Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – NBA Playoffs Game 5

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The Minnesota Timberwolves will aim to pull off an upset as 10-point underdogs in a decisive Game 5 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Tuesday, tipping off at 9:00 PM ET on NBA. The Nuggets are ahead 3-1 in the series. The matchup’s point total is 220.5.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10 points, with sportsbooks listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -489 odds to pick up the win, while the Timberwolves are listed at +372 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 220.5 points.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, April 25, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBA
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

In the Nuggets’ 82 games this year, they have 44 wins against the spread. Denver has been victorious in 43, or 70.5%, of the 61 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 37 of 82 set point totals.

Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 39-41-2 this year. Minnesota has won 21 of the 43 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (48.8%). Timberwolves games this season have eclipsed the over/under 37 times in 82 opportunities (45.1%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 69 24.5 11.8 9.8 1.3 0.7 0.8
Jamal Murray 65 20.0 4.0 6.2 1.0 0.2 2.6
Michael Porter Jr. 62 17.4 5.5 1.0 0.6 0.5 3.0
Aaron Gordon 68 16.3 6.6 3.0 0.8 0.8 0.9
Bruce Brown 80 11.5 4.1 3.4 1.1 0.6 1.1


Timberwolves Leaders
Anthony Edwards 79 24.6 5.8 4.4 1.6 0.7 2.7
Karl-Anthony Towns 29 20.8 8.1 4.8 0.7 0.6 2.1
Rudy Gobert 70 13.4 11.6 1.2 0.8 1.4 0.0
Mike Conley 67 11.9 2.7 6.7 1.1 0.2 2.0
Jaylen Nowell 65 10.8 2.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 1.0
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Injury Report

Timberwolves: Naz Reid: Out (Wrist), Jaden McDaniels: Out (Hand), Jaylen Nowell: Questionable (Knee), Kyle Anderson: Out (Eye)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

On offense, Denver is averaging 115.8 points per game (12th-ranked in league). It is giving up 112.5 points per contest at the other end of the court (eighth-ranked). Offensively the Nuggets have played better at home this year, scoring 119.4 points per game, compared to 112.2 per game in away games. In their last 10 games, the Nuggets have been putting up 110.5 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 115.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Denver ranks fourth-best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 37.9%. It ranks 18th in the league by making 11.8 threes per contest. This year, the Nuggets have taken 63.9% two-pointers, accounting for 72.9% of the team’s baskets. They have shot 36.1% from beyond the arc (27.1% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Minnesota Timberwolves

At 115.8 points scored per game and 115.8 points conceded, Minnesota is 12th in the league offensively and 18th on defense. In 2022-23 the Timberwolves are scoring 0.3 more points per game at home (115.9) than away (115.6). While the Timberwolves are putting up 115.8 points per game in 2022-23, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, producing 110.5 points per contest.

At 12.2 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 36.5% from beyond the arc, Minnesota is 13th and 13th in the league, respectively, in those categories. The Timberwolves take 61.9% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 38.1% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 71.6% of the Timberwolves’ buckets are 2-pointers, and 28.4% are 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Nuggets, and we expect that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Nuggets -10). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 220.5 points.

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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