Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, February 28, 2023

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The Denver Nuggets (43-19) visit the Houston Rockets (13-47) on February 28, 2023 at Toyota Center. The Rockets are underdogs by a 10.5-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games. The over/under for the matchup is set at 232 points.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Rockets

Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 10.5 points, with sportsbooks listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -543 odds to pick up the win, while the Rockets are listed at +403 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 232 points.

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Nuggets vs. Rockets Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, February 28, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ALT
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Arena: Toyota Center

Nuggets vs. Rockets Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Nuggets are 34-26-2 this season. Denver has won 35, or 76.1%, of the 46 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 30 of 60 set point totals.

The Rockets have played 60 games, with 22 wins against the spread. Houston has a 13-45 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 22.4% of those games). The Rockets have hit the over 48.3% of the time this year (29 of 60 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 54 24.8 11.7 10 1.3 0.7 0.8
Jamal Murray 48 19.9 4.1 6 1 0.2 2.4
Aaron Gordon 50 17.1 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.8 1
Michael Porter Jr. 45 17 5.4 1 0.6 0.5 3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 59 11.4 2.9 2.3 1.4 0.5 1.9


Rockets Leaders
Jalen Green 54 21.8 4 3.6 0.8 0.2 2.5
Kevin Porter Jr. 40 19.2 5.5 5.6 1.3 0.4 2.2
Alperen Sengun 55 15 8.8 3.8 0.8 0.9 0.2
Jabari Smith Jr. 57 12 7.1 1.2 0.5 1 1.6
Kenyon Martin Jr. 60 11.8 5.6 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.9
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Nuggets vs. Rockets Injury Report

Rockets: Danny Green: Out (Trade Pending), John Wall: Out (Abdominal), Kevin Porter: Questionable (Foot), Jae’Sean Tate: Out (Ankle)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver is sixth in the NBA with 117 points per game this year. At the other end of the court, it ranks 13th with 112.8 points allowed per game. The Nuggets are posting 121.7 points per game in home games. When playing on the road, they are averaging 111.9 points per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Nuggets have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 116.8 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 117 they’ve put up over the course of this year.

Denver is sinking 12.1 threes per game this season (15th-ranked in NBA), and it has a 39.1% three-point percentage (best). The Nuggets are attempting 55.2 two-pointers per game this season, which account for 64% of the shots they’ve taken (and 72.4% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 31.1 threes per contest, which are 36% of their shots (and 27.6% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the Houston Rockets

Houston is the second-worst team in the NBA in points scored (109.7 per game) and fourth-worst in points conceded (118.3). At home, the Rockets average 109.8 points per game. On the road, they score 109.6. The Rockets are posting 110.2 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.5 more than their average for the season (109.7).

In 2022-23 Houston is 22nd in the NBA in 3-point makes (10.8 per game) and worst in 3-point percentage (32.5%). The Rockets attempt 62.5% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 37.5% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 72.9% of the Rockets’ baskets are 2-pointers, and 27.1% are 3-pointers.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Rockets at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Rockets picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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