Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, October 21

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The Golden State Warriors (1-0) host the Denver Nuggets (0-1) at Chase Center, beginning at 10:00 PM ET on Friday, October 21, 2022. The Warriors are 5-point favorites in the game. The matchup’s point total is set at 229.5.

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -196 odds to pick up the win, while the Nuggets are listed at +162 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 229.5 points.

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Warriors vs. Nuggets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, October 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Warriors were 41-38-3 last season. Golden State won 44 of the 62 games it was the moneyline favorite last season (71%). Last year, 34 of the Warriors’ 82 games hit the over.

The Nuggets were 37-45-0 against the spread last year. Denver was underdogs in 29 games last season and won 13 (44.8%) of those contests. In 82 Nuggets games last year, 46 of them went over the total.

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Stephen Curry 64 25.5 5.2 6.3 1.3 0.3 4.5
Klay Thompson 32 20.4 3.9 2.8 0.5 0.5 3.6
Jordan Poole 76 18.5 3.4 4 0.8 0.3 2.8
Andrew Wiggins 73 17.2 4.5 2.2 1 0.7 2.2
Donte DiVincenzo 42 9 4 2.8 1.1 0.2 1.8


Nikola Jokic 74 27.1 13.7 7.9 1.5 0.9 1.3
Aaron Gordon 75 15 5.8 2.5 0.6 0.6 1.2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 77 13.2 3.4 1.9 1.1 0.3 2.1
Jeff Green 75 10.3 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.7
Michael Porter Jr. 9 9.9 6.6 1.9 1.1 0.2 1.1
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Warriors vs. Nuggets Injury Report

Warriors: Patrick Baldwin Jr.: Out (Thumb), Andre Iguodala: Out (Injury Management)

Nuggets: Jamal Murray: Questionable (Injury Management), Nikola Jokic: Probable (Finger), Collin Gillespie: Out (Lower Leg)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State was 15th in the NBA in points scored (111 per game) and third-best in points conceded (105.5) last year. The Warriors averaged 113 points per game last year at home, which was four more points than they averaged away from home (109).

Last year, Golden State was third-best in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.3 per game), and it ranked No. 7 in 3-point percentage (36.4%). Last season, the Warriors attempted 45.6% of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 54.4% from inside it. In terms of makes, 35.4% of the Warriors’ baskets were 3-pointers, and 64.6% were 2-pointers.

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Last year Denver scored 112.7 points per game (10th-ranked in NBA) and gave up 110.4 points per contest (14th-ranked). The Nuggets scored more points at home (114.8 per game) than on the road (110.7) last season.

With 12.7 threes per game, Denver was 13th in the NBA. It sported a 35.3% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranked 16th in the league. Last year the Nuggets took 58.4% two-pointers, accounting for 69.6% of the team’s buckets. They shot 41.6% from beyond the arc (30.4% of the team’s baskets).

Warriors vs. Nuggets Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is the Warriors, and we expect that Warriors will cover the spread (Warriors -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 229.5 points.

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How to bet Warriors vs. Nuggets

You can bet on Warriors vs. Nuggets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Nuggets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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