Oklahoma City vs. Sacramento Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, February 11, 2024

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (35-17) welcome in the Sacramento Kings (30-21) after victories in three home games in a row.

The Thunder enter their game as a 3.5-point favorite against the Kings. The game features a point total of 239.5.

Thunder vs. Kings Odds

Point Spread for Thunder vs. Kings

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Thunder as the favorite.

Oklahoma City vs. Sacramento Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Oklahoma City has -162 odds to win the game, while Sacramento is listed at +136 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 239.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, February 11, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: NBCS

Thunder vs. Kings Betting Trends

The Thunder have compiled a 31-20-1 record against the spread this season. This season, Oklahoma City has won 26 out of the 36 games, or 72.2%, in which it has been favored. This season, Thunder games have hit the over 29 times out of 51 chances.

The Kings are 27-23-1 against the spread this season. Sacramento has been an underdog in 14 games this season and has come away with the win six times (42.9%) in those contests. Games involving the Kings have hit the over 26 times this season.

Thunder vs. Kings Key Players to Watch

Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.0 points, 5.6 boards and 6.5 assists per contest, making 54.7% of shots from the field and 35.9% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game. Chet Holmgren’s numbers for the season are 16.8 points, 7.6 boards and 2.7 assists per game, shooting 53.6% from the field and 39.7% from downtown, with 1.7 made 3-pointers per game. Jalen Williams is putting up 18.6 points, 4.5 assists and 4.0 boards per game. Josh Giddey’s numbers on the season are 11.6 points, 6.2 boards and 4.5 assists per game, shooting 44.6% from the field and 33.1% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 made 3-pointers per game.

Kings

Domantas Sabonis gives the Kings 19.8 points, 13.2 boards and 8.2 assists per game. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocks. De’Aaron Fox contributes with 26.6 points per game, plus 4.0 boards and 5.4 assists. Malik Monk’s numbers for the season are 15.0 points, 2.7 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest, making 44.9% of his shots from the floor and 37.8% from 3-point range, with 2.3 triples per contest. Keegan Murray averages 15.2 points, 5.2 boards and 1.7 assists, making 46.3% of his shots from the field and 36.1% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 triples per contest.

What you need to know about the Thunder

The Thunder have been led by their offense, as they rank fourth-best in the NBA by posting 120.6 points per game. They rank 13th in the league in points allowed (113.7 per contest). The Thunder have been playing poorly in terms of rebounding this season, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA in rebounds per game (41.3) and fifth-worst in rebounds allowed per game (45.2). This year, the Thunder rank 10th in the league in assists, dishing out 27.2 per game.

Oklahoma City averages 122.8 points per game in home games, compared to 118.3 points per game in road games, a difference of 4.5 points per contest. With a 39.1% three-point percentage this season, Oklahoma City ranks third-best in the NBA. It ranks 10th in the league by draining 13.4 treys per contest. Oklahoma City is ceding 13.6 three-pointers per game (23rd-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing a 36.4% three-point percentage (12th-ranked).

The Thunder are 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 contests. Oklahoma City has hit the over in five of its last 10 games. On the offensive side of the ball, the Thunder have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 115.7 points per contest over that span compared to the 120.6 they’ve put up over the course of this season. The past 10 games have seen Oklahoma City give up 0.1 fewer points per game (113.6) than its season-long average (113.7).

What you need to know about the Kings

In 2023-24, the Kings are eighth in the league offensively (118.7 points scored per game) and 21st on defense (117.9 points allowed). In 2023-24, Sacramento is 17th in the NBA in rebounds (43.1 per game) and 13th in rebounds allowed (42.8). This season the Kings are fourth-best in the NBA in assists at 28.8 per game.

At home the Kings are scoring 121.8 points per game, 5.9 more than they are averaging away (115.9). Beyond the arc, the Kings are third-best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (15.0). They are 11th in 3-point percentage at 37.2%. Defensively, Sacramento is 23rd in the league in 3-pointers allowed per game at 13.6. It is second-worst in 3-point percentage allowed at 39.6%.

The Kings have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 5-4-1 record against the spread during that span. Six of Sacramento’s past 10 outings have gone over the total. Sacramento is averaging 120.6 points per game over its previous 10 games, which is 1.9 more than its average for the season (118.7). Over their past 10 games, the Kings are giving up 117.6 points per contest, 0.3 fewer points than their season average (117.9).

Thunder vs. Kings Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Thunder, and we predict that Thunder will cover the spread (Thunder -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 239.5 points.

How to bet Thunder vs. Kings

You can bet on Oklahoma City vs. Sacramento at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Oklahoma City vs. Sacramento picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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