Buccaneers vs. Browns Prediction: Week 12 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – November 27, 2022

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On Sunday, November 27, 2022, the Cleveland Browns (3-7) match up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5) at FirstEnergy Stadium.

Buccaneers vs. Browns Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Buccaneers as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Buccaneers have -180 odds to pick up the win, while the Browns are listed at +155 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 42 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Buccaneers vs. Browns Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: FirstEnergy Stadium

Betting Preview


The Buccaneers are totaling 340.5 yards per game on offense this season (17th in NFL), and they are allowing 310 yards per game (eighth) on the other side of the ball. The Buccaneers rank 27th in points scored this year (18.3 points per game), but they’ve been shining on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best in the NFL with 18 points allowed per game.

The Buccaneers have been a tough opponent for opposing teams in the passing game, as they rank top-five in both passing offense (fifth-best with 269.8 passing yards per game) and passing defense (fifth-best with 193.2 passing yards allowed per game) this season. The Buccaneers have been a bottom-five run offense this year, ranking worst with 70.7 rushing yards per contest. On the defensive side of the ball, they are ranked 16th in the NFL (116.8 rushing yards allowed per game).

On offense, the Buccaneers rank 21st in the NFL with a 39.2% third-down percentage. Meanwhile, they rank ninth in third-down percentage allowed (38.4%). The Buccaneers are allowing 5 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (sixth in the NFL), while accumulating 5.1 per play (22nd in the league) on offense this season. The Buccaneers rank ninth in the NFL with a +1 turnover margin after forcing 10 turnovers (24th in the NFL) and committing nine (second in the NFL).

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The Browns’ offense has been dominant, compiling 377.9 total yards per game (fourth-best) this season. Defensively, they rank 19th by giving up 349.9 total yards per game. The Browns rank 10th in points per game (24), but they’ve been less effective defensively, ranking third-worst in the NFL with 26.9 points surrendered per contest.

From an offensive perspective, the Browns are accumulating 227 passing yards per game (14th-ranked). They rank 15th in the NFL on defense (214.8 passing yards allowed per game). The Browns’ run offense has been leading the way for the team, as they rank fifth-best in the NFL with 150.9 rushing yards per game. In terms of defense, they are giving up 135.1 rushing yards per game, which ranks 24th.

From an offensive perspective, the Browns are posting a 40.9% third-down conversion percentage (15th-ranked). They rank 14th in the NFL on defense (40% third-down rate allowed). The Browns rank eighth in the NFL with 5.7 yards per play on offense, and they rank 22nd with 5.8 yards allowed per play on the defensive side of the ball. The Browns have fared poorly in terms of turnovers, as their turnover margin of -6 is fourth-worst in the NFL.

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Buccaneers vs. Browns Injury Report


Player Pos. Injury Status
Leonard Fournette RB Hip Out
Luke Goedeke OG Foot Out
Russell Gage WR Hamstring Out


Player Pos. Injury Status
Ethan Pocic C Knee Out
Greg Newsome II CB Head Out

Buccaneers vs. Browns Betting Analysis

Buccaneers Betting Insights

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The Buccaneers are 3-6-1 against the spread this season. The Buccaneers have yet to cover the spread when they are at least 3.5-point favorites (0-3).

Buccaneers games have gone over the total twice this season. The Buccaneers won 13 of the 17 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (76.5%).

The Buccaneers finished 12-3 last year (winning 80% of their games) when they played as a moneyline favorite of -180 or shorter.

Browns Betting Insights

The Browns have put together a record of 5-5-0 against the spread this season. The Browns have an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.

Browns games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under seven times this season. This season, the Browns have been the underdog six times and won two of those games.

The Browns have been at least a +155 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.

Buccaneers vs. Browns Against The Spread & Betting Records


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.8 44.9 44.5
Implied Total AVG 25 24.5 25.8
ATS Record 3-6-1 1-4-1 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-8-0 2-4-0 0-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 5-5 3-3 2-2
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0


Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.9 42.4 47.4
Implied Total AVG 24.4 23 25.8
ATS Record 5-5-0 3-2-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 7-2-1 4-0-1 3-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-3 1-2 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-4 1-1 1-3

Players to Watch


  • Tom Brady has 2,805 passing yards (fourth in the NFL), 12 touchdowns and two interceptions this year. He has completed 66% of his attempts, averaging 280.5 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
  • Mike Evans’ 671 receiving yards this season have come from 76 targets and 49 receptions. He’s averaging 74.6 receiving yards and 5.4 catches per game, with three receiving touchdowns.
  • In eight games played, Chris Godwin is averaging 59.4 yards and six receptions per game to total 475 receiving yards and 48 catches. He’s been targeted 73 times, and has one receiving touchdown.
  • Rachaad White has run for 222 yards, averaging 22.2 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
  • White has been targeted 25 times and turned those targets into 20 catches, 135 yards and zero TDs.
  • On defense, Devin White has 76 tackles, six TFL, and five sacks in 2022. His tackle total leads the Buccaneers.
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. has 44 tackles, six TFL, three sacks, and one interception this season. He’s fourth on the Buccaneers in tackles.
  • Lavonte David has totaled 69 tackles, two TFL, and one sack this year. He’s second on the Buccaneers in tackles.
  • Mike Edwards has one sack to go with his two TFL, 58 tackles, and one interception on the year.


  • So far this year through 10 games, Nick Chubb has churned out 923 rushing yards (leading the Browns and fourth in the NFL) and scored 11 rushing touchdowns. He averages 92.3 yards per game and 5.3 per attempt (15th in the NFL).
  • Chubb has also been a piece of the passing game with 136 yards (13.6 per game) on 16 receptions (1.6 per game), while being targeted 22 times. He is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
  • Jacoby Brissett has 2,398 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 64.4% and he averages 266.4 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
  • He has tacked on 211 rushing yards (third on the Browns), while scoring two touchdowns on the ground (averaging 23.4 yards per game and 4.7 per carry).
  • Amari Cooper has totaled 698 receiving yards and seven touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) on 50 receptions, while being targeted 81 times on the season.
  • Kareem Hunt has 346 rushing yards (second on the Browns) and three rushing touchdowns, while averaging 34.6 yards per game and 3.9 per carry (48th in the NFL).
  • Hunt has also caught 22 passes for 149 yards (fifth on the Browns), with one receiving touchdown. He’s been targeted 26 times and averages 14.9 yards per game.
  • Myles Garrett has recorded 8.5 sacks (first on the Browns and ninth in the NFL) to go with six TFL and 25 tackles over nine games in 2022.
  • Grant Delpit has one interception on top of 61 tackles, one TFL, and five passes defended.
  • John Johnson has 55 tackles, three TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two passes defended in the 2022 campaign.
  • Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah has five TFL and 52 tackles.

Buccaneers vs. Browns Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is the Browns, and we project that Browns will cover the spread (Buccaneers -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 42 points.

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How to Bet on Buccaneers vs. Browns

You can bet on Buccaneers vs. Browns at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Buccaneers vs. Browns picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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