Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, February 4, 2023

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The Golden State Warriors (26-26) are 9.5-point favorites against the Dallas Mavericks (28-25) on February 4, 2023 at Chase Center. The matchup pits two of the NBA’s best shooting squads against each other — the Warriors rank first in the league in three-pointers made per game (16.4) and the Mavericks are third (14.6). The matchup has a 225.5 point total.

How to bet Warriors vs. Mavericks

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -443 odds to pick up the win, while the Mavericks are listed at +341 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 225.5 points.

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Warriors vs. Mavericks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center

Warriors vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

In the Warriors’ 52 games this year, they have 24 wins against the spread. Golden State has been victorious in 20, or 58.8%, of the 34 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. Warriors games this year have gone over the total in 30 out of 53 opportunities (56.6%).

The Mavericks have played 53 games, with 17 wins against the spread. Dallas is 3-12 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 20% of those games). The Mavericks have hit the over 52.8% of the time this year (28 of 53 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 37 29.7 6.4 6.4 1 0.4 4.9
Klay Thompson 40 21 4 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.1
Jordan Poole 52 20.8 2.8 4.4 0.9 0.2 2.6
Andrew Wiggins 32 17.1 5 2.2 1.3 0.8 2.5
Jonathan Kuminga 40 8.5 3.2 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.7


Mavericks Leaders
Spencer Dinwiddie 52 17.6 3.1 5.3 0.7 0.3 2.6
Tim Hardaway Jr. 49 13.5 3.5 1.6 0.8 0.1 2.7
Dorian Finney-Smith 39 8.9 4.6 1.5 0.9 0.5 1.9
Josh Green 33 7.9 2.5 1.4 0.9 0.1 1
Dwight Powell 48 6.5 3.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0
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Warriors: Klay Thompson: Questionable (Illness), Stephen Curry: Probable (Leg), Draymond Green: Questionable (Foot), Andre Iguodala: Out (Hip)

Mavericks: Luka Dončić: Out (Heel), Davis Bertans: Out (Calf), Spencer Dinwiddie: Questionable (Injury Recovery), Christian Wood: Out (Thumb), Maxi Kleber: Out (Hamstring)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State has had to lean on its offense, which ranks second-best in the NBA (118 points per game), as it ranks fourth-worst in the league on defense with just 118.3 points allowed per contest. Offensively the Warriors have performed better in home games this season, averaging 119.6 points per game, compared to 116.6 per game in road games. The Warriors have been putting up 120.9 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little higher than the 118 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign.

Golden State has been getting things done in terms of three-point shooting this season, ranking best in the NBA in threes per game (16.4) and fifth-best in three-point percentage (38.1%). The Warriors have taken 52.1% two-pointers and 47.9% threes this year. Of the team’s buckets, 61.4% are two-pointers and 38.6% are threes.

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What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

In 2022-23, Dallas is 24th in the NBA offensively (112.3 points scored per game) and sixth defensively (111.8 points conceded). In 2022-23 the Mavericks are scoring 2.9 more points per game at home (113.7) than on the road (110.8). The Mavericks are posting 112.4 points per contest over their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 112.3.

In 2022-23 Dallas is third-best in the league in 3-point makes (14.6 per game), and it ranks No. 14 in 3-point percentage (36.1%). The Mavericks take 51.2% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 48.8% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 62.5% of the Mavericks’ buckets are 2-pointers, and 37.5% are 3-pointers.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Warriors vs. Mavericks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Mavericks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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