Warriors vs Kings Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – NBA Playoffs Game 3

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The Sacramento Kings will try to pull off an upset as 6-point underdogs in Game 3 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center on Thursday, starting at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The Kings hold a 2-0 lead in the series. A 241-point over/under has been set for this matchup.

How to bet Warriors vs. Kings

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with oddsmakers listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -254 odds to pick up the win, while the Kings are listed at +208 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 241 points.

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Warriors vs. Kings Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, April 20, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center

Warriors vs. Kings Betting Trends

The Warriors have played 82 games, with 39 wins against the spread. Golden State has been chosen as the favorite in 58 games this year and has walked away with the win 37 times (63.8%) in those games. Warriors games this year have gone over the total in 45 out of 82 opportunities (54.9%).

The Kings have played 82 games, with 45 wins against the spread. Sacramento has put together a 13-17 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 43.3% of those games). Kings games this year have gone over the total in 40 of 82 opportunities (48.8%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 56 29.4 6.1 6.3 0.9 0.4 4.9
Klay Thompson 69 21.9 4.1 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.4
Jordan Poole 82 20.4 2.7 4.5 0.8 0.3 2.6
Andrew Wiggins 37 17.1 5 2.3 1.2 0.8 2.4
Jonathan Kuminga 67 9.9 3.4 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.8


Kings Leaders
De’Aaron Fox 73 25 4.2 6.1 1.1 0.3 1.6
Domantas Sabonis 79 19.1 12.3 7.3 0.8 0.5 0.4
Kevin Huerter 75 15.2 3.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 2.7
Harrison Barnes 82 15 4.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.6
Malik Monk 77 13.5 2.6 3.9 0.6 0.3 1.9
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Warriors vs. Kings Injury Report

Kings: Matthew Dellavedova: Out (Finger), KZ Okpala: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State is giving up 117.1 points per game this year (21st-ranked in NBA), but it has really played well on offense, scoring 118.9 points per contest (second-best). The Warriors are putting up 119.7 points per game at home. When playing on the road, they are averaging 118.2 points per contest. The Warriors have seen an increase in scoring recently, racking up 121.7 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.8 points more than the 118.9 they’ve scored this year.

Golden State has been shining in terms of three-point shooting this season, ranking best in the NBA in threes per game (16.6) and second-best in three-point percentage (38.5%). The Warriors have taken 52.1% two-pointers and 47.9% from beyond the arc this year. Of the team’s baskets, 61.5% are two-pointers and 38.5% are three-pointers.

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What you need to know about the Sacramento Kings

In 2022-23, Sacramento is best in the league offensively (120.7 points scored per game) and ranked 25th defensively (118.1 points conceded). In 2022-23 the Kings are scoring 5.4 more points per game at home (123.4) than on the road (118). The Kings have performed worse offensively over their past 10 games, putting up 117.9 points per contest, 2.8 fewer points their than season average of 120.7.

Sacramento is the fifth-best team in the NBA in 3-pointers made (13.8 per game) and ninth in 3-point percentage (36.9%). The Kings take 42.3% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 57.7% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 31.6% of the Kings’ buckets are 3-pointers, and 68.4% are 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this contest is the Warriors, and we project that Kings will cover the spread (Warriors -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 241 points.

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You can bet on Warriors vs. Kings at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Kings picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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