Kings vs Warriors Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – NBA Playoffs Game 7

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The Sacramento Kings and the Golden State Warriors square off in a decisive Game 7 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The Kings are 1-point favorites for the game, which goes live on ABC at 3:30 PM ET. A 229.5-point over/under is set for this matchup.

How to bet Kings vs. Warriors

Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with oddsmakers listing the Kings as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Kings have -115 odds to pick up the win, while the Warriors are listed at -104 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 229.5 points.

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Kings vs. Warriors Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, April 30, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Location: Sacramento, California
  • Arena: Golden 1 Center

Kings vs. Warriors Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Kings are 45-36-1 this year. Sacramento has come away with 35 wins in the 52 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season. Kings games this year have hit the over 40 times in 82 opportunities (48.8%).

Against the spread, the Warriors are 39-42-1 this season. Golden State is 7-17 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 29.2% of those games). The Warriors have eclipsed the over/under 54.9% of the time this season (45 of 82 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Kings Leaders
De’Aaron Fox 73 25 4.2 6.1 1.1 0.3 1.6
Domantas Sabonis 79 19.1 12.3 7.3 0.8 0.5 0.4
Kevin Huerter 75 15.2 3.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 2.7
Harrison Barnes 82 15 4.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.6
Malik Monk 77 13.5 2.6 3.9 0.6 0.3 1.9


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 56 29.4 6.1 6.3 0.9 0.4 4.9
Klay Thompson 69 21.9 4.1 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.4
Jordan Poole 82 20.4 2.7 4.5 0.8 0.3 2.6
Andrew Wiggins 37 17.1 5 2.3 1.2 0.8 2.4
Jonathan Kuminga 67 9.9 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.8
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Kings: KZ Okpala: Out (Knee), Matthew Dellavedova: Out (Finger)

Warriors: Ryan Rollins: Out (Foot), Andre Iguodala: Out (Wrist), Patrick Baldwin Jr.: Questionable (Toe)

What you need to know about the Sacramento Kings

Sacramento is giving up 118.1 points per game this season (25th-ranked in NBA), but it has really played well offensively, averaging 120.7 points per contest (best). The Kings score 123.4 points per game at home, compared to 118 points per game away from home, a difference of 5.4 points per contest. The Kings have seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 112.8 points per game in their last 10 outings, 7.9 points fewer than the 120.7 they’ve scored this year.

Sacramento sports a 36.9% three-point percentage this season (ninth-ranked in NBA), but it has really shined by sinking 13.8 three-pointers per contest (fifth-best). The Kings have taken 57.7% two-pointers and 42.3% three-pointers this year. Of the team’s baskets, 68.4% are two-pointers and 31.6% are three-pointers.

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What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State is the second-best team in the NBA in points scored (118.9 per game) and 21st in points allowed (117.1). The Warriors are putting up more points at home (119.7 per game) than away (118.2). The Warriors are compiling 121.3 points per game in their last 10 games, compared to their season average of 118.9.

In 2022-23 Golden State is best in the league in 3-point makes (16.6 per game), and second-best in 3-point percentage (38.5%). In 2022-23, the Warriors have taken 47.9% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 52.1% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 38.5% of the Warriors’ baskets have been 3-pointers, and 61.5% have been 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this game is the Kings, and we expect that Kings will cover the spread (Kings -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 229.5 points.

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You can bet on Kings vs. Warriors at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Kings vs. Warriors picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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