Nuggets vs Suns Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Wednesday, January 11, 2023

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A game between one of the NBA’s hottest teams and one that is struggling will see the Denver Nuggets (27-13), winners of three in a row, and 8-2 in their past 10 games, battle the Phoenix Suns (21-21), are 2-8 in their past 10. The Nuggets are 14.5-point favorites for this contest at Ball Arena on January 11, 2023. The over/under for the matchup is 227.5.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Suns

Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 14.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -1060 odds to pick up the win, while the Suns are listed at +686 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 227.5 points.

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Nuggets vs. Suns Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, January 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Suns Betting Trends

In the Nuggets’ 40 games this year, they have 20 wins against the spread. Denver has been victorious in 22, or 71%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. Nuggets games this year have eclipsed the over/under 47.6% of the time (20 out of 42 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, the Suns are 21-21-0 this year. Phoenix has won five of the 15 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%). Suns games this season have hit the over 45.2% of the time (19 out of 42 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 37 25 10.8 9.7 1.4 0.6 0.9
Jamal Murray 33 18.5 3.9 5.3 0.9 0.2 2.1
Aaron Gordon 35 16.6 7.1 2.3 0.9 0.8 0.9
Michael Porter Jr. 26 16.2 5.9 1.2 0.6 0.5 2.7
Nah’Shon Hyland 32 13.4 2.3 3.2 0.6 0.3 2.5


Suns Leaders
Deandre Ayton 37 17.5 9.8 2 0.5 0.7 0.2
Mikal Bridges 42 15.7 4.6 3.2 1.1 0.9 1.8
Chris Paul 26 13.1 4.2 8.3 1.5 0.3 1.7
Landry Shamet 29 9.6 1.6 2.1 0.6 0.2 2.1
Damion Lee 42 8.6 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 1.8
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Nuggets: Nah’Shon Hyland: Probable (Thigh), Zeke Nnaji: Probable (Knee), Bruce Brown: Probable (Thumb), Peyton Watson: Out (Adductor), Jeff Green: Out (Hand), Collin Gillespie: Out (Lower Leg)

Suns: Landry Shamet: Out (Hip), Deandre Ayton: Out (Ankle), Chris Paul: Out (Hip), Cameron Payne: Out (Foot), Devin Booker: Out (Groin), Cameron Johnson: Out (Knee), Jae Crowder: Out (Not Injury Related)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver owns a top-five offense this season, ranking fifth-best in the league with 116.8 points per game. On defense, it ranks 16th with 113.7 points allowed per contest. The Nuggets are posting 119.5 points per game in home games. In away games, they are averaging 114.2 points per contest. The Nuggets have seen an increase in scoring recently, racking up 121 points per game in their last 10 contests, 4.2 points more than the 116.8 they’ve scored this season.

With a 39.9% three-point percentage this season, Denver ranks best in the NBA. It ranks 13th in the league by making 12.2 three-pointers per contest. So far this year, the Nuggets have taken 64.6% two-pointers, accounting for 72.1% of the team’s buckets. They have shot 35.4% threes (27.9% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Phoenix Suns

Offensively Phoenix is the 17th-ranked team in the league (113 points per game). On defense it is sixth (111 points allowed per game). In 2022-23 the Suns are averaging 2.3 more points per game at home (114.2) than away (111.9). The Suns have performed worse offensively in their last 10 games, compiling 104.6 points per contest, 8.4 fewer points their than season average of 113.

Phoenix is eighth in the NBA in 3-pointers made (13 per game) and third-best in 3-point percentage (38.4%). The Suns attempt 62.4% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 37.6% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 68.9% of the Suns’ baskets are 2-pointers, and 31.1% are 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Nuggets, and we predict that Suns will cover the spread (Nuggets -14.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 227.5 points.

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Suns at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Suns picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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