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The Washington Commanders (3-4) visit Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, October 30, 2022 to play the Indianapolis Colts (3-3-1).
Colts vs. Commanders Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing the Colts as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Colts have -140 odds to pick up the win, while the Commanders are listed at +120 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 39.5 points.
Game Info
How to Watch Colts vs. Commanders Live?
- Game Day: Sunday, October 30, 2022
- Game Time: 4:25 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Stadium: Lucas Oil Stadium
Betting Preview
Colts
The Colts are compiling 341.6 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 16th in the NFL. On defense, they rank eighth, surrendering 313.7 yards per contest. While the Colts’ defense ranks 13th with 20.0 points allowed per game, they’ve been a little worse on offense, ranking third-worst (16.1 points per game).
The Colts are compiling 260.6 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them seventh in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank sixth, allowing 190.3 passing yards per contest. While the Colts’ run defense ranks 22nd with 123.4 rushing yards allowed per game, they’ve been worse on offense, ranking third-worst (81.0 rushing yards per game).
The Colts rank 16th in third-down efficiency (40.2%) on offense and ninth in third-down percentage allowed (34.8%) on defense this year. The Colts are giving up 5.1 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (seventh in the NFL), while gaining 5.0 per play (27th in the league) on offense this season. The Colts own the second-worst turnover margin in the league at -7, forcing seven turnovers (23rd in NFL) while turning it over 14 times (30th in NFL).
Commanders
From an offensive angle, the Commanders are accumulating 326.6 total yards per contest (24th-ranked). They rank 13th in the NFL defensively (336.0 total yards surrendered per game). With 17.9 points per game on offense, the Commanders rank 26th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 19th, allowing 22.3 points per contest.
In terms of passing, the Commanders rank 19th in the NFL (221.0 passing yards per game) and 17th on the other side of the ball (217.6 passing yards allowed per contest). The Commanders are compiling 105.6 rushing yards per game on offense this season (22nd-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 118.4 rushing yards per contest (16th-ranked) on defense.
The Commanders’ defense has been excelling on third down, giving up a 29.5% third-down conversion percentage (second-best). Offensively, they rank 20th in the NFL with a 36.8% third-down rate. The Commanders rank fourth-worst in yards per play (4.9), but they’ve been better on the other side of the ball, ranking 16th in the NFL with 5.5 yards surrendered per play. The Commanders have not done well in terms of turnovers, as the team’s turnover margin of -5 is fifth-worst in the NFL.
Colts vs. Commanders Injury Report
Colts
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | QB | Shoulder | Out |
| Grant Stuard | LB | Pectoral | Out |
| Kwity Paye | DE | Ankle | Out |
| Kenny Moore II | CB | Finger | Questionable |
Commanders
| Player | Pos. | Injury | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Turner | TE | Concussion | Out |
| Dyami Brown | WR | Groin | Questionable |
| Logan Thomas | TE | Calf | Questionable |
| William Jackson III | CB | Back | Out |
| Saahdiq Charles | OT | Illness | Questionable |
| Cole Holcomb | LB | Foot | Out |
| Jahan Dotson | WR | Hamstring | Out |
Colts vs. Commanders Betting Analysis
Colts Betting Insights
The Colts have covered the spread in a matchup three times this season (3-4-0). The Colts are winless against the spread when they are 3-point favorites or more (0-3).
This season, Colts games have hit the over once. The Colts won five of the eight games they were favored on the moneyline last season (62.5%).
The Colts finished 4-3 last year (winning 57.1% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -140 or shorter.
Commanders Betting Insights
The Commanders are 3-4-0 against the spread this year. In games they have played as 3-point underdogs or more, the Commanders have an ATS record of 1-2.
Commanders games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this year. The Commanders have entered the game as underdogs three times this season and won once.
The Commanders have a record of 1-2 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +120 on the moneyline.
Colts vs. Commanders Against The Spread & Betting Records
Colts
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 44.2 | 45.2 | 43.5 |
| Implied Total AVG | 24.1 | 24.7 | 23.8 |
| ATS Record | 3-4-0 | 2-1-0 | 1-3-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 1-6-0 | 1-2-0 | 0-4-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 1-2-1 | 1-1 | 0-1-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
Commanders
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point Total AVG | 43.4 | 43.9 | 42.7 |
| Implied Total AVG | 23.1 | 23.8 | 22.3 |
| ATS Record | 3-4-0 | 2-2-0 | 1-2-0 |
| Over/Under Record | 3-4-0 | 2-2-0 | 1-2-0 |
| Moneyline Favorite Record | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Moneyline Underdog Record | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Players to Watch
Colts
- Matt Ryan has passed for 2,008 yards (fifth in the NFL), nine touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and nine interceptions this year. He averages 286.9 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt, while completing 68.4% of his attempts.
- Michael Pittman Jr. has 44 catches (eighth in the NFL) for 475 yards and one TD. In six games, he is averaging 7.3 catches and 79.2 yards per game.
- Jonathan Taylor’s output on the ground this season includes 386 yards and one TD. He is averaging 77.2 yards per game and 4.2 per attempt (37th in the NFL).
- Taylor has totaled 16 catches on 24 targets for 71 yards, but he has not scored a receiving touchdown.
- Alec Pierce has 308 receiving yards and one touchdown with 21 catches on 33 targets. He is averaging 3.5 receptions and 51.3 yards per game.
- On defense, Zaire Franklin has 4.0 TFL and 72 tackles in 2022.
- Bobby Okereke has 65 tackles and 3.0 TFL so far this season. He’s second on the Colts and 10th in the NFL in tackles.
- DeForest Buckner has put up 28 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 3.0 sacks this year.
- So far this season, Grover Stewart has 35 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 2.0 sacks.
Commanders
- This year through seven games, Antonio Gibson has churned out 273 rushing yards (leading the Commanders) and scored two rushing touchdowns. He averages 39.0 yards per game and 3.8 per carry (49th in the NFL).
- Gibson’s offensive contributions include 22 receptions (3.1 per game) on 28 targets for 170 yards (24.3 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
- Terry McLaurin has 440 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 27 receptions, while being targeted 45 times.
- Curtis Samuel has recorded 340 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 39 receptions, while being targeted 58 times this season.
- Jahan Dotson has 12 catches for 152 yards and four receiving touchdowns (sixth in the NFL). He averages 3.0 yards per game through four games and has been targeted 22 times.
- Cole Holcomb has amassed 1.0 TFL and 68 tackles over seven games so far in 2022.
- Jonathan Allen has registered 3.5 sacks in addition to his 5.0 TFL, 23 tackles, and one interception through seven games.
- Montez Sweat has 3.0 sacks (third on the Commanders) as well as 6.0 TFL and 24 tackles in the 2022 season.
- Jamin Davis has registered 3.0 sacks (third on the Commanders) to go with 4.0 TFL and 32 tackles through seven games.
Colts vs. Commanders Predictions and Pick
Our pick to win this contest is the Colts, and we predict that Colts will cover the spread (Colts -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 39.5 points.
How to Bet on Colts vs. Commanders
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