Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 26, 2023

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The Golden State Warriors (39-36) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (37-37) at Chase Center, starting at 8:30 PM ET on Sunday, March 26, 2023. The Warriors are 5.5-point favorites in the game, the fourth matchup between the teams this season. The over/under is 241.5 points for this matchup.

How to bet Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -225 odds to pick up the win, while the Timberwolves are listed at +186 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 241.5 points.

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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 26, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Warriors have played 75 games, with 35 wins against the spread. Golden State has come away with 32 wins in the 51 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. The Warriors have eclipsed the over/under in 56.8% of their opportunities this year (42 times in 74 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 34-38-2 this season. Minnesota has compiled a 19-20 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 48.7% of those games). The Timberwolves have gone over the point total 47.3% of the time this year (35 of 74 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Warriors Leaders
Klay Thompson 63 21.8 4.2 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.3
Jordan Poole 75 20.3 2.7 4.6 0.8 0.2 2.6
Jonathan Kuminga 60 9.7 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.8
Donte DiVincenzo 65 9.2 4.4 3.3 1.3 0.2 2.1
Draymond Green 66 8.5 7.3 6.8 1 0.8 0.6


Timberwolves Leaders
Anthony Edwards 71 24.7 5.9 4.4 1.6 0.7 2.7
Karl-Anthony Towns 22 20.8 8 5.2 0.8 0.6 1.8
Rudy Gobert 62 13.8 11.5 1.1 0.8 1.4 0
Jaden McDaniels 71 12.3 4 2 0.9 1 1.4
Mike Conley 59 11.4 2.7 7 1.1 0.2 1.9
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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Injury Report

Timberwolves: Karl-Anthony Towns: Probable (Calf), Jaylen Nowell: Probable (Knee), Anthony Edwards: Probable (Ankle), Matt Ryan: Out (Illness)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State sports a top-five offense this year, ranking second-best in the league with 118.5 points per game. At the other end, it ranks 25th with 118 points allowed per contest. The Warriors are putting up 119.6 points per game at home. In road games, they are averaging 117.3 points per contest. On offense, the Warriors have increased their output a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 121.8 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 118.5 they’ve put up over the course of this year.

Golden State is dominating in terms of three-point shooting, as it ranks best in the league in threes (16.5 per game) and third-best in shooting percentage from beyond the arc (38.2%). Of the shots taken by the Warriors in 2022-23, 52.1% of them have been two-pointers (61.7% of the team’s made baskets) and 47.9% have been three-pointers (38.3%).

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What you need to know about the Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota is 11th in the NBA in points scored (116.1 per game) and 19th in points allowed (116.3). The Timberwolves are scoring more points at home (116.4 per game) than away (115.7). While the Timberwolves are scoring 116.1 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark over their last 10 games, producing 120.6 a contest.

Beyond the arc, Minnesota is 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12). It is 15th in 3-point percentage at 36.1%. The Timberwolves attempt 61.9% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 38.1% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 72% of the Timberwolves’ baskets are 2-pointers, and 28% are 3-pointers.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Warriors vs. Timberwolves at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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