Oklahoma City vs. Dallas Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, February 10, 2024

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The Dallas Mavericks (29-23) will look to Luka Doncic (first in NBA, 34.6 points per game) going up against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (second in league, 31.1) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (35-16) on February 10, 2024 at American Airlines Center.

The Thunder head into their game as a 2.5-point favorite against the Mavericks. The point total for the game is set at 243.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds

Point Spread for Thunder vs. Mavericks

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Thunder as the favorite.

Oklahoma City vs. Dallas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Oklahoma City has -142 odds to win the game, while Dallas is listed at +120 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 243 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, February 10, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: NBA

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

The Thunder have covered the spread 31 times this season (31-19-1). Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 35 games this season and won 26 (74.3%) of those contests. Games involving the Thunder have hit the over 28 times out of 52 chances this season.

The Mavericks have put together a 27-25-0 record against the spread this year. Dallas has been victorious in eight, or 34.8%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season. This season, Mavericks games have hit the over 26 times.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Thunder

Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.1 points, 5.6 boards and 6.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 2.2 steals (first in NBA) and 0.9 blocks. Chet Holmgren puts up 16.9 points, 7.5 boards and 2.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 2.6 blocks (fourth in league). Jalen Williams’ numbers for the season are 18.8 points, 4.0 boards and 4.5 assists per contest, shooting 53.9% from the field and 45.2% from beyond the arc (fourth in NBA), with 1.5 made 3-pointers per game. Josh Giddey’s numbers on the season are 11.6 points, 6.2 boards and 4.5 assists per contest, shooting 45.2% from the floor.

Mavericks

Doncic’s averages for the season are 34.6 points, 8.8 rebounds and 9.5 assists, making 48.9% of his shots from the field and 37.8% from 3-point range, with 4.0 triples per game (second in NBA). Daniel Gafford gets 10.9 points, 8.0 boards and 1.5 assists per contest, plus 1.0 steal and 2.2 blocks (seventh in NBA). Kyrie Irving’s numbers for the season are 25.2 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.4 assists per contest, making 48.0% of his shots from the field and 42.1% from 3-point range, with 2.9 triples per game. The Mavericks get 17.9 points, 3.7 boards and 1.7 assists per game from Tim Hardaway Jr..

What you need to know about the Thunder

The Thunder sport a top-five offense this year, ranking fourth-best in the league with 120.8 points per game. Defensively, they rank 11th with 113.0 points allowed per contest. The Thunder have found it difficult to pile up rebounds this season, ranking fifth-worst in the league with 41.4 boards per game. They rank 25th by allowing 45.0 rebounds per contest. The Thunder are delivering 27.3 dimes per game, which ranks them 10th in the NBA in 2023-24.

Offensively Oklahoma City has performed better in home games this year, posting 122.8 points per game, compared to 118.6 per game on the road. Oklahoma City ranks third-best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 39.2%. It ranks 11th in the league by sinking 13.3 threes per contest. Oklahoma City is 22nd in the NBA with 13.5 threes allowed per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 12th with a 36.4% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Thunder have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Oklahoma City has gone over the total four times. The Thunder have been scoring 114.8 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 120.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 season. Oklahoma City has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 108.7 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 113.0 it has conceded per game this season.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

On offense the Mavericks are the 10th-ranked squad in the NBA (118.3 points per game). Defensively they are 22nd (118.1 points conceded per game). In 2023-24, Dallas is 25th in the league in rebounds (41.5 per game) and fourth-worst in rebounds conceded (45.6). The Mavericks are 22nd in the league in assists (25.4 per game) in 2023-24.

At home the Mavericks are putting up 119.9 points per game, 3.3 more than they are averaging on the road (116.6). In 2023-24 the Mavericks are second-best in the league in 3-point makes (15.2 per game), and they rank No. 10 in 3-point percentage (37.4%). Dallas gives up 13.1 3-pointers per game and concedes 36.9% from beyond the arc, ranking 16th and 18th, respectively, in the league.

The Mavericks have gone 5-5 over their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Three of Dallas’ past 10 games have hit the over. Over its previous 10 games, Dallas is averaging 117.6 points per contest, compared to its season average of 118.3. The Mavericks are allowing 121.0 points per contest over their last 10 games, which is 2.9 more points than they are allowing for the season (118.1).

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Thunder, and we project that Thunder will cover the spread (Thunder -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 243 points.

How to bet Thunder vs. Mavericks

You can bet on Oklahoma City vs. Dallas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Oklahoma City vs. Dallas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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