Suns vs Nuggets Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Western Conference Semifinals Game 4

Betsperts Media & Technology

The Denver Nuggets (53-29) are aiming to overcome the odds as slight 1.5-point underdogs heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, and will face off against the Phoenix Suns at Footprint Center on Sunday, tipping off at 8:00 PM ET on TNT. The Nuggets hold a 2-1 series lead. The over/under for the matchup is 227 points.

How to bet Suns vs. Nuggets

Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Suns as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Suns have -117 odds to pick up the win, while the Nuggets are listed at -103 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 227 points.

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Suns vs. Nuggets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, May 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Arena: Footprint Center

Suns vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Suns are 41-38-3 this year. Phoenix has been victorious in 36, or 72%, of the 50 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. The Suns have eclipsed the over/under in 48.8% of their opportunities this year (40 times in 82 games with a set point total).

In the Nuggets’ 82 games this year, they have 44 wins against the spread. Denver has won 47.6% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (10-11). Nuggets games this year have gone over the total in 37 of 82 opportunities (45.1%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Suns Leaders
Kevin Durant 47 29.1 6.7 5 0.7 1.4 2
Devin Booker 53 27.8 4.5 5.5 1 0.3 2.1
Deandre Ayton 67 18 10 1.7 0.6 0.8 0.1
Cameron Payne 48 10.3 2.2 4.5 0.7 0.2 1.4
Landry Shamet 40 8.7 1.7 2.3 0.7 0.1 1.9


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 69 24.5 11.8 9.8 1.3 0.7 0.8
Jamal Murray 65 20 4 6.2 1 0.2 2.6
Michael Porter Jr. 62 17.4 5.5 1 0.6 0.5 3
Aaron Gordon 68 16.3 6.6 3 0.8 0.8 0.9
Bruce Brown 80 11.5 4.1 3.4 1.1 0.6 1.1
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Suns: Chris Paul: Out (Groin)

Nuggets: None

What you need to know about the Phoenix Suns

Offensively, Phoenix is scoring 113.6 points per game (17th-ranked in league). It is allowing 111.6 points per contest at the other end of the court (sixth-ranked). The Suns are putting up 114.1 points per game this season at home, which is 0.9 more points than they’re averaging when playing on the road (113.2). On offense, the Suns have picked up their output slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 114.6 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 113.6 they’ve put up over the course of this season.

Phoenix is draining 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th-ranked in league). It has a 37.4% shooting percentage (seventh-ranked) from beyond the arc. This season, the Suns have taken 63.8% two-pointers, accounting for 71% of the team’s baskets. They have shot 36.2% three-pointers (29% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Offensively Denver is the 12th-ranked squad in the league (115.8 points per game). Defensively it is eighth (112.5 points conceded per game). At home the Nuggets are putting up 119.4 points per game, 7.2 more than they are averaging away (112.2). Over their last 10 games, the Nuggets are averaging 113 points per contest, 2.8 fewer points than their season average (115.8).

Beyond the arc, Denver is 18th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (11.8). It is fourth-best in 3-point percentage at 37.9%. The Nuggets attempt 36.1% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 27.1% of their made baskets are from there. Inside the arc, they attempt 63.9% of their shots, with 72.9% of their makes coming from there.

Suns vs. Nuggets Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Suns vs. Nuggets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Suns vs. Nuggets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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