Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, January 22, 2023

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The Denver Nuggets (33-13) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (22-24) on January 22, 2023 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are favorites, by 5.5 points, in a matchup featuring a pair of the league’s top players, the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic and the Thunder’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The matchup’s over/under is 239.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Thunder

Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -209 odds to pick up the win, while the Thunder are listed at +172 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 239 points.

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Nuggets vs. Thunder Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 22, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ALT
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Thunder Betting Trends

The Nuggets have played 46 games, with 24 wins against the spread. Denver has won 27, or 75%, of the 36 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Nuggets games this year have hit the over 22 times in 46 opportunities (47.8%).

The Thunder are 30-16-0 against the spread this year. Oklahoma City has gone 16-17 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 48.5% of those games). Thunder games this year have hit the over on 25 of 46 set point totals (54.3%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 41 25.1 11 9.9 1.4 0.6 0.9
Jamal Murray 39 18.7 4.1 5.6 0.9 0.2 2.2
Aaron Gordon 41 16.8 6.7 2.6 0.8 0.8 1
Michael Porter Jr. 32 16.2 5.7 1.1 0.6 0.5 2.7
Nah’Shon Hyland 38 12.6 2.2 3.1 0.7 0.3 2.3


Thunder Leaders
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 42 30.6 4.8 5.5 1.7 1 1
Josh Giddey 41 16 8 5.8 0.6 0.5 1
Luguentz Dort 45 14.3 4.3 2.2 1 0.3 1.9
Jalen Williams 42 11.7 3.9 2.9 1 0.5 0.8
Isaiah Joe 36 8.3 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.1 2.1
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Nuggets: Nah’Shon Hyland: Questionable (Finger), Vlatko Cancar: Questionable (Illness), Jamal Murray: Questionable (Foot/Ankle), Nikola Jokic: Questionable (Hamstring), Peyton Watson: Out (Adductor), Collin Gillespie: Out (Lower Leg)

Thunder: Aleksej Pokusevski: Out (Leg), Jeremiah Robinson-Earl: Out (Ankle), Chet Holmgren: Out (Foot)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver has been lifted by its offense, as it ranks third-best in the NBA by putting up 117.6 points per game. It ranks 14th in the league in points allowed (113.1 per contest). The Nuggets are averaging 120.5 points per game at home. In away games, they are averaging 114.2 points per contest. On offense, the Nuggets have increased their output a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 121.4 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 117.6 they’ve put up over the course of this year.

Denver is sinking 12.2 treys per game this year (12th-ranked in NBA), and it has a 39.9% three-point percentage (best). Of the shots attempted by the Nuggets in 2022-23, 64.4% of them have been two-pointers (72.2% of the team’s made baskets) and 35.6% have been from beyond three-point land (27.8%).

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What you need to know about the Oklahoma City Thunder

In 2022-23, Oklahoma City is eighth in the NBA offensively (116.9 points scored per game) and 20th on defense (115.9 points allowed). At home the Thunder are scoring 119.1 points per game, 4.4 more than they are averaging on the road (114.7). The Thunder have fared better offensively in their past 10 games, scoring 123.1 points per contest, 6.2 more than their season average of 116.9.

Oklahoma City is 12th in the NBA in 3-pointers made (12.2 per game) and 16th in 3-point percentage (35.9%). In 2022-23, the Thunder have taken 36.5% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 63.5% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 28.1% of the Thunder’s buckets have been 3-pointers, and 71.9% have been 2-pointers.

Nuggets vs. Thunder Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Thunder at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Thunder picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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