Warriors vs Kings Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – NBA Playoffs Game 6

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The Sacramento Kings (48-34) will look to overcome the odds as 7.5-point underdogs in a decisive Game 6 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, and will face off against the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center on Friday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN. The Warriors are on top 3-2 in the series. The over/under for the matchup is 236.5 points.

How to bet Warriors vs. Kings

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -322 odds to pick up the win, while the Kings are listed at +253 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 236.5 points.

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Warriors vs. Kings Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, April 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center

Warriors vs. Kings Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Warriors are 39-42-1 this year. Golden State has been the favorite in 58 games this season and has come away with the win 37 times (63.8%) in those contests. The Warriors have eclipsed the over/under in 54.9% of their opportunities this year (45 times over 82 games with a set point total).

The Kings are 45-36-1 against the spread this year. Sacramento has won 43.3% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (13-17). The Kings have gone over the point total 48.8% of the time this year (40 of 82 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 56 29.4 6.1 6.3 0.9 0.4 4.9
Klay Thompson 69 21.9 4.1 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.4
Jordan Poole 82 20.4 2.7 4.5 0.8 0.3 2.6
Andrew Wiggins 37 17.1 5 2.3 1.2 0.8 2.4
Jonathan Kuminga 67 9.9 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.8


Kings Leaders
De’Aaron Fox 73 25 4.2 6.1 1.1 0.3 1.6
Domantas Sabonis 79 19.1 12.3 7.3 0.8 0.5 0.4
Kevin Huerter 75 15.2 3.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 2.7
Harrison Barnes 82 15 4.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.6
Malik Monk 77 13.5 2.6 3.9 0.6 0.3 1.9
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Warriors: Ryan Rollins: Out (Foot), Andre Iguodala: Out (Wrist)

Kings: Matthew Dellavedova: Out (Finger), KZ Okpala: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State owns a top-five offense this season, ranking second-best in the league with 118.9 points per game. At the other end of the court, it ranks 21st with 117.1 points allowed per contest. At home, the Warriors are averaging 1.5 more points per game (119.7) than they are in away games (118.2). In their last 10 games, the Warriors have been scoring 124.4 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 118.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

When it comes to three-point shooting, things are clicking for Golden State, who is sinking 16.6 treys per game (best in NBA) and shooting 38.5% from downtown (second-best). Of the shots attempted by the Warriors in 2022-23, 52.1% of them have been two-pointers (61.5% of the team’s made baskets) and 47.9% have been from beyond three-point land (38.5%).

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What you need to know about the Sacramento Kings

Sacramento is the best team in the NBA in points scored (120.7 per game) and 25th in points allowed (118.1). At home the Kings are scoring 123.4 points per game, 5.4 more than they are averaging away (118). While the Kings are putting up 120.7 points per game in 2022-23, they have fallen short of that over their last 10 games, producing 114.4 points per contest.

Sacramento is the fifth-best squad in the NBA in 3-pointers made (13.8 per game) and ninth in 3-point percentage (36.9%). In 2022-23, the Kings have attempted 42.3% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 57.7% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 31.6% of the Kings’ baskets have been 3-pointers, and 68.4% have been 2-pointers.

Our pick to win this game is the Warriors, and we project that Kings will cover the spread (Warriors -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 236.5 points.

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You can bet on Warriors vs. Kings at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Kings picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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