Broncos vs. Browns Prediction: Week 12 Odds, Picks & Moneyline – November 26, 2023

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A couple of streaking teams will put their winning streaks on the line at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, November 26, 2023, when the Denver Broncos (5-5) try to continue their four-game winning streak versus the Cleveland Browns (7-3), who have claimed victory in three straight games.

Broncos vs. Browns Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Broncos as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Broncos have -125 odds to pick up the win, while the Browns are listed at +105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 37.5 points.

Game Info

How to Watch Broncos vs. Browns Live?

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 26, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Stadium: Empower Field at Mile High

Betting Preview

Broncos

Despite having a bottom-five defense that ranks worst in the NFL (400.1 yards allowed per game), the Broncos have played better on the other side of the ball, ranking 23rd in the NFL by totaling 301.2 yards per game. The Broncos own the 15th-ranked scoring offense this year (21.7 points per game), and they’ve been worse defensively, ranking third-worst with 26.8 points allowed per game.

The Broncos rank 24th in pass offense (191 passing yards per game) and 24th in pass defense (240.1 passing yards allowed per game) this season. Despite sporting a bottom-five run defense that ranks worst in the NFL (160 rushing yards allowed per game), the Broncos have had more success on the other side of the ball, ranking 14th in the NFL by averaging 110.2 rushing yards per game.

The Broncos rank 18th in third-down efficiency (38.2%) on offense and 14th in third-down percentage allowed (38.6%) on defense this year. In addition to 6.3 yards per play allowed on defense, which ranks worst in the NFL, the Broncos have posted the 14th-ranked yards-per-play average on offense (5.2). The Broncos have the sixth-ranked turnover margin in the league at +6, forcing 19 turnovers (third in NFL) while turning it over 13 times (12th in NFL).

Browns

The Browns rank 18th in the NFL with 325.8 total yards per game, but they’ve been lifted up by their defense, which ranks best by allowing only 243.3 total yards per contest. The Browns rank 13th in the NFL with 22.7 points per game on offense, and they rank sixth with 18 points given up per contest on defense.

The Browns’ pass defense has been paving the way for the team, as they rank best in the NFL with 143.7 passing yards ceded per contest. In terms of offense, they are putting up 183.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 26th. The Browns’ run defense ranks 11th in the NFL with 99.6 rushing yards surrendered per contest, but they’ve been lifted up by their offense, which ranks third-best by compiling 142.7 rushing yards per game.

On offense, the Browns are bottom-five on third down, putting up a 32.7% third-down conversion percentage (fifth-worst). On the bright side, they are dominating on defense, giving up a 25.4% third-down rate (best). On offense, the Browns are bottom-five in terms of yards per play, putting up only 4.5 (fourth-worst). On the bright side, they are excelling on the defensive side of the ball, surrendering just 4.5 yards per play (second-best). With 15 forced turnovers (13th in NFL) and 20 turnovers committed (28th in NFL) this season, the Browns rank 21st in the NFL with a turnover margin of -5.

Broncos vs. Browns Injury Report

Broncos

Player Pos. Injury Status
Dwayne Washington RB Illness Out
Alex Forsyth C Gameday inactive Out
Ronnie Perkins DE Gameday inactive Out
Thomas Incoom OLB Gameday inactive Out

Browns

Player Pos. Injury Status
Marquise Goodwin WR Concussion Out
Denzel Ward CB Shoulder Out
Anthony Walker LB Hamstring Out
Siaki Ika DT Gameday inactive Out
Luke Wypler C Gameday inactive Out
Leroy Watson OT Gameday inactive Out
Isaiah McGuire DE Gameday inactive Out

Broncos vs. Browns Betting Analysis

Broncos Betting Insights

The Broncos have covered the spread two times this season (2-6-2). The Broncos have yet to cover a spread (0-4-2) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.

This season, Broncos games have hit the over four times.

Browns Betting Insights

The Browns have covered the spread in a game six times this season (6-3-1). In games they have played as 1.5-point underdogs or more, the Browns have an ATS record of 2-1-1.

Browns games have gone over the total four times this season. The Browns have won three of the five games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Browns have a record of 2-2 when they’re set as an underdog of +105 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Broncos vs. Browns Against The Spread & Betting Records

Broncos

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.6 42.8 47.4
Implied Team Total AVG 24.8 23.2 27.3
ATS Record 2-6-2 1-4-1 1-2-1
Over/Under Record 4-6-0 2-4-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 3-3 2-3 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-0 1-2

Browns

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 39.2 38.9 39.5
Implied Team Total AVG 22 22 22
ATS Record 6-3-1 5-1-0 1-2-1
Over/Under Record 4-5-1 0-5-1 4-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 3-0 1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 3-2 2-1 1-1

Players to Watch

Broncos

  • Russell Wilson has passed for 2,065 yards, 19 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and four interceptions this year. He averages 206.5 yards per game and 7 per attempt, while completing 69% of his passes.
  • To go along with his passing stats, Wilson also has 232 rushing yards (third on the Broncos), but no touchdowns.
  • Courtland Sutton has caught 45 passes on 62 targets for 499 total yards and eight touchdowns. He is averaging 4.5 catches and 49.9 yards per game in 10 games.
  • Javonte Williams has 473 rushing yards without a rushing TD (52.6 yards per game through nine games).
  • Williams has totaled 23 catches on 28 targets for 125 yards, with two receiving TDs.
  • Jaleel McLaughlin has run for 277 yards, averaging 27.7 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
  • McLaughlin has been targeted 21 times and turned those targets into 19 catches, 83 yards and two TDs.
  • On the defensive side, Alex Singleton has 98 tackles and three TFL in 2023. His tackle total leads the Broncos and is ninth in the NFL.
  • Jonathon Cooper has 46 tackles, five TFL, and 5.5 sacks this season. He’s fourth on the Broncos in tackles.
  • Zach Allen has put up 41 tackles, seven TFL, and three sacks this year.
  • So far this season, Nik Bonitto has 23 tackles, nine TFL, and 5.5 sacks.

Browns

  • This year through 10 games, Jerome Ford has churned out 563 rushing yards (leading the Browns) and scored three rushing touchdowns. He averages 56.3 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt (20th in the NFL).
  • Ford has also been a piece of the passing game with 149 yards (14.9 per game) on 23 receptions (2.3 per game), while being targeted 34 times. He has two receiving touchdowns.
  • Amari Cooper has put together a 2023 campaign that includes 45 catches for 749 yards and two receiving touchdowns in 10 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 80 targets and is averaging 4.5 receptions per game.
  • This season in eight games, Kareem Hunt has racked up 264 rushing yards (second on the Browns) and scored six rushing touchdowns. He averages 33 yards per game and 3.2 per attempt (42nd in the NFL).
  • David Njoku has 45 catches for 433 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averages 4.5 yards per game through 10 games and has been targeted 69 times.
  • So far in 2023, Myles Garrett has 13 sacks to go with 11 TFL and 30 tackles through 10 games. He ranks first in the NFL in sacks.
  • Grant Delpit has one interception on top of 64 tackles, five TFL, 0.5 sacks, and three passes defended.
  • Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah has recorded 1.5 sacks as well as 12 TFL and 49 tackles in the 2023 season.
  • Ogbonnia Okoronkwo has totaled 3.5 sacks (second on the Browns) as well as 10 TFL and 24 tackles.

Broncos vs. Browns Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Browns, and we expect that Browns will cover the spread (Broncos -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 37.5 points.

How to Bet on Broncos vs. Browns

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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