vs. Texans Against The Spread & Betting Records

Commanders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43 43.7 42.2
Implied Total AVG 23.4 23.6 23.2
ATS Record 6-4-0 3-2-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 2-3-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-3 1-2 2-1

Texans

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.6 44 43.2
Implied Total AVG 25.4 26 25
ATS Record 5-4-0 2-2-0 3-2-0
Over/Under Record 4-5-0 2-2-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 0-0 0-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-7-1 0-3-1 1-4

Players to Watch

Commanders

  • On the ground, Antonio Gibson averages 3.6 yards per attempt (56th in the NFL) and 37.2 yards per game for 372 total rushing yards. He has scored three rushing touchdowns this season.
  • He has also caught 34 passes (on 41 targets) for 253 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He’s averaging 25.3 receving yards and 3.4 catches per game.
  • Terry McLaurin has caught 46 passes on 73 targets for 737 total yards (eighth in the NFL) and two touchdowns. He is averaging 4.6 catches and 73.7 yards per game through 10 games.
  • In 10 games played, Curtis Samuel is averaging 48.3 yards and 4.7 receptions per game to total 483 receiving yards and 47 catches. He’s been targeted 70 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
  • Taylor Heinicke has 840 passing yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He has completed 62% of his passes, averaging 210 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
  • In addition to his passing statistics, Heinicke also has 60 yards on the ground (sixth on the Commanders), with one rushing touchdown.
  • On the defensive side, Jonathan Allen has 35 tackles, nine TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception in 2022.
  • Da’Ron Payne has 38 tackles, nine TFL, and 5.5 sacks so far this season.
  • Jamin Davis has collected 52 tackles, six TFL, and three sacks this year.
  • So far this season, Montez Sweat has 28 tackles, seven TFL, and four sacks.

Texans

  • Dameon Pierce has rushed for three touchdowns this year, and has 772 total rushing yards (85.8 per game and 4.7 per carry).
  • On top of his impact on the ground, Pierce has caught 22 passes (on 27 targets) for 126 yards (eighth on the Texans), with one receiving touchdown. He’s averaging 14 yards per game.
  • Davis Mills has 1,975 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions. His completion percentage is 62.4% and he averages 219.4 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt.
  • Eno Benjamin is averaging 29.9 rushing yards per game this season (299 total yards), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
  • Benjamin has helped out in the passing attack, amassing 184 receiving yards (18.4 per game) on 24 catches (2.4 per game), while being targeted 33 times. He is looking for his first receiving touchdown.
  • Brandin Cooks has 391 receiving yards and one touchdown from 36 receptions after getting 60 targets.
  • Jonathan Owens has 80 tackles and two passes defended in 2022.
  • Jalen Pitre’s stat sheet includes two interceptions as well as 65 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
  • During the 2022 season, Christian Kirksey has 64 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and one interception through nine games.
  • Jerry Hughes’ stat sheet includes one interception as well as 23 tackles, eight TFL, eight sacks, and one pass defended in nine games

Commanders vs. Texans Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Commanders, and we predict that Commanders will cover the spread (Commanders -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 41 points.

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How to Bet on Commanders vs. Texans

You can bet on Commanders vs. Texans at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Commanders vs. Texans picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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