Warriors vs Lakers Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Western Conference Semifinals Game 1

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The Golden State Warriors and the Los Angeles Lakers square off to begin the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Warriors are 4.5-point favorites for the game, which goes live on TNT at 10:00 PM ET. A 227-point over/under is installed for the matchup.

How to bet Warriors vs. Lakers

Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -189 odds to pick up the win, while the Lakers are listed at +158 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 227 points.

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Warriors vs. Lakers Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, May 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center

Warriors vs. Lakers Betting Trends

The Warriors are 39-42-1 against the spread this year. Golden State has come away with 37 wins in the 58 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season. Warriors games this year have hit the over 54.9% of the time (45 out of 82 games with a set point total).

The Lakers have played 82 games, with 40 wins against the spread. Los Angeles has a 23-28 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.1% of those games). The Lakers have eclipsed the over/under 52.4% of the time this season (43 of 82 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 56 29.4 6.1 6.3 0.9 0.4 4.9
Klay Thompson 69 21.9 4.1 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.4
Jordan Poole 82 20.4 2.7 4.5 0.8 0.3 2.6
Andrew Wiggins 37 17.1 5.0 2.3 1.2 0.8 2.4
Jonathan Kuminga 67 9.9 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.8


Lakers Leaders
LeBron James 55 28.9 8.3 6.8 0.9 0.6 2.2
Anthony Davis 56 25.9 12.5 2.6 1.1 2.0 0.3
D’Angelo Russell 71 17.8 3.0 6.2 1.0 0.4 2.7
Austin Reaves 64 13.0 3.0 3.4 0.5 0.3 1.3
Malik Beasley 81 12.7 3.5 1.5 0.8 0.1 2.9
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Warriors: Ryan Rollins: Out (Foot), Patrick Baldwin Jr.: Questionable (Toe), Andre Iguodala: Out (Wrist)

Lakers: Mohamed Bamba: Questionable (Ankle), Anthony Davis: Probable (Foot), LeBron James: Probable (Foot)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State has been led by its offense, as it ranks second-best in the NBA by averaging 118.9 points per game. It ranks 21st in the league in points allowed (117.1 per contest). Offensively the Warriors have played better when playing at home this season, averaging 119.7 points per game, compared to 118.2 per game in away games. In their last 10 games, the Warriors have been putting up 122.3 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 118.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Golden State has been shining in terms of three-point shooting this year, ranking best in the NBA in threes per game (16.6) and second-best in three-point percentage (38.5%). Of the shots taken by the Warriors in 2022-23, 52.1% of them have been two-pointers (61.5% of the team’s made baskets) and 47.9% have been from beyond the arc (38.5%).

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What you need to know about the Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles is sixth in the league in points scored (117.2 per game) and 20th in points conceded (116.6). At home, the Lakers score 117.0 points per game. On the road, they average 117.3. While the Lakers are putting up 117.2 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark in their past 10 games, producing 117.5 a contest.

At 10.8 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc, Los Angeles is 24th and 24th in the NBA, respectively, in those categories. In 2022-23, the Lakers have attempted 65% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 35% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 74.8% of the Lakers’ buckets have been 2-pointers, and 25.2% have been 3-pointers.

Our prediction to win this game is the Warriors, and we expect that Lakers will cover the spread (Warriors -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 227 points.

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You can bet on Warriors vs. Lakers at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Lakers picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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