Suns vs Kings Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The Phoenix Suns (37-29) are four-point favorites against the Sacramento Kings (39-26) on March 11, 2023 at Footprint Center in a contest pitting one of the best squads in the NBA defensively versus one of the top offensive squads. The Suns are third in points conceded per game (110.9), and Sacramento is first in points scored (121.1). The point total is 240 points for the outing.

How to bet Suns vs. Kings

Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with oddsmakers listing the Suns as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Suns have -166 odds to pick up the win, while the Kings are listed at +141 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 240 points.

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Suns vs. Kings Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: Phoenix, Arizona
  • Arena: Footprint Center

Suns vs. Kings Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Suns are 35-28-3 this season. Phoenix has come away with 28 wins in the 41 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. Suns games this year have hit the over on 29 of 65 set point totals.

Against the spread, the Kings are 36-28-1 this season. Sacramento has been the underdog on the moneyline 23 total times this season. Sacramento has gone 10-13 in those games. Kings games this year have hit the over 49.2% of the time (32 out of 65 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Suns Leaders
Devin Booker 39 27.6 4.6 5.8 0.8 0.4 2.3
Deandre Ayton 57 18.2 10.2 1.9 0.6 0.8 0.1
Chris Paul 45 13.5 4.2 9 1.6 0.4 1.6
Cameron Payne 34 11.2 2.3 4.9 0.8 0.2 1.6
Damion Lee 66 8.5 3.1 1.5 0.4 0.1 1.6


Kings Leaders
De’Aaron Fox 58 25.5 4.2 6.3 1.2 0.3 1.5
Domantas Sabonis 63 19 12.3 7 0.8 0.5 0.4
Kevin Huerter 62 15.1 3.3 3 1.1 0.3 2.7
Harrison Barnes 65 15 4.7 1.6 0.7 0.2 1.6
Malik Monk 62 13.7 2.6 3.9 0.6 0.2 1.7
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Suns: Kevin Durant: Out (Ankle), Landry Shamet: Out (Foot)

Kings: KZ Okpala: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Phoenix Suns

Phoenix is averaging 113.3 points per game this year (19th-ranked in NBA), but it has really provided a lift defensively, allowing only 110.9 points per contest (third-best). The Suns average 114.3 points per game at home, compared to 112.3 points per game in away games, a difference of two points per contest. The Suns have been putting up 116.8 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly higher than the 113.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign.

Phoenix is making 12.5 treys per game this year (12th-ranked in NBA), and it owns a 38% three-point percentage (fifth-best). Of the shots taken by the Suns in 2022-23, 63.4% of them have been two-pointers (70.2% of the team’s made baskets) and 36.6% have been from beyond three-point land (29.8%).

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What you need to know about the Sacramento Kings

In 2022-23, Sacramento is best in the league on offense (121.1 points scored per game) but fourth-worst on defense (118.3 points conceded). At home the Kings are putting up 124.2 points per game, 6.5 more than they are averaging away (117.7). The Kings have performed better offensively over their past 10 games, tallying 130.5 points per contest, 9.4 more than their season average of 121.1.

Sacramento is seventh in the league in 3-pointers made (13.4 per game) and 10th in 3-point percentage (36.9%). The Kings take 58.5% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 41.5% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 69.4% of the Kings’ baskets are 2-pointers, and 30.6% are 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this matchup is the Suns, and we project that Kings will cover the spread (Suns -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 240 points.

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You can bet on Suns vs. Kings at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Suns vs. Kings picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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