Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Friday, March 10, 2023

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A matchup featuring one of the NBA’s hottest teams and one that is sputtering will see the Denver Nuggets (46-20), 8-2 in their past 10 games, play the San Antonio Spurs (16-49), who’ve dropped two straight and are 2-8 in their past 10. The Nuggets are 13-point favorites for this contest at AT&T Center on March 10, 2023. A 236-point over/under has been set for this matchup.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Spurs

Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 13 points, with bookmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -848 odds to pick up the win, while the Spurs are listed at +579 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 236 points.

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Nuggets vs. Spurs Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSW
  • Location: San Antonio, Texas
  • Arena: AT&T Center

Nuggets vs. Spurs Betting Trends

In the Nuggets’ 66 games this year, they have 36 wins against the spread. Denver has been chosen as the favorite in 50 games this year and has walked away with the win 38 times (76%) in those games. Nuggets games this year have eclipsed the over/under 49.2% of the time (32 out of 65 games with a set point total).

The Spurs have played 65 games, with 26 wins against the spread. San Antonio has won 14 of the 62 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (22.6%). Spurs games this season have gone over the point total 55.4% of the time (36 out of 65 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players

Nuggets

Nuggets Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 58 24.3 11.8 10 1.2 0.7 0.8
Jamal Murray 52 20.1 4 6 1 0.2 2.5
Michael Porter Jr. 49 17.2 5.4 1 0.7 0.5 3
Aaron Gordon 54 16.9 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.8 0.9
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 63 11.2 2.8 2.5 1.4 0.4 1.9

Spurs

Spurs Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Keldon Johnson 56 21.6 4.8 2.8 0.7 0.2 2.1
Devin Vassell 31 19.2 3.8 3.6 1.2 0.4 2.8
Malaki Branham 50 9.4 2.4 2 0.5 0.1 1.1
Keita Bates-Diop 50 8.7 3.5 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.6
Joshua Primo 4 7 3.3 4.5 0.3 0.5 0.8
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Nuggets vs. Spurs Injury Report

Spurs: Doug McDermott: Out (Thumb), Khem Birch: Out (Knee), Zach Collins: Out (Ankle), Romeo Langford: Out (Adductor), Isaiah Roby: Out (Ankle), Tre Jones: Out (Foot), Joshua Primo: Out (Undisclosed), Jeremy Sochan: Out (Quadricep)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

This season, Denver is averaging 116.8 points per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) and allowing 112.7 points per contest (11th-ranked). The Nuggets average 120.6 points per game when playing at home, compared to 112.6 points per game in road games, a difference of eight points per contest. In their last 10 games, the Nuggets have been racking up 115.2 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 116.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Denver is making 12.2 threes per game this season (15th-ranked in NBA), and it owns a 38.9% three-point percentage (second-best). Of the shots taken by the Nuggets in 2022-23, 63.7% of them have been two-pointers (72.2% of the team’s made baskets) and 36.3% have been from beyond the arc (27.8%).

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What you need to know about the San Antonio Spurs

On offense, San Antonio is the 24th-ranked team in the league (112.1 points per game). Defensively, it is the worst (122.3 points conceded per game). At home the Spurs are scoring 113 points per game, 1.9 more than they are averaging on the road (111.1). The Spurs have performed worse offensively in their past 10 games, putting up 110.6 points per contest, 1.5 fewer points their than season average of 112.1.

In 2022-23 San Antonio is third-worst in the NBA in 3-point makes (10.5 per game) and rank 25th in 3-point percentage (34%). In 2022-23, the Spurs have taken 66.3% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 33.7% percent from beyond it. In terms of made shots, 75.4% of the Spurs’ baskets have been 2-pointers, and 24.6% have been 3-pointers.

Our pick to win this contest is the Nuggets, and we project that Spurs will cover the spread (Nuggets -13). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 236 points.

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Spurs at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Spurs picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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