Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, February 5, 2023

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (28-27) play the Denver Nuggets (37-16) as 8-point favorites on Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET on ALT. The over/under in the game is 226.5.

How to bet Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8 points, with sportsbooks listing the Timberwolves as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Timberwolves have -311 odds to pick up the win, while the Nuggets are listed at +249 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 226.5 points.

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, February 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ALT
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

The Timberwolves have played 55 games, with 25 wins against the spread. Minnesota has been the favorite in 28 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (53.6%) in those contests. Timberwolves games this year have gone over the total in 24 out of 53 opportunities (45.3%).

The Nuggets have played 53 games, with 28 wins against the spread. Denver has won 50% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (6-6). Nuggets games this season have gone over the point total 49.1% of the time (26 out of 53 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Timberwolves Leaders
Anthony Edwards 55 24.8 6.1 4.6 1.7 0.6 2.7
D’Angelo Russell 52 18.1 3.1 6.2 1.1 0.4 2.8
Rudy Gobert 45 13.4 11.6 0.9 0.9 1.3 0
Jaden McDaniels 52 11.3 3.8 2 1 1 1.2
Jaylen Nowell 55 10.7 2.6 2 0.7 0.1 1


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 46 24.8 11.3 10.1 1.3 0.7 0.9
Jamal Murray 45 20.2 4.1 5.8 1 0.2 2.4
Aaron Gordon 47 16.7 6.8 2.7 0.7 0.8 1
Michael Porter Jr. 36 16.4 5.5 1.1 0.7 0.5 2.8
Nah’Shon Hyland 42 12.1 2 3 0.7 0.3 2.2
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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Injury Report

Nuggets: Nah’Shon Hyland: Probable (Illness), Nikola Jokic: Probable (Hamstring), Aaron Gordon: Probable (Ankle), Jack White: Out (Adductor), Collin Gillespie: Out (Lower Leg)

What you need to know about the Minnesota Timberwolves

With 115.2 points per game on offense, Minnesota is 10th in the NBA. At the other end of the court, it surrenders 115.2 points per contest, which ranks 19th in the league. The Timberwolves average 117.2 points per game in home games, compared to 112.7 points per game on the road, a difference of 4.5 points per contest. In their last 10 games, the Timberwolves have been putting up 116.2 points per contest, an average that’s a little higher than the 115.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

With 11.9 treys per game, Minnesota is 16th in the NBA. It has a 35.4% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 18th in the league. Of the shots taken by the Timberwolves in 2022-23, 61.4% of them have been two-pointers (72.1% of the team’s made baskets) and 38.6% have been threes (27.9%).

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What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

With 117.2 points scored per game and 112.7 points allowed, Denver is sixth in the league offensively and 11th on defense. The Nuggets are scoring more points at home (120.6 per game) than away (113.1). Over their last 10 games, the Nuggets are averaging 117.8 points per contest, 0.6 more than their season average (117.2).

Beyond the arc, Denver is 12th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (12.4). It is best in 3-point percentage at 39.8%. In 2022-23, the Nuggets have attempted 64% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 36% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 71.8% of the Nuggets’ baskets have been 2-pointers, and 28.2% have been 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this game is the Nuggets, and we project that Nuggets will cover the spread (Timberwolves -8). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 226.5 points.

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You can bet on Timberwolves vs. Nuggets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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