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The Denver Nuggets lead 2-1 going into Game 4 of the NBA Finals. The Nuggets are 3-point favorites for the game, which goes live on ABC at 8:30 PM ET. The matchup’s point total is 211.5.
How to bet Nuggets vs. Heat
Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing the Nuggets as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -145 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +124 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the total for the game is set at 211.5 points.
Nuggets vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch
- Game Day: Friday, June 9, 2023
- Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ABC
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: FTX Arena
Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Trends
The Nuggets are 44-36-2 against the spread this season. Denver has been victorious in 43, or 70.5%, of the 61 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. The Nuggets have hit the over in 45.1% of their opportunities this year (37 times in 82 games with a set point total).
Against the spread, the Heat are 30-48-4 this year. Miami has gone 8-16 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games). Heat games this season have gone over the total in 40 of 82 opportunities (48.8%).
Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players
Nuggets
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 69 | 24.5 | 11.8 | 9.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Jamal Murray | 65 | 20 | 4 | 6.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 62 | 17.4 | 5.5 | 1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3 |
| Aaron Gordon | 68 | 16.3 | 6.6 | 3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Bruce Brown | 80 | 11.5 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
Heat
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 64 | 22.9 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Bam Adebayo | 75 | 20.4 | 9.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Max Strus | 80 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
| Kyle Lowry | 55 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 1.9 |
| Caleb Martin | 71 | 9.6 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
Nuggets vs. Heat Injury Report
Heat: Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Out (Hand)
What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets
Denver ranks 12th in the NBA with 115.8 points per game so far this year. At the other end, it ranks eighth with 112.5 points allowed per contest. The Nuggets average 119.4 points per game when playing at home, compared to 112.2 points per game in road games, a difference of 7.2 points per contest. In their last 10 games, the Nuggets have been putting up 116 points per game, an average that’s slightly higher than the 115.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.
Denver is draining 11.8 three-pointers per game this season (18th-ranked in NBA), and it owns a 37.9% three-point percentage (fourth-best). So far this season, the Nuggets have taken 63.9% two-pointers, accounting for 72.9% of the team’s buckets. They have shot 36.1% threes (27.1% of the team’s baskets).
What you need to know about the Miami Heat
Offensively Miami is the worst team in the league (109.5 points per game). But defensively it is second-best (109.8 points allowed per game). At home, the Heat score 111.4 points per game. Away, they average 107.5. In their past 10 games, the Heat are averaging 106.2 points per game, compared to their season average of 109.5.
In 2022-23 Miami is 16th in the NBA in 3-point makes (12 per game) and fourth-worst in 3-point percentage (34.4%). In 2022-23, the Heat have attempted 59.2% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 40.8% percent from beyond it. In terms of made shots, 69.5% of the Heat’s buckets have been 2-pointers, and 30.5% have been 3-pointers.
Our prediction to win this contest is the Nuggets, and we project that Heat will cover the spread (Nuggets -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 211.5 points.
You can bet on Nuggets vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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