Broncos vs. Raiders Prediction: Week 11 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – November 20, 2022

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The Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) will have their hearts set on rebounding from their three-game losing streak when they play the Denver Broncos (3-6) at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, November 20, 2022.

Broncos vs. Raiders Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with bookmakers listing the Broncos as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Broncos have -145 odds to pick up the win, while the Raiders are listed at +125 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 41 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Broncos vs. Raiders Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Stadium: Empower Field at Mile High

Betting Preview

Broncos

The Broncos rank 22nd in total offense this season (327.1 yards per game), but they’ve been thriving on the defensive side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 290.4 yards allowed per game. The Broncos own the best defense this season in terms of points allowed (16.6 points allowed per game), but they rank worst on the offensive side of the ball (14.6 points per game).

The Broncos rank 15th in passing yards this year (223.6 per game), but they’ve been shining on the defensive side of the ball, ranking best in the NFL with 174.4 passing yards allowed per game. The Broncos are totaling 103.6 rushing yards per game offensively this season (25th in NFL), and they are allowing 116.0 rushing yards per game (13th) on the other side of the ball.

The Broncos have struggled on third down, ranking second-worst in the NFL (28.5%) this season. However, they rank fifth-best on the other side of the ball, allowing a 34.6% third-down conversion rate. The Broncos are gaining 5.1 yards per play on offense (25th in the league), while featuring the best yards per play on defense in the NFL (4.6) this season. The Broncos have the 14th-ranked turnover margin in the NFL at even, forcing 10 turnovers (21st in NFL) while turning it over 10 times (eighth in NFL).

Raiders

The Raiders rank 17th in total yards per game (335.1), but they’ve been worse on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-worst in the NFL with 376.1 total yards allowed per contest. The Raiders have not been getting things done on defense, ranking fifth-worst with 25.1 points allowed per game. They have been better on offense, generating 22.6 points per contest (14th-ranked).

With 228.6 passing yards per game on offense, the Raiders rank 12th in the NFL. On defense, they rank 26th, surrendering 250.0 passing yards per game. The Raiders are generating 106.6 rushing yards per game on offense this season (24th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are giving up 126.1 rushing yards per contest (21st-ranked) on defense.

The Raiders rank 22nd in third-down conversion rate (38.0%) on offense, but they’ve been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking third-worst in the NFL with a 48.7% third-down percentage allowed. The Raiders’ defense has been struggling in terms of yards surrendered per play, ranking fifth-worst at 5.9. They have been better on the other side of the ball, regstering 5.5 yards per play (12th-ranked). With six forced turnovers (32nd in NFL) and seven turnovers committed (first in NFL) this season, the Raiders rank 19th in the NFL with a turnover margin of -1.

Broncos vs. Raiders Injury Report

Broncos

Player Pos. Injury Status
K.J. Hamler WR Hamstring Out
Jerry Jeudy WR Ankle Out
Mitchell Fraboni LS Finger Out
Graham Glasgow OG Shoulder Questionable
Kendall Hinton WR Shoulder Questionable
Baron Browning LB Hip Questionable
Jonas Griffith ILB Ankle Out
K’Waun Williams CB Knee Out
Cameron Fleming OT Quad Questionable
Andrew Beck TE Hamstring Out

Raiders

Player Pos. Injury Status
Luke Masterson LB Ribs Questionable
Kolton Miller OT Shoulder Questionable
Denzel Perryman LB Hips Questionable
Davante Adams WR Abdomen Questionable

Broncos vs. Raiders Betting Analysis

Broncos Betting Insights

The Broncos have covered the spread three times over nine games with a set spread. The Broncos are winless against the spread when they are 3-point favorites or more (0-3).

Broncos games have gone over the total once this season. The Broncos won five of the 11 games they were favored on the moneyline last season (45.5%).

When they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -145 or shorter, the Broncos had a 4-2 record (winning 66.7% of their games).

Raiders Betting Insights

The Raiders have covered the spread three times in nine games with a set spread. The Raiders have an ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.

This year, five Raiders games have gone over the point total. The Raiders have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Raiders have been at least a +125 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.

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Broncos vs. Raiders Against The Spread & Betting Records

Broncos

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 42.6 42.3 42.9
Implied Total AVG 23.1 23.5 22.8
ATS Record 3-6-0 1-3-0 2-3-0
Over/Under Record 1-8-0 0-4-0 1-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-2 1-1 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-4 1-1 0-3

Raiders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 47.9 46.5 49.1
Implied Total AVG 26.0 25.8 26.2
ATS Record 3-6-0 2-2-0 1-4-0
Over/Under Record 5-4-0 3-1-0 2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-5 2-2 0-3
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

Players to Watch

Broncos

  • Russell Wilson has 1,980 passing yards in eight games this year, averaging 247.5 per game with a 57.4% completion percentage and seven touchdowns against five interceptions.
  • He has added 121 rushing yards (15.1 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
  • Jerry Jeudy‘s 449 receiving yards this season have come from 55 targets and 30 receptions. He’s averaging 49.9 receiving yards and 3.3 catches per game, with three receiving touchdowns.
  • In the passing attack, Courtland Sutton, has totaled 533 receiving yards and one touchdown after grabbing 41 balls on 73 targets. Per game, he’s averaging 59.2 yards and 4.6 receptions through nine games.
  • Melvin Gordon III has rushed for 287 yards with two touchdowns (31.9 yards per game across nine games).
  • Gordon has been targeted 27 times and turned those targets into 20 receptions, 184 yards and zero TDs.
  • On the defensive side, Alex Singleton has 4.0 TFL and 66 tackles in 2022.
  • Dre’Mont Jones has 31 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks this season.
  • Josey Jewell has put up 48 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks so far this year.
  • Kareem Jackson has 52 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended.

Raiders

  • This year in nine games, Josh Jacobs has churned out 821 rushing yards (leading the Raiders and fourth in the NFL) and scored seven rushing touchdowns. He averages 91.2 yards per game and 5.2 per attempt (18th in the NFL).
  • Jacobs has also been a piece of the passing game with 200 yards (22.2 per game) on 31 receptions (3.4 per game), while being targeted 38 times. He is still seeking his first receiving touchdown.
  • Derek Carr has 2,128 passing yards, 13 touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 62.4% and he averages 236.4 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
  • This season, Davante Adams has caught 57 passes (eighth in the NFL) for 784 receiving yards (sixth in the NFL) with eight touchdowns through the air (first in the NFL). He has been targeted 99 total times and is averaging 6.3 receptions per game over nine games played.
  • Mack Hollins has been targeted 49 times, resulting in 30 catches for 416 yards .
  • Maxx Crosby has 57 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 7.0 sacks, and two passes defended in 2022.
  • Duron Harmon has 40 tackles and two interceptions. He is third on the Raiders in tackles.
  • Denzel Perryman has 40 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 1.0 sack during the 2022 campaign.
  • Rock Ya-Sin’s season stats include 36 tackles in eight games. He is fifth on the Raiders in tackles.

Broncos vs. Raiders Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Broncos, and we predict that Broncos will cover the spread (Broncos -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 41 points.

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How to Bet on Broncos vs. Raiders

You can bet on Broncos vs. Raiders at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Broncos vs. Raiders picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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