Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Tuesday, April 4, 2023

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The Denver Nuggets (52-26) are 8.5-point favorites against the Houston Rockets (19-60) on April 4, 2023 at Toyota Center. The Rockets are sputtering right now, going 2-8 during their past 10 games. The over/under is set at 230 points for this matchup.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Rockets

Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -369 odds to pick up the win, while the Rockets are listed at +293 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 230 points.

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Nuggets vs. Rockets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, April 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Spor
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Arena: Toyota Center

Nuggets vs. Rockets Betting Trends

The Nuggets have 42 wins against the spread in 78 games this year. Denver has been chosen as the favorite in 59 games this year and has walked away with the win 43 times (72.9%) in those games. Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 35 of 79 set point totals.

The Rockets have played 79 games, with 30 wins against the spread. Houston has been the underdog on the moneyline 74 total times this season. Houston has finished 16-58 in those games. Rockets games this year have hit the over 50.6% of the time (40 out of 79 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 67 24.9 11.9 9.9 1.2 0.7 0.9
Jamal Murray 63 20.3 4 6.2 1 0.2 2.7
Michael Porter Jr. 60 17.4 5.5 1 0.6 0.5 3
Aaron Gordon 66 16.4 6.6 3 0.8 0.7 0.9
Bruce Brown 77 11.2 4.1 3.3 1.1 0.6 1.2


Rockets Leaders
Jalen Green 73 22.1 3.7 3.7 0.8 0.2 2.5
Kevin Porter Jr. 57 19 5.4 5.7 1.4 0.3 2.4
Alperen Sengun 72 14.8 8.8 3.8 0.9 0.9 0.2
Kenyon Martin Jr. 79 12.7 5.5 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.9
Jabari Smith Jr. 76 12.6 7.2 1.3 0.5 0.9 1.6
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Nuggets vs. Rockets Injury Report

Rockets: Jae’Sean Tate: Out (Knee), John Wall: Out (Abdominal)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

With 116.1 points per game on offense, Denver is 10th in the NBA. At the other end of the court, it surrenders 112.4 points per contest, which ranks ninth in the league. The Nuggets are averaging 119.7 points per game in home games. On the road, they are averaging 112.3 points per contest. In their last 10 games, the Nuggets have been putting up 110.3 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 116.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Denver is making 11.9 threes per game this season (16th-ranked in NBA), and it sports a 38.3% three-point percentage (second-best). Of the shots taken by the Nuggets in 2022-23, 64% of them have been two-pointers (72.8% of the team’s made baskets) and 36% have been from beyond the arc (27.2%).

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What you need to know about the Houston Rockets

In 2022-23, Houston is second-worst in the league on offense (110.5 points scored per game) and third-worst on defense (119 points allowed). The Rockets are scoring fewer points at home (110.4 per game) than away (110.6). While the Rockets are scoring 110.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark over their last 10 games, amassing 111.8 a contest.

Beyond the arc, Houston is second-worst in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (10.5). And it is worst in 3-point percentage at 32.6%. In 2022-23, the Rockets have taken 36.3% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 63.7% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 26% of the Rockets’ buckets have been 3-pointers, and 74% have been 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Nuggets, and we expect that Nuggets will cover the spread (Nuggets -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 230 points.

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Rockets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Rockets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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