Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction: Week 3 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – September 2022

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On Sunday, September 25, 2022, the Washington Commanders (1-1) host an NFC East matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at FedExField.

Eagles vs. Commanders Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with oddsmakers listing the Eagles as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Eagles have -280 odds to pick up the win, while the Commanders are listed at +235 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 47.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Eagles vs. Commanders Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, September 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Landover, Maryland
  • Stadium: FedExField

Betting Preview

Eagles

The Eagles have the 15th-ranked defense this season (325.0 yards allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on offense, ranking best with 470.5 yards per game. The Eagles have the 13th-ranked defense this year (21.0 points allowed per game), and they’ve been better on offense, ranking fourth-best with 31.0 points per game. The Eagles are averaging 281.0 passing yards per game offensively this season (seventh in NFL), and they are allowing 203.5 passing yards per game (12th) on defense. The Eagles own the 20th-ranked defense this year in terms of rushing yards (121.5 rushing yards allowed per game), and they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best with 189.5 rushing yards per game. The Eagles rank 27th in third-down defense this year (50.0% third-down percentage allowed), but they’ve been thriving on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with a 56.7% third-down conversion rate. On offense, the Eagles have been a top-five unit in terms of yards per play, ranking second-best in the NFL by totaling 6.7 yards per play. They rank 13th on defense (5.2 yards per play allowed). With four forced turnovers (sixth in NFL) against one turnover committed (first in NFL), the Eagles’ +3 turnover margin is the third-best in the league.

Commanders

The Commanders rank sixth with 393.0 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 26th with 404.0 total yards given up per contest on defense. In terms of points scored the Commanders rank eighth in the NFL (27.5 points per game), and they are 27th on defense (29.0 points allowed per game). The Commanders’ pass defense ranks 21st in the NFL with 247.0 passing yards allowed per contest, but they’ve been bolstered by their offense, which ranks second-best by posting 306.5 passing yards per game. The Commanders’ defense has been bottom-five in run defense this season, allowing 157.0 rushing yards per game, which ranks fifth-worst in the NFL. Offensively, they rank 25th with 86.5 rushing yards per contest. On third down, the Commanders have excelled on both offense and defense this season, ranking third-best in third-down conversion rate (56.0%) and fourth-best in third-down rate surrendered (28.0%). The Commanders rank 10th in yards per play (5.5), but they’ve been less productive defensively, third-worst in the NFL with 6.6 yards allowed per play. The Commanders have accumulated one forced turnover (23rd in NFL) and committed four turnovers (22nd in NFL) this season for a -3 turnover margin that ranks 26th in the NFL.

Eagles vs. Commanders Injury Report

Eagles

Eagles: OG Landon Dickerson: Questionable (Foot)

Commanders

Commanders: DE James Smith-Williams: Questionable (Abdomen), DE Daniel Wise: Out (Ankle), DE Casey Toohill: Out (Head), LB David Mayo: Questionable (Ankle), C Chase Roullier: Out (Knee), OG Nolan Laufenberg: Out (Undisclosed), CB William Jackson III: Questionable (Back)

Eagles vs. Commanders Betting Analysis

Eagles Betting Insights

The Eagles are 1-1-0 against the spread this season. The Eagles have not covered a spread when playing as at least 6-point favorites (0-1). Eagles games have gone over the total once this season. The Eagles won 85.7% of the games last season when they were the moneyline favorite (6-1). The Eagles played as a moneyline favorite of -280 or shorter in only two games last season, and they won both.

Commanders Betting Insights

The Commanders have covered the spread one time this year (1-1-0). Every game involving the Commanders has hit the over so far this year. This is the first time the Commanders will play as underdogs this season. The Commanders have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +235 moneyline set for this game.

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Eagles vs. Commanders Against The Spread & Betting Records

Eagles

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.0 49.0 49.0
Implied Total AVG 27.0 26.0 28.0
ATS Record 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Commanders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 45.5 43.0 48.0
Implied Total AVG 24.0 23.0 25.0
ATS Record 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

Players to Watch

Eagles

  • Jalen Hurts ranks eighth in the NFL with 576 passing yards through two games this year, averaging 288.0 per game with a 69.8% completion percentage and one touchdown against one interception.
  • In addition to his passing stats, Hurts also has 147 rushing yards (second on the Eagles), with three rushing touchdowns.
  • Miles Sanders has collected 176 rushing yards (seventh in the NFL) with one touchdown (88.0 yards per game through two games). His 5.9 yards per attempt rank seventh in the NFL.
  • In two games played, A.J. Brown is averaging 112.0 yards and 7.5 receptions per game on the way to 224 receiving yards (sixth in the NFL) and 15 catches (seventh in the NFL). He’s been targeted 21 times, but has not caught a touchdown pass.
  • Dallas Goedert has racked up 142 receiving yards without a touchdown with eight catches on 10 targets. He is averaging 4.0 receptions and 71.0 yards per game.
  • On defense for the Eagles, T.J. Edwards has racked up 17 tackles and 1.0 TFL in 2022.
  • Darius Slay has seven tackles and two interceptions this season.
  • This season, Josh Sweat has put up 1.0 sack (second on the Eagles) to go with his 3.0 TFL and six tackles.
  • So far this season, James Bradberry has three tackles and one interception.

Commanders

  • Carson Wentz is averaging 7.5 passing yards per attempt (seventh in the NFL) and 325.0 yards per game this year, completing 65.5% of his passes on the way to 650 total yards (second in the NFL), seven touchdowns (first in the NFL) and three interceptions through two games.
  • On the ground, Wentz has added 35 rushing yards (third on the Commanders).
  • Curtis Samuel has 133 receiving yards and two touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) on 15 receptions (seventh in the NFL), while being targeted 20 times.
  • Jahan Dotson has totaled 99 receiving yards and three touchdowns (second in the NFL) on seven receptions, while being targeted 10 times this season.
  • Antonio Gibson puts up 43.0 rushing yards per game through two games (86 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Gibson has tacked on nine catches (4.5 per game) for 85 yards (42.5 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He has been on the receiving end of 12 targets.
  • Darrick Forrest’s 2022 effort includes 15 tackles and one interception through two games. He leads the Commanders in tackles.
  • Da’Ron Payne has 2.0 sacks (first on the Commanders and eighth in the NFL) to go with 1.0 TFL and seven tackles.
  • Jamin Davis has seven tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack during the 2022 season.
  • William Jackson III has totaled 11 tackles.

Eagles vs. Commanders Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is the Eagles, and we predict that Eagles will cover the spread (Eagles -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47.5 points.

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How to Bet on Eagles vs. Commanders

You can bet on Eagles vs. Commanders at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Eagles vs. Commanders picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.

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