Warriors vs Thunder Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Tuesday, April 4, 2023

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The Golden State Warriors (41-38) are 8.5-point favorites against the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-41) on April 4, 2023 at Chase Center in a matchup featuring a pair of the highest-scoring squads in the league. The Warriors are third (118.2 ppg) and the Thunder are fifth (117.5). The matchup has a 242.5 point total.

How to bet Warriors vs. Thunder

Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -349 odds to pick up the win, while the Thunder are listed at +273 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 242.5 points.

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Warriors vs. Thunder Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, April 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center

Warriors vs. Thunder Betting Trends

The Warriors have 36 wins against the spread in 79 games this year. Golden State has come away with 34 wins in the 55 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season. Warriors games this year have gone over the total in 43 out of 79 opportunities (54.4%).

The Thunder are 45-33-1 against the spread this season. Oklahoma City is 22-29 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43.1% of those games). Thunder games this season have gone over the point total 53.2% of the time (42 out of 79 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 53 29.5 6.1 6.3 0.9 0.4 4.9
Klay Thompson 67 21.8 4.2 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.3
Jordan Poole 79 20.5 2.7 4.5 0.8 0.3 2.6
Jonathan Kuminga 64 9.8 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.8
Donte DiVincenzo 69 9.2 4.4 3.3 1.3 0.1 2.0


Thunder Leaders
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 66 31.5 4.8 5.4 1.7 1.0 0.8
Josh Giddey 74 16.6 7.9 6.2 0.7 0.4 1.0
Jalen Williams 73 14.1 4.5 3.3 1.4 0.5 1.0
Luguentz Dort 72 13.8 4.6 2.1 1.0 0.3 1.9
Isaiah Joe 69 9.7 2.4 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.3
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Warriors vs. Thunder Injury Report

Thunder: Kenrich Williams: Out (Wrist), Aleksej Pokusevski: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State owns a top-five offense this year, ranking third-best in the league with 118.2 points per game. At the other end of the court, it ranks 22nd with 117.5 points allowed per contest. Offensively the Warriors have performed better at home this year, posting 119.3 points per game, compared to 117.2 per game on the road. The Warriors have seen an uptick in scoring recently, putting up 118.8 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.6 points more than the 118.2 they’ve scored this season.

When it comes to three-point shooting, everything is clicking for Golden State, who is making 16.5 treys per game (best in NBA) and shooting 38.1% from downtown (fourth-best). The Warriors have taken 52.2% two-pointers and 47.8% threes this year. Of the team’s baskets, 61.7% are two-pointers and 38.3% are three-pointers.

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What you need to know about the Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City is the fifth-best team in the NBA in points scored (117.5 per game) and 21st in points allowed (116.6). In 2022-23 the Thunder are scoring 7.2 more points per game at home (121.0) than on the road (113.8). The Thunder have performed worse offensively over their previous 10 games, compiling 114.6 points per contest, 2.9 fewer points their than season average of 117.5.

Beyond the arc, Oklahoma City is 14th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12.1). It is 18th in 3-point percentage at 35.7%. The Thunder take 36.7% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 28.1% of their made baskets are from there. Inside the arc, they take 63.3% of their shots, with 71.9% of their makes coming from there.

Our prediction to win this game is the Warriors, and we expect that Thunder will cover the spread (Warriors -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 242.5 points.

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You can bet on Warriors vs. Thunder at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Thunder picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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