Warriors vs Heat Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, October 27

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The Golden State Warriors (2-2) host the Miami Heat (2-3) at Chase Center on Thursday, October 27, 2022. The contest begins at 10:00 PM ET and airs on NBATV. The Warriors are 6-point favorites in the game. A 227-point over/under has been set in this matchup.

Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 6 points, with oddsmakers listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -241 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +198 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 227 points.

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Warriors vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, October 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBATV
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center

Warriors vs. Heat Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Warriors were 41-38-3 last season. Golden State put together a 44-18 record in games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 71% of those games). Last year, 34 of the Warriors’ 82 games hit the over.

The Heat covered the spread 46 times in 82 games last season. Miami was underdogs in 23 games last season and won 14 (60.9%) of those contests. Out of 82 Heat games last season, 48 hit the over.

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Stephen Curry 64 25.5 5.2 6.3 1.3 0.3 4.5
Klay Thompson 32 20.4 3.9 2.8 0.5 0.5 3.6
Jordan Poole 76 18.5 3.4 4 0.8 0.3 2.8
Andrew Wiggins 73 17.2 4.5 2.2 1 0.7 2.2
Donte DiVincenzo 42 9 4 2.8 1.1 0.2 1.8


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 5 21.6 6.4 4.2 0.8 0 0.6
Tyler Herro 5 19.6 7.6 3.8 0.8 0.4 2.4
Bam Adebayo 5 13.4 8 2.6 1 0.6 0
Kyle Lowry 5 12 3 4.6 1.2 0.4 2.4
Max Strus 5 11.4 5 1.8 0.4 0.4 2
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Warriors vs. Heat Injury Report

Warriors: Donte DiVincenzo: Out (Hamstring), Andre Iguodala: Out (Injury Management)

Heat: Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle), Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Offensively, Golden State was the 15th-ranked team in the NBA (111 points per game) last year. Defensively, it was third-best (105.5 points allowed per game). The Warriors put up 113 points per game last season at home, which was four more points than they averaged when playing on the road (109).

Beyond the arc, Golden State was third-best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (14.3) last year. It was seventh in 3-point percentage at 36.4%. The Warriors attempted 45.6% percent of their shots from beyond the arc last year, and 54.4% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 35.4% of the Warriors’ buckets were 3-pointers, and 64.6% were 2-pointers.

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Miami scored 110 points per game last year (17th-ranked in NBA), but it really thrived on defense, giving up only 105.6 points per contest (fourth-best). At home, the Heat scored 110.8 points per game last season. Away, they averaged 109.3.

Miami sank 13.6 three-pointers per game last season (sixth-ranked in NBA), and it sported a 37.9% three-point percentage (best). The Heat took 57.8% two-pointers and 42.2% three-pointers last year. Of the team’s baskets, 65.7% were two-pointers and 34.3% were three-pointers.

Warriors vs. Heat Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this contest is the Warriors, and we expect that Heat will cover the spread (Warriors -6). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 227 points.

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How to bet Warriors vs. Heat

You can bet on Warriors vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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