Commanders vs Packers Prediction: Odds, Picks & Betting Preview Week 7 – October 2022

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Sunday, October 23, 2022 will see the Green Bay Packers (3-3) go on the road to challenge the Washington Commanders (2-4) at FedExField.

Packers vs. Commanders Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Packers as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Packers have -215 odds to pick up the win, while the Commanders are listed at +185 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 41.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Packers vs. Commanders Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Landover, Maryland
  • Stadium: FedExField

Betting Preview


The Packers sport the 15th-ranked offense this year (348.2 yards per game), and they’ve been even better defensively, ranking fifth-best with just 299.2 yards allowed per game. The Packers are totaling 17.8 points per game on offense this season (24th in NFL), and they are allowing 20.5 points per game (15th) on the defensive side of the ball.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Packers have been a top-five unit in terms of passing yards, ranking best by surrendering just 164.0 passing yards per game. They rank 16th on offense (225.8 passing yards per game). The Packers rank 13th in run offense (122.3 rushing yards per game) and 27th in run defense (135.2 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.

The Packers rank 19th in third-down percentage this year (38.4%), but they’ve been playing really well on defense, ranking best in the NFL with a 26.6% third-down percentage allowed. The Packers are allowing 5.4 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (13th in the NFL), while accumulating 5.4 per play (15th in the league) on offense this season. The Packers rank 27th in the NFL with a -4 turnover margin after forcing 4 turnovers (28th in the NFL) and committing eight (14th in the NFL).


The Commanders rank 24th with 320.3 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 18th with 353.3 total yards ceded per contest on the defensive side of the ball. The Commanders rank fourth-worst in points per game (17.0), but they’ve been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 18th in the NFL with 22.5 points ceded per contest.

In terms of passing, the Commanders rank 17th in the NFL (224.8 passing yards per game) and 16th defensively (221.5 passing yards allowed per contest). The Commanders are generating 95.5 rushing yards per game on offense this season (24th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 131.8 rushing yards per contest (25th-ranked) on defense.

The Commanders’ third-down defense has been leading the charge for the team, as they rank third-best in the NFL with a 31.7% third-down conversion percentage allowed. In terms of offense, they are putting up a 35.4% third-down rate, which ranks 26th. The Commanders’ offense has been sputtering in terms of yards per play, ranking third-worst in the NFL at 4.8. They have been more effective on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering 5.6 yards per play (17th-ranked). The Commanders have forced three turnovers this season and have turned the ball over eight times, leading to a -5 turnover margin that is fifth-worst in the NFL.

Packers vs. Commanders Injury Report


Player Pos. Injury Status
Randall Cobb WR Ankle Out
Jake Hanson FB Biceps Out
Christian Watson WR Hamstring Out


Player Pos. Injury Status
John Bates TE Hamstring Questionable
Tariq Castro-Fields CB Knee Out
William Jackson III CB Back Out
Jonathan Williams RB Knee Out
Carson Wentz QB Finger Out
Samuel Cosmi OT Thumb Questionable
Jahan Dotson WR Hamstring Questionable
Logan Thomas TE Calf Out
Dyami Brown WR Groin Out

Packers vs. Commanders Betting Analysis

Packers Betting Insights

The Packers have covered the spread two times over six games with a set spread. The Packers have an ATS record of 1-3 when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.

Games involving the Packers have hit the over twice this season. The Packers went 10-3 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 76.9% of those games).

The Packers won all eight games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -215 or shorter.

Commanders Betting Insights

The Commanders have covered the spread twice over six games with a set spread. The Commanders have not covered the spread when they are at least 4.5-point underdogs (0-1).

Games involving the Commanders have hit the over twice this season. The Commanders have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Commanders have played as an underdog of +185 or more once this season and lost that game.

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Packers vs. Commanders Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.9 42.3 44.3
Implied Total AVG 24.8 25.8 23.0
ATS Record 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 2-2-0 0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-2 2-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 43.6 44.5 42.7
Implied Total AVG 23.2 24.0 22.3
ATS Record 2-4-0 1-2-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 1-2-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Players to Watch


  • Aaron Rodgers has passed for 1,403 yards, nine touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and three interceptions this year. He is averaging 233.8 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt, while completing 67.0% of his passes.
  • Aaron Jones has put up 409 rushing yards (ninth in the NFL) with one touchdown (68.2 yards per game over six games). His 5.8 yards per attempt rank eighth in the NFL.
  • He has caught 17 passes (on 23 targets) for 123 receiving yards with one touchdown. He’s averaging 20.5 receiving yards and 2.8 catches per game.
  • In the passing attack, Allen Lazard, has contributed with 285 receiving yards and four touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) after grabbing 20 balls on 34 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 57.0 yards and 4.0 receptions in five games.
  • In the ground game, A.J. Dillon averages 3.9 yards per attempt (44th in the NFL) and 47.7 yards per game for 286 total rushing yards. He has recorded one rushing touchdown this season.
  • Dillon’s 20 receiving targets have resulted in 13 receptions (2.2 per game) for 80 yards (13.3 per game) and zero TDs.
  • Over on defense, Rashan Gary has 26 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 6.0 sacks in 2022.
  • De’Vondre Campbell has 49 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one pass defended.
  • Quay Walker has recorded 40 tackles and 1.0 TFL so far this year.
  • This season, Preston Smith has 19 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks.


  • So far this year in six games, Antonio Gibson has churned out 214 rushing yards (leading the Commanders) and scored two rushing touchdowns. He averages 35.7 yards per game and 3.5 per attempt (53rd in the NFL).
  • Gibson’s offensive contributions include 19 receptions (3.2 per game) on 24 targets for 152 yards (25.3 per game), but he has not scored a touchdown in the passing game.
  • Terry McLaurin has put together a 2022 stat sheet that includes 22 catches for 367 yards and one receiving touchdown in six games played. He has been on the receiving end of 37 targets and is averaging 3.7 receptions per game.
  • Through six games played this season, Curtis Samuel has 34 catches (5.7 receptions per game on 8.3 targets per game) for 287 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
  • Jahan Dotson has been targeted 22 times, resulting in 12 catches for 152 yards (fifth in the NFL).
  • Jonathan Allen has 3.5 sacks (first on the Commanders) to go with 5.0 TFL, 23 tackles, and one interception through six games so far in 2022.
  • Cole Holcomb’s stat sheet includes 59 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended.
  • During the 2022 season, Montez Sweat has 21 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 3.0 sacks through six games.
  • Da’Ron Payne has 21 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and three passes defended.

Packers vs. Commanders Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is the Commanders, and we predict that Commanders will cover the spread (Packers -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 41.5 points.

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How to Bet on Packers vs. Commanders

You can bet on Packers vs. Commanders at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Packers vs. Commanders picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.

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