Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Wednesday, February 15, 2023

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The Denver Nuggets (40-18) host the Dallas Mavericks (31-28) on February 15, 2023 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are favorites, by 5.5 points, in a matchup featuring a pair of the NBA’s top players, the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic and the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic. The over/under for this game is 230.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Mavericks

Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -217 odds to pick up the win, while the Mavericks are listed at +179 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 230 points.

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Nuggets vs. Mavericks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, February 15, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ALT
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

In the Nuggets’ 58 games this season, they have 31 wins against the spread. Denver has been the favorite in 44 games this season and has come away with the win 33 times (75%) in those contests. Nuggets games this year have eclipsed the over/under 47.5% of the time (28 out of 59 games with a set point total).

The Mavericks have played 59 games, with 21 wins against the spread. Dallas has compiled a 6-13 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 31.6% of those games). Mavericks games this season have hit the over 33 times in 59 opportunities (55.9%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 50 24.9 11.4 10.1 1.3 0.7 0.9
Jamal Murray 45 20.2 4.1 5.8 1 0.2 2.4
Aaron Gordon 49 17.3 6.9 2.9 0.8 0.8 1
Michael Porter Jr. 41 16.7 5.4 1 0.7 0.5 2.9
Thomas Bryant 43 11.8 6.5 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.5


Mavericks Leaders
Luka Doncic 49 33.2 8.9 8.1 1.5 0.5 2.7
Kyrie Irving 44 27.2 5.1 5.4 1 0.8 3.3
Christian Wood 47 17.8 8.1 1.7 0.5 1.2 1.7
Tim Hardaway Jr. 54 13.7 3.7 1.8 0.8 0.1 2.8
Josh Green 39 9.3 2.7 1.6 0.9 0.1 1.1
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Nuggets vs. Mavericks Injury Report

Mavericks: Reggie Bullock: Probable (Illness), Tim Hardaway: Out (Hamstring), Kyrie Irving: Questionable (Back), Christian Wood: Questionable (Illness), Davis Bertans: Out (Calf), Maximilian Kleber: Out (Hamstring)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver is sixth in the NBA with 117.1 points per game this season. At the other end of the court, it ranks 13th with 112.8 points allowed per contest. In home games, the Nuggets are scoring nine more points per game (121.4) than they are on the road (112.4). On the offensive side of the ball, the Nuggets have picked up their output a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 118.1 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 117.1 they’ve put up over the course of this year.

With a 39.3% three-point percentage this season, Denver is best in the NBA. It ranks 14th in the league by draining 12.1 threes per contest. This season, the Nuggets have taken 64.3% two-pointers, accounting for 72.5% of the team’s baskets. They have shot 35.7% from beyond the arc (27.5% of the team’s baskets).

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What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Dallas scores 113.1 points per game and allow 112.4, making them 21st in the NBA on offense and ninth on defense. At home, the Mavericks average 114 points per game. Away, they score 112.2. The Mavericks have performed better offensively over their previous 10 games, compiling 113.9 points per contest, 0.8 more than their season average of 113.1.

In 2022-23 Dallas is third-best in the NBA in 3-point makes (14.8 per game), and it ranks No. 11 in 3-point percentage (36.4%). The Mavericks take 51.3% percent of their shots from inside the arc, and 48.7% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 62.5% of the Mavericks’ buckets are 2-pointers, and 37.5% are 3-pointers.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Mavericks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Mavericks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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