Timberwolves vs Heat Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Monday, November 21, 2022

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (8-8) host the Miami Heat (7-10) at Target Center on Monday, November 21, 2022. The contest tips at 8:00 PM ET and airs on BSSU. The Timberwolves are 9.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a 220.5 point total.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Timberwolves as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Timberwolves have -412 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +320 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 220.5 points.

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Timberwolves vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, November 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSU
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center

Timberwolves vs. Heat Betting Trends

The Timberwolves have played 16 games, with six wins against the spread. Minnesota has been chosen as the favorite in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win seven times (58.3%) in those games. Timberwolves games this year have hit the over seven times in 17 opportunities (41.2%).

In the Heat’s 17 games this year, they have four wins against the spread. Miami has not yet won as the moneyline underdog this season, going 1-3. Heat games this season have hit the over eight times in 17 opportunities (47.1%).

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Timberwolves Leaders
Anthony Edwards 16 22.1 5.8 3.9 1.1 0.3 2.6
Karl-Anthony Towns 16 21.3 8.9 5.1 0.7 0.6 2.1
D’Angelo Russell 16 14.5 3.3 6.3 1.2 0.6 1.9
Rudy Gobert 14 13.7 12.6 1 0.8 1.4 0
Jaden McDaniels 16 11.1 3.5 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.9


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 13 20.9 6.6 6.1 1.8 0.2 0.8
Tyler Herro 10 19.6 6.4 2.6 0.7 0.6 2.4
Bam Adebayo 15 19.2 8.9 3.3 1.1 0.8 0
Max Strus 17 15.1 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.4 2.9
Kyle Lowry 17 13.9 4.8 5.9 1.1 0.6 2.3
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Timberwolves vs. Heat Injury Report

Timberwolves: Eric Paschall: Out (Ankle)

Heat: Gabe Vincent: Out (Knee), Duncan Robinson: Probable (Hand), Bam Adebayo: Probable (Knee), Dewayne Dedmon: Probable (Foot), Jimmy Butler: Out (Knee), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle), Udonis Haslem: Out (Personal), Tyler Herro: Out (Ankle), Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Minnesota Timberwolves

So far this year, Minnesota is averaging 114.9 points per game (11th-ranked in NBA) and giving up 115.3 points per contest (23rd-ranked). When playing at home, the Timberwolves are posting 3.3 more points per game (116.3) than they are in away games (113). The Timberwolves’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, scoring 113 points a contest compared to the 114.9 they’ve averaged this year.

This year, Minnesota is sinking 11.3 treys per game (20th-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 33.5% (24th-ranked) from three-point land. The Timberwolves are attempting 54 two-pointers per game this year, which account for 61.5% of the shots they’ve taken (and 73.3% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 33.8 treys per contest, which are 38.5% of their shots (and 26.7% of the team’s buckets).

What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Offensively, Miami is the fifth-worst squad in the NBA (108.6 points per game). Defensively, it is 10th (110.1 points conceded per game). At home the Heat are putting up 110.9 points per game, 5.5 more than they are averaging away (105.4). In their previous 10 games, the Heat are posting 109.1 points per contest, 0.5 more than their season average (108.6).

Miami is 16th in the league in 3-pointers made (11.9 per game) and 23rd in 3-point percentage (33.7%). In 2022-23, the Heat have taken 41.5% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 58.5% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 31.1% of the Heat’s buckets have been 3-pointers, and 68.9% have been 2-pointers.

Timberwolves vs. Heat Predictions and Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is the Timberwolves, and we project that Heat will cover the spread (Timberwolves -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 220.5 points.

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How to bet Timberwolves vs. Heat

You can bet on Timberwolves vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Timberwolves vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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