Raptors vs Heat Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Tuesday, March 28, 2023

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The Toronto Raptors (37-38) are 5.5-point favorites over the Miami Heat (40-35) on March 28, 2023 at Scotiabank Arena in a matchup featuring two of the strongest defensive squads in the NBA — the Raptors are fifth in points allowed per game (111.9) and the Heat are second (109.9). The point total is set as 219 points in the outing.

How to bet Raptors vs. Heat

Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Raptors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Raptors have -208 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +173 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 219 points.

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Raptors vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, March 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Toronto, Ontario
  • Arena: Scotiabank Arena

Raptors vs. Heat Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Raptors are 37-36-2 this year. Toronto has been chosen as the favorite in 45 games this year and has walked away with the win 27 times (60%) in those games. Raptors games this year have gone over the total in 40 out of 75 opportunities (53.3%).

In the Heat’s 75 games this year, they have 27 wins against the spread. Miami has compiled a 6-14 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 30% of those games). Heat games this year have eclipsed the over/under 35 times in 75 opportunities (46.7%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Raptors Leaders
Pascal Siakam 65 24.2 7.8 5.9 0.8 0.5 1.4
Fred VanVleet 63 19.8 4.2 7 1.7 0.6 3.1
Gary Trent Jr. 63 17.7 2.7 1.6 1.6 0.2 2.6
OG Anunoby 61 16.8 5.1 1.9 2 0.7 2.1
Scottie Barnes 70 15.5 6.8 4.7 1 0.8 0.9


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 60 22.8 6 5.1 1.9 0.4 0.6
Bam Adebayo 70 20.9 9.3 3.3 1.2 0.9 0
Tyler Herro 61 20.3 5.6 4.3 0.8 0.3 3
Max Strus 73 11.9 3.3 2.2 0.6 0.2 2.5
Kyle Lowry 50 11.6 4.2 5.1 1 0.4 2
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Raptors: Will Barton: Doubtful (Ankle), Otto Porter: Out (Foot), Gary Trent: Questionable (Elbow), Dalano Banton: Out (Thumb), Joe Wieskamp: Doubtful (Hamstring)

Heat: Kyle Lowry: Questionable (Knee), Nikola Jovic: Out (Back)

What you need to know about the Toronto Raptors

Toronto has been lifted by its defense, as it ranks fifth-best in the NBA by giving up just 111.9 points per game. It ranks 21st in the league in points scored (113 per contest). The Raptors are posting 114.4 points per game in home games. When playing on the road, they are averaging 111.4 points per contest. On offense, the Raptors have picked up their output slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 115.7 points per contest over that span compared to the 113 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.

Toronto ranks third-worst in the NBA with a 33.9% shooting percentage from downtown. Meanwhile, it is making 10.9 treys per game (24th-ranked in league). In terms of shot breakdown, the Raptors have taken 64.8% two-pointers (accounting for 73.9% of the team’s buckets) and 35.2% threes (26.1%).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

In 2022-23, Miami is worst in the NBA on offense (109.1 points scored per game) but second-best on defense (109.9 points allowed). At home, the Heat average 110.7 points per game. On the road, they average 107.5. The Heat are scoring 115.8 points per game in their last 10 games, which is 6.7 more than their average for the season (109.1).

Beyond the arc, Miami is 18th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (11.7). It is fourth-worst in 3-point percentage at 34.1%. The Heat take 59.7% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 40.3% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 69.9% of the Heat’s baskets are 2-pointers, and 30.1% are 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this game is the Raptors, and we expect that Heat will cover the spread (Raptors -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 219 points.

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You can bet on Raptors vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Raptors vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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