Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, October 22

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The Denver Nuggets (1-1) face the Oklahoma City Thunder (0-1) as 8.5-point favorites on Saturday, October 22, 2022 at 9:00 PM ET on ALT. The matchup has a 225.5 point total.

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -353 odds to pick up the win, while the Thunder are listed at +283 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 225.5 points.

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Nuggets vs. Thunder Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, October 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ALT
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Thunder Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Nuggets were 37-45-0 last season. Denver was favored on the moneyline 53 total times last season. It went 35-18 in those games. Last year, 46 of the Nuggets’ 82 games hit the over.

The Thunder’s record against the spread last season was 48-29-5. Last season, Oklahoma City was the underdog 79 times and won 22, or 27.8%, of those games. There were 41 Thunder games (out of 82) that went over the total last year.

Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nikola Jokic 74 27.1 13.7 7.9 1.5 0.9 1.3
Aaron Gordon 75 15 5.8 2.5 0.6 0.6 1.2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 77 13.2 3.4 1.9 1.1 0.3 2.1
Jeff Green 75 10.3 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.7
Michael Porter Jr. 9 9.9 6.6 1.9 1.1 0.2 1.1


Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 56 24.5 5 5.9 1.3 0.8 1.6
Luguentz Dort 51 17.2 4.2 1.7 0.9 0.4 2.5
Jaylen Hoard 7 14.7 11.9 2.4 0.9 0.7 1.3
Zavier Simpson 4 11 5.3 7.5 1.3 1 0.3
Darius Bazley 69 10.8 6.3 1.4 0.8 1 1.2
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Nuggets vs. Thunder Injury Report

Nuggets: Jamal Murray: Questionable (Injury Management), Nikola Jokic: Probable (Finger), Collin Gillespie: Out (Lower Leg)

Thunder: Chet Holmgren: Out (Foot)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

At 112.7 points scored per game and 110.4 points conceded last year, Denver was 10th in the NBA on offense and 14th defensively. Offensively the Nuggets played better at home last season, posting 114.8 points per game, compared to 110.7 per game when playing on the road.

Beyond the arc, Denver was 13th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12.7) last year. It was 16th in 3-point percentage at 35.3%. Last year, the Nuggets attempted 58.4% of their shots from inside the arc, and 41.6% from beyond it. In terms of makes, 69.6% of the Nuggets’ buckets were 2-pointers, and 30.4% were 3-pointers.

What you need to know about the Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City scored only 103.7 points per game (worst in NBA) last season, but it played more consistently at the other end, where it allowed 111.8 points per game (15th-ranked). In 2021-22, the Thunder averaged 1.9 more points per game at home (104.7) than away (102.8).

Oklahoma City ranked worst in the NBA with a 32.3% shooting percentage from three-point land. Meanwhile, it made 12.1 threes per game (17th-ranked in league). The Thunder took 58.1% two-pointers and 41.9% three-pointers last year. Of the team’s buckets, 68.4% were two-pointers and 31.6% were three-pointers.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Predictions and Pick

Our prediction to win this game is the Nuggets, and we expect that Nuggets will cover the spread (Nuggets -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 225.5 points.

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How to bet Nuggets vs. Thunder

You can bet on Nuggets vs. Thunder at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Thunder picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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