Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Tuesday, December 6, 2022

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The Denver Nuggets (14-9) are 4.5-point favorites in a matchup against with the Dallas Mavericks (12-11) on December 6, 2022, when two of the NBA’s best players — the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic and the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic — will hit the court at Ball Arena. The over/under is 222.5 points for the matchup.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Mavericks

Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -190 odds to pick up the win, while the Mavericks are listed at +160 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 222.5 points.

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Nuggets vs. Mavericks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, December 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Nuggets are 11-12-0 this year. Denver has come away with 11 wins in the 17 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season. Nuggets games this year have hit the over 11 times in 23 opportunities (47.8%).

The Mavericks have seven wins against the spread in 23 games this year. Dallas has lost all three of the games it has been the underdog on the moneyline this season. The Mavericks have gone over the point total 60.9% of the time this year (14 of 23 games with a set point total).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 20 23.2 10.1 8.9 1.3 0.6 0.8
Jamal Murray 19 17.9 3.7 4.9 0.9 0.3 2
Michael Porter Jr. 16 16.4 6 1.3 0.6 0.4 2.9
Aaron Gordon 20 16.1 6.7 2.3 0.7 0.9 1.1
Nah’Shon Hyland 15 14.1 1.9 3.3 0.6 0.3 2.7


Mavericks Leaders
Luka Dončić 22 33.4 8.5 8.5 1.8 0.7 2.8
Christian Wood 20 16.9 7.8 1.4 0.4 0.6 1.4
Spencer Dinwiddie 23 16.5 3.1 4.9 1 0.3 2.7
Tim Hardaway Jr. 22 12.6 2.5 2 0.8 0.2 2.7
Tyler Dorsey 1 9 2 0 0 0 1
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Nuggets: Peyton Watson: Questionable (Hamstring), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Questionable (Wrist), Jeff Green: Questionable (Knee), Michael Porter: Out (Heel), Collin Gillespie: Out (Lower Leg)

Mavericks: None

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver is posting 114.7 points per game (12th-ranked in NBA) this year, while giving up 113.6 points per contest (16th-ranked). In home games, the Nuggets are putting up 3.3 more points per game (116.9) than they are on the road (113.6). The Nuggets have been scoring 111.7 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 114.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign.

Denver is sinking 12.3 threes per game this season (ninth-ranked in NBA), and it owns a 39.7% three-point percentage (second-best). This year, the Nuggets have taken 64.2% two-pointers, accounting for 71.6% of the team’s buckets. They have shot 35.8% threes (28.4% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

In 2022-23, Dallas is 16th in the NBA offensively (111.5 points scored per game) and fourth-best defensively (108.4 points allowed). The Mavericks are scoring more points at home (111.8 per game) than away (111). While the Mavericks are averaging 111.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark in their last 10 games, amassing 113.5 a contest.

In 2022-23 Dallas is fourth-best in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.5 per game), and it ranks No. 14 in 3-point percentage (35.7%). In 2022-23, the Mavericks have attempted 48.6% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 51.4% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 36.9% of the Mavericks’ baskets have been 3-pointers, and 63.1% have been 2-pointers.

Our pick to win this game is the Nuggets, and we expect that Mavericks will cover the spread (Nuggets -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 222.5 points.

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Mavericks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Mavericks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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