Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, April 2, 2023

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The Golden State Warriors (41-37) visit the Denver Nuggets (51-26) on April 2, 2023 at Ball Arena. The Warriors are favorites, by 3.5 points, in a contest pitting one of the top 3-point shooting squads in the NBA versus one of the best squads defending against it. The Warriors make 16.6 treys per game (first in league), while the Nuggets concede only 11.3 (second). The matchup’s point total is set at 231.

How to bet Warriors vs. Nuggets

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Warriors as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Warriors have -144 odds to pick up the win, while the Nuggets are listed at +130 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 231 points.

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Warriors vs. Nuggets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, April 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBCS
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Warriors vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

The Warriors have played 78 games, with 36 wins against the spread. Golden State has won 34, or 63%, of the 54 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Warriors games this year have eclipsed the over/under 43 times in 77 opportunities (55.8%).

The Nuggets have 41 wins against the spread in 77 games this season. Denver has an 8-10 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.4% of those games). Nuggets games this season have hit the over on 35 of 77 set point totals (45.5%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Warriors Leaders
Stephen Curry 52 29.7 6.2 6.3 0.9 0.3 4.9
Klay Thompson 66 21.7 4.2 2.4 0.7 0.4 4.3
Jordan Poole 78 20.5 2.7 4.6 0.8 0.3 2.6
Jonathan Kuminga 63 9.8 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.8
Donte DiVincenzo 68 9.1 4.3 3.3 1.3 0.1 2


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 67 24.9 11.9 9.9 1.2 0.7 0.9
Jamal Murray 62 20.2 4 6.2 1 0.2 2.7
Michael Porter Jr. 59 17.2 5.4 1.1 0.6 0.5 3
Aaron Gordon 65 16.4 6.5 2.9 0.8 0.7 0.9
Bruce Brown 76 11.2 4.1 3.3 1 0.6 1.2
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Warriors vs. Nuggets Injury Report

Nuggets: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Probable (Illness), Jamal Murray: Probable (Injury Management), Michael Porter: Probable (Injury Management), Nikola Jokic: Out (Calf), Zeke Nnaji: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Golden State Warriors

Golden State sports a top-five offense this season, ranking third-best in the league with 118.3 points per game. Defensively, it ranks 23rd with 117.6 points allowed per contest. At home, the Warriors are posting two more points per game (119.3) than they are when playing on the road (117.3). The Warriors have seen an uptick in scoring recently, racking up 120.1 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.8 points more than the 118.3 they’ve scored this year.

Golden State is playing well in terms of three-point shooting, as it ranks best in the league in threes (16.6 per game) and second-best in shooting percentage from downtown (38.4%). So far this season, the Warriors have taken 52% two-pointers, accounting for 61.5% of the team’s buckets. They have shot 48% from beyond the arc (38.5% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver scores 116.1 points per game and allow 112.4, making them 10th in the NBA on offense and ninth defensively. At home, the Nuggets average 119.8 points per game. On the road, they score 112.3. The Nuggets are posting 111.1 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is five fewer points than their average for the season (116.1).

Denver is 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (11.9 per game) and second-best in 3-point percentage (38.4%). The Nuggets attempt 64% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 36% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 72.7% of the Nuggets’ buckets are 2-pointers, and 27.3% are 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Nuggets, and we expect that Nuggets will cover the spread (Warriors -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 231 points.

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You can bet on Warriors vs. Nuggets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Warriors vs. Nuggets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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