Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – NBA Playoffs Game 1

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The Minnesota Timberwolves will look to pull off an upset as 8-point underdogs heading into Game 1 of the first round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Sunday, starting at 10:30 PM ET on TNT. The matchup’s over/under is set at 224.5.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8 points, with bookmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -337 odds to pick up the win, while the Timberwolves are listed at +266 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 224.5 points.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, April 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

The Nuggets are 44-36-2 against the spread this year. Denver has been chosen as the favorite in 61 games this year and has walked away with the win 43 times (70.5%) in those games. Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 37 of 82 set point totals.

Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 39-41-2 this year. Minnesota has won 48.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (21-22). The Timberwolves have eclipsed the over/under 45.1% of the time this year (37 of 82 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 69 24.5 11.8 9.8 1.3 0.7 0.8
Jamal Murray 65 20 4 6.2 1 0.2 2.6
Michael Porter Jr. 62 17.4 5.5 1 0.6 0.5 3
Aaron Gordon 68 16.3 6.6 3 0.8 0.8 0.9
Bruce Brown 80 11.5 4.1 3.4 1.1 0.6 1.1


Timberwolves Leaders
Anthony Edwards 79 24.6 5.8 4.4 1.6 0.7 2.7
Karl-Anthony Towns 29 20.8 8.1 4.8 0.7 0.6 2.1
Rudy Gobert 70 13.4 11.6 1.2 0.8 1.4 0
Mike Conley 67 11.9 2.7 6.7 1.1 0.2 2
Jaylen Nowell 65 10.8 2.6 2 0.6 0.1 1
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Injury Report

Timberwolves: Naz Reid: Out (Wrist), Rudy Gobert: Questionable (Back), Jaden McDaniels: Out (Hand), Jaylen Nowell: Questionable (Knee)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver is scoring 115.8 points per game (12th-ranked in NBA) this season, while ceding 112.5 points per contest (eighth-ranked). The Nuggets are posting 119.4 points per game when playing at home. On the road, they are averaging 112.2 points per contest. The Nuggets have been scoring 109.7 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 115.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign.

Denver ranks fourth-best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 37.9%. It ranks 18th in the league by sinking 11.8 threes per contest. The Nuggets are attempting 55.2 two-pointers per game this season, which account for 63.9% of the shots they’ve taken (and 72.9% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 31.2 threes per contest, which are 36.1% of their shots (and 27.1% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the Minnesota Timberwolves

With 115.8 points scored per game and 115.8 points conceded, Minnesota is 12th in the league on offense and 18th defensively. The Timberwolves average 115.9 points per game at home, and 115.6 on the road. The Timberwolves are posting 115 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 0.8 fewer points than their average for the season (115.8).

With 12.2 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 36.5% from beyond the arc, Minnesota is 13th and 13th in the NBA, respectively, in those categories. In 2022-23, the Timberwolves have taken 61.9% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 38.1% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 71.6% of the Timberwolves’ buckets have been 2-pointers, and 28.4% have been 3-pointers.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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