Chargers vs. Browns Prediction: Week 5 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – October 2022

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Sunday, October 9, 2022 will see the Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) go on the road to challenge the Cleveland Browns (2-2) at FirstEnergy Stadium.

Chargers vs. Browns Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with sportsbooks listing the Chargers as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Chargers have -125 odds to pick up the win, while the Browns are listed at +105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 47.5 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Chargers vs. Browns Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, October 9, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: FirstEnergy Stadium

Betting Preview

Chargers

Offensively, the Chargers rank seventh in the NFL with 371.8 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 20th in total defense (349.5 yards allowed per contest). The Chargers have the 12th-ranked scoring offense this season (23.0 points per game), and they’ve been less effective on defense, ranking third-worst with 27.0 points allowed per game.

The Chargers rank 17th in pass defense this season (239.8 passing yards allowed per game), but they’ve been thriving on offense, ranking best in the NFL with 307.3 passing yards per game. While the Chargers’ run defense ranks 14th with 109.8 rushing yards allowed per game, they’ve been less successful on offense, ranking worst (64.5 rushing yards per game).

The Chargers rank 11th in third-down efficiency (40.7%) on offense and 21st in third-down conversion rate allowed (42.0%) on defense this year. The Chargers are allowing 5.9 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (23rd in the NFL), while gaining 5.6 per play (12th in the league) on offense this season. The Chargers have forced five total turnovers (21st in NFL) this season and have turned it over four times (fifth in NFL) for a turnover margin of +1, eighth-ranked in the NFL.

Browns

The Browns’ defense ranks ninth in the NFL with 326.0 total yards surrendered per contest, but they’ve been bolstered by their offense, which ranks fourth-best by compiling 384.8 total yards per contest. With 26.3 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Browns rank sixth in the NFL. On defense, they rank 19th, allowing 23.8 points per game.

With 197.5 passing yards per game on offense, the Browns rank 25th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 12th, allowing 212.8 passing yards per game. The Browns’ run offense has been consistently moving the chains, compiling 187.3 rushing yards per game (second-best) this season. Defensively, they rank 18th by giving up 113.3 rushing yards per game.

The Browns’ third-down offense has been thriving, putting up a 45.0% third-down conversion percentage (fifth-best) this season. On defense, they rank 14th by giving up a 36.4% third-down rate. In terms of yards per play, the Browns rank 14th in the NFL (5.5) and 19th on the other side of the ball (5.7 yards allowed per play). With four forced turnovers (23rd in NFL) and three turnovers committed (fourth in NFL) this season, the Browns rank eighth in the NFL with a turnover margin of +1.

Chargers vs. Browns Injury Report

Chargers

Player Pos. Injury Status
Keenan Allen WR Hamstring Out
Josh Palmer WR Ankle Questionable
Dustin Hopkins K Quad Questionable

Browns

Player Pos. Injury Status
Jerome Ford RB Ankle Out
Jadeveon Clowney DE Ankle Questionable
Taven Bryan DT Hamstring Questionable
Greedy Williams CB Hamstring Questionable

Chargers vs. Browns Betting Analysis

Chargers Betting Insights

The Chargers have registered a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season. The Chargers are 2-1 ATS when playing as at least 2-point favorites.

Chargers games have gone over the total twice this season. The Chargers won six of the 12 games they were the moneyline favorite last season (50%).

When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -125 or shorter, the Chargers had a 5-6 record (winning 45.5% of their games).

Browns Betting Insights

The Browns have put together a record of 2-2-0 against the spread this year.

Browns games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under three times this season. The Browns won the only game they’ve played as the underdog this season.

The Browns have not been a bigger underdog this season than the +105 moneyline set for this game.

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Chargers vs. Browns Against The Spread & Betting Records

Chargers

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.0 49.0 49.0
Implied Total AVG 27.0 27.0 27.0
ATS Record 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-1 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Browns

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 41.8 38.3 45.3
Implied Total AVG 22.5 21.5 23.5
ATS Record 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 3-1-0 2-0-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

Players to Watch

Chargers

  • Justin Herbert ranks third in the NFL with 1,250 passing yards through four games this year, averaging 312.5 per game with a 66.9% completion percentage and nine touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) against two interceptions.
  • Austin Ekeler has recorded 140 rushing yards with two touchdowns (35.0 yards per game across four games). His 3.1 yards per attempt rank 52nd in the NFL.
  • Ekeler’s 29 targets as part of the passing attack have turned into 27 catches (6.8 per game) for 188 yards (47.0 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Mike Williams has two touchdown catches this season, and has 18 catches for 258 yards on 31 targets, while averaging 4.5 catches and 64.5 yards per game.
  • Gerald Everett has 211 receiving yards and two touchdowns with 16 catches on 26 targets. He is averaging 4.0 receptions and 52.8 yards per game.
  • Over on defense, Drue Tranquill has 34 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and one interception in 2022. His tackle total leads the Chargers.
  • Derwin James has 30 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack this season.
  • This season, Khalil Mack has recorded 4.5 sacks (fifth in the NFL) in addition to his 1.0 TFL and 15 tackles.
  • Asante Samuel Jr. has 1.0 TFL, 17 tackles, and one interception on the year.

Browns

  • Nick Chubb has rushed for five touchdowns this year, and has put up 459 total rushing yards (114.8 per game and 5.7 per attempt).
  • Jacoby Brissett has 830 passing yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions. His completion percentage is 64.6% and he averages 276.7 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt.
  • Brissett also has one rushing touchdown and 80 rushing yards (third on the Browns).
  • Kareem Hunt is averaging 50.0 rushing yards per game this season (200 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
  • Hunt’s statistic output includes 11 receptions (2.8 per game) on 13 targets for 73 yards (18.3 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
  • Amari Cooper has 20 catches for 228 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averages 5.0 yards per game in four games and has been targeted 31 times.
  • So far in 2022, John Johnson has amassed 0.5 sacks to go with 1.0 TFL and 23 tackles through four games.
  • Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah’s stat sheet includes 22 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one pass defended.
  • Denzel Ward has recorded 1.0 TFL, 10 tackles, and one interception in the 2022 campaign.
  • Grant Delpit has 19 tackles and one interception.

Chargers vs. Browns Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Browns, and we expect that Browns will cover the spread (Chargers -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 47.5 points.

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How to Bet on Chargers vs. Browns

You can bet on Chargers vs. Browns at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Chargers vs. Browns picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Brian Twining

Sports, of all kind, have been a huge part of my life and daily routine for as long as I can remember. My favorite sports to watch are College Basketball, College Football, the NFL, MLB, Nascar, & the FIFA World Cup. My favorite sports to bet on are the NFL, Nascar, College Hoops, and College Football.

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