Commanders vs Bears Prediction: Week 6 Picks, Live Odds & Start Time – October 2022

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When the Washington Commanders (1-4) visit the Chicago Bears (2-3) on Thursday, October 13, 2022 at Soldier Field, they will be aiming to break their four-game losing streak.

Commanders vs. Bears Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with oddsmakers listing the Commanders as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Commanders have -110 odds to pick up the win, while the Bears are listed at -110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 38 points.

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Game Info

How to Watch Commanders vs. Bears Live?

  • Game Day: Thursday, October 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • TV Channel: AMAZON
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Soldier Field

Betting Preview

Commanders

The Commanders rank 19th in total offense (341.6 yards per game) and 17th in total defense (345.6 yards allowed per game) this season. The Commanders rank 26th in scoring offense (18 points per game) and 25th in scoring defense (25.6 points allowed per game) this year.

The Commanders are totaling 252.6 passing yards per game offensively this season (10th in NFL), and they are allowing 235 passing yards per game (19th) on defense. The Commanders rank fifth-worst in rushing offense (89 rushing yards per game), but they’ve been better on defense, ranking 14th with 110.6 rushing yards allowed per contest.

The Commanders rank 20th in third-down percentage this year (38.2%), but they’ve been playing really well on the other side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with a 30.4% third-down conversion rate allowed. The Commanders are giving up 5.6 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (18th in the NFL), while gaining 5 per play (24th in the league) on offense this season. The Commanders own the second-worst turnover margin in the league at -7, forcing one turnover (32nd in NFL) while turning it over eight times (22nd in NFL).

Bears

The Bears’ offense has been bottom-five in total offense this season, compiling 274 total yards per game, which ranks second-worst in the NFL. On defense, they rank 22nd with 367.2 total yards ceded per contest. In terms of points scored the Bears rank 27th in the NFL (17.2 points per game), and they are 15th on defense (21.2 points allowed per contest).

The Bears rank worst in passing yards per game (116.6), but they’ve been more productive defensively, ranking ninth in the NFL with 197.2 passing yards ceded per contest. While the Bears’ run defense has been sputtering, ranking second-worst by surrendering 170 rushing yards per game, their offense is the fifth-best at 157.4 rushing yards per contest.

The Bears have been outplayed on both sides of the ball on third down this season, ranking fifth-worst in third-down conversion rate (35%) and worst in third-down rate allowed (50.7%). With 5.2 yards per play on offense, the Bears rank 21st in the NFL. Defensively they rank 18th, giving up 5.6 yards per play. After forcing eight turnovers (eighth in NFL) and turning the ball over eight times (22nd in NFL) this season, the Bears have the 17th-ranked turnover margin of 0.

Commanders vs. Bears Injury Report

Commanders

Player Pos. Injury Status
Dyami Brown WR Groin Questionable
Logan Thomas TE Calf Out
Jonathan Williams RB Knee Out
William Jackson III CB Back Out
Samuel Cosmi OT Thumb Out
Jahan Dotson WR Hamstring Out
Percy Butler FB Quad Out

Bears

Player Pos. Injury Status
Alex Leatherwood FB Undisclosed Questionable
Dane Cruikshank DB Hamstring Questionable
Matthew Adams LB Calf Out

Commanders vs. Bears Betting Analysis

Commanders Betting Insights

The Commanders have covered the spread one time this season (1-4-0). The Commanders have an ATS record of 1-2 when playing as at least 1-point favorites.

This season, Commanders games have hit the over twice. The Commanders were favored on the moneyline four total times last season. They finished 3-1 in those games.

The Commanders finished 3-1 last year (winning 75% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -110 or shorter.

Bears Betting Insights

The Bears have gone 2-3-0 against the spread this season. The Bears are 2-2 ATS when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.

This season, Bears games have hit the over twice. The Bears have won one of the four games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

The Bears have a record of 1-3 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least -110 on the moneyline.

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Commanders vs. Bears Against The Spread & Betting Records

Commanders

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 44.5 44.5 44.5
Implied Total AVG 23.8 24 23.5
ATS Record 1-4-0 1-2-0 0-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-0 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-1 0-1

Bears

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 40.6 39 41.7
Implied Total AVG 23.4 22 24.3
ATS Record 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-0 0-3

Players to Watch

Commanders

  • Carson Wentz ranks fifth in the NFL with 1,390 passing yards in five games this year, averaging 278 per game with a 62.9% completion percentage and 10 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) against six interceptions.
  • In addition to his passing statistics, Wentz has 77 rushing yards (second on the Commanders), but no touchdowns.
  • Antonio Gibson has recorded 179 rushing yards with two touchdowns (35.8 yards per game through five games). His 3.2 yards per attempt rank 51st in the NFL.
  • Gibson’s 20 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in 16 catches (3.2 per game) for 134 yards (26.8 per game) and zero touchdowns.
  • Curtis Samuel has two touchdown catches this season, and has 32 catches (eighth in the NFL) for 281 yards on 45 targets, while averaging 6.4 catches and 56.2 yards per game.
  • Terry McLaurin averages 3.8 receptions and 65.2 yards per game, and has 326 total receiving yards and 19 catches. He’s gotten 33 total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.
  • On the defensive side, Cole Holcomb has one TFL and 47 tackles in 2022.
  • Jonathan Allen has 2.5 sacks (second on the Commanders) in addition to his five TFL and 19 tackles.
  • Jamin Davis has put up 23 tackles, two TFL, and three sacks this year.
  • So far this season, Montez Sweat has 15 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks.

Bears

  • Through five games played this year, Justin Fields has racked up 679 passing yards, with three touchdowns against four interceptions and completing 55.7% of his passes.
  • He’s added 194 yards on the ground (second on the Bears), while scoring one rushing touchdown. He’s averaging 38.8 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt.
  • Khalil Herbert has 328 rushing yards (leading the Bears) and three rushing touchdowns, while averaging 65.6 yards per game and 5.9 per attempt (seventh in the NFL).
  • David Montgomery has rushed for one touchdown this year, and has totaled 179 rushing yards (44.8 per game and 3.8 per attempt).
  • In addition to his rushing stats, Montgomery has hauled in nine passes (on 10 targets) for 100 yards (fourth on the Bears). He averages 25 yards per game.
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has 110 receiving yards and one touchdown from six receptions after getting 13 targets.
  • So far in 2022, Roquan Smith has recorded 54 tackles, two TFL, 0.5 sacks, and one interception through five games.
  • Eddie Jackson’s stat sheet includes three interceptions (second in the NFL) as well as 38 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended.
  • During the 2022 campaign, Nicholas Morrow has 36 tackles and two TFL through five games.
  • Jaquan Brisker has 30 tackles, one TFL, and one sack.

Commanders vs. Bears Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Bears, and we project that Bears will cover the spread (Commanders -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 38 points.

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How to Bet on Commanders vs. Bears

You can bet on Commanders vs. Bears at every legal online sportsbook. For more NFL odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NFL prop odds, check out the latest NFL lines as well as our guide to the best NFL betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Commanders vs. Bears picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on football? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Andy Molitor

Andy has been involved in sports betting on and off his entire adult life and has been creating content surrounding it for the past five years. While the NFL is his first love, he also bets hundreds of college basketball games every winter and loves sweating golf DFS during the football offseason.

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