Suns vs Nuggets Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Western Conference Semifinals Game 3

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The Denver Nuggets (53-29) are trying to pull off an upset as 4-point underdogs for Game 3 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, and will face off against the Phoenix Suns at Footprint Center on Friday, starting at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN. The Nuggets hold a 2-0 series lead. The matchup’s point total is set at 225.

How to bet Suns vs. Nuggets

Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with oddsmakers listing the Suns as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Suns have -181 odds to pick up the win, while the Nuggets are listed at +154 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 225 points.

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Suns vs. Nuggets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, May 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Arena: Footprint Center

Suns vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

The Suns are 41-38-3 against the spread this season. Phoenix has been victorious in 36, or 72%, of the 50 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. The Suns have hit the over in 48.8% of their opportunities this year (40 times in 82 games with a set point total).

The Nuggets have 44 wins against the spread in 82 games this year. Denver has won 47.6% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (10-11). Nuggets games this season have hit the over 37 times in 82 opportunities (45.1%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Suns Leaders
Kevin Durant 47 29.1 6.7 5 0.7 1.4 2
Devin Booker 53 27.8 4.5 5.5 1 0.3 2.1
Deandre Ayton 67 18 10 1.7 0.6 0.8 0.1
Cameron Payne 48 10.3 2.2 4.5 0.7 0.2 1.4
Landry Shamet 40 8.7 1.7 2.3 0.7 0.1 1.9


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 69 24.5 11.8 9.8 1.3 0.7 0.8
Jamal Murray 65 20 4 6.2 1 0.2 2.6
Michael Porter Jr. 62 17.4 5.5 1 0.6 0.5 3
Aaron Gordon 68 16.3 6.6 3 0.8 0.8 0.9
Bruce Brown 80 11.5 4.1 3.4 1.1 0.6 1.1
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Suns: Chris Paul: Out (Groin)

Nuggets: None

What you need to know about the Phoenix Suns

Phoenix is posting 113.6 points per game (17th-ranked in NBA) this year, while giving up 111.6 points per contest (sixth-ranked). The Suns are scoring 114.1 points per game this year in home games, which is 0.9 more points than they’re averaging when playing on the road (113.2). The Suns have been scoring 114.4 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 113.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign.

Phoenix ranks 13th in the NBA with 12.2 treys per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks seventh with a 37.4% shooting percentage from downtown. The Suns have taken 63.8% two-pointers and 36.2% threes this year. Of the team’s baskets, 71% are two-pointers and 29% are three-pointers.

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What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver is 12th in the NBA in points scored (115.8 per game) and eighth in points conceded (112.5). At home the Nuggets are scoring 119.4 points per game, 7.2 more than they are averaging on the road (112.2). Over their past 10 games, the Nuggets are putting up 113.1 points per contest, 2.7 fewer points than their season average (115.8).

Denver is 18th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (11.8 per game) and fourth-best in 3-point percentage (37.9%). The Nuggets take 63.9% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 36.1% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 72.9% of the Nuggets’ buckets are 2-pointers, and 27.1% are 3-pointers.

Our prediction to win this game is the Suns, and we predict that Nuggets will cover the spread (Suns -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 225 points.

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You can bet on Suns vs. Nuggets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Suns vs. Nuggets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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