Oklahoma City vs. Houston Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, December 6, 2023

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The Houston Rockets (8-9) hope to stop a three-game losing skid when hosting the Oklahoma City Thunder (13-6) on December 6, 2023 at Toyota Center.

The Thunder are a slight 2-point favorite against the Rockets. The point total for the game is 226.

Thunder vs. Rockets Odds

Point Spread for Thunder vs. Rockets

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with bookmakers listing the Thunder as the favorite.

Oklahoma City vs. Houston Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Oklahoma City has -130 odds to win the game, while Houston is listed at +110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 226 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Wednesday, December 6, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
  • TV: Spac

Thunder vs. Rockets Betting Trends

The Thunder are 14-4-1 against the spread this season. This season, Oklahoma City has been favored 10 times and won eight of those games. This season, Thunder games have hit the over 10 times out of 17 chances.

The Rockets are 10-5-2 against the spread this year. Houston has been an underdog in 14 games this season and has come away with the win five times (35.7%) in those contests. This season, Rockets games have hit the over six times.

Thunder vs. Rockets Key Players to Watch

Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is putting up 29.9 points, 6.3 assists and 5.7 boards per contest. Chet Holmgren’s numbers for the season are 17.6 points, 2.6 assists and 8.0 boards per contest. Josh Giddey puts up 12.0 points, 5.7 boards and 4.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.5 blocks. Jalen Williams is averaging 17.6 points, 3.9 assists and 4.1 boards per contest.

Rockets

Alperen Sengun gets the Rockets 21.0 points, 9.2 boards and 5.5 assists per game. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocks. Fred VanVleet chips in with 16.5 points per game, plus 4.2 boards and 9.1 assists. Jalen Green gives the Rockets 19.0 points, 4.6 boards and 3.3 assists per game, plus 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocks. Jabari Smith Jr. averages 13.3 points, 7.8 boards and 1.5 assists, making 50.6% of his shots from the field and 35.8% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per game.

What you need to know about the Thunder

The Thunder own a top-five offense this season, ranking fifth-best in the league with 119.7 points per game. Defensively, they rank ninth with 111.4 points allowed per contest. The Thunder rank third-worst in the NBA with 46.1 rebounds allowed per contest. Meanwhile, they are grabbing 41.8 boards per game (25th-ranked in league). So far this year, the Thunder rank 17th in the league in assists, dishing out 25.6 per game.

Oklahoma City is averaging 121.3 points per game at home. On the road, it is averaging 118.0 points per contest. With a 40.2% three-point percentage this season, Oklahoma City is best in the NBA. It ranks 11th in the league by draining 13.3 treys per contest. Oklahoma City is giving up 13.2 treys per game (19th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing a 34.6% three-point percentage (sixth-ranked).

The Thunder are 8-1-1 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. Six of Oklahoma City’s past 10 outings have gone over the total. In their last 10 games, the Thunder have been putting up 122.7 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 119.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Oklahoma City’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (107.4) is 4.0 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (111.4).

What you need to know about the Rockets

The Rockets are the fifth-worst team in the NBA in points scored (110.1 per game) but second-best in points conceded (107.2). In 2023-24, Houston is 17th in the league in rebounds (43.9 per game) and 18th in rebounds conceded (44.3). This season the Rockets are ranked 10th in the NBA in assists at 26.2 per game.

At home the Rockets are scoring 111.9 points per game, 3.9 more than they are averaging on the road (108.0). The Rockets make 12.4 3-pointers per game and shoot 35.9% from beyond the arc, ranking 15th and 17th, respectively, in the league. In 2023-24 Houston is sixth in the NBA in 3-pointers conceded (11.4 per game) and best in defensive 3-point percentage (33.1%).

The Rockets have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games, with a 6-2-2 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Houston has hit the over three times. Over its last 10 games, Houston is posting 108.3 points per contest, 1.8 fewer points than its season average (110.1). While the Rockets are surrendering 107.2 points per game in 2023-24, they have been worse over their last 10 games, allowing 107.6 points per contest.

Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Thunder, and we project that Rockets will cover the spread (Thunder -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 226 points.

How to bet Thunder vs. Rockets

You can bet on Oklahoma City vs. Houston at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Oklahoma City vs. Houston picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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