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The Miami Heat will look to overcome the odds as 9-point underdogs for Game 1 of the NBA Finals against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Thursday, tipping off at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The over/under for the matchup is 218.5 points.
How to bet Nuggets vs. Heat
Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat Odds
Point Spread
The spread for this matchup is set at 9 points, with sportsbooks listing the Nuggets as the favorites.
Moneyline
As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -368 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +295 to claim victory.
Over/Under
Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 218.5 points.
Nuggets vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch
- Game Day: Thursday, June 1, 2023
- Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
- TV Channel: ABC
- Location: Denver, Colorado
- Arena: Ball Arena
Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Trends
The Nuggets are 44-36-2 against the spread this year. Denver has been the favorite in 61 games this season and has come away with the win 43 times (70.5%) in those contests. Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 37 of 82 set point totals.
Against the spread, the Heat are 30-48-4 this year. Miami has won eight of the 24 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%). Heat games this season have gone over the total in 40 of 82 opportunities (48.8%).
Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players
Nuggets
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 69 | 24.5 | 11.8 | 9.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Jamal Murray | 65 | 20 | 4 | 6.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 62 | 17.4 | 5.5 | 1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 3 |
| Aaron Gordon | 68 | 16.3 | 6.6 | 3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Bruce Brown | 80 | 11.5 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
Heat
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 64 | 22.9 | 5.9 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Bam Adebayo | 75 | 20.4 | 9.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Max Strus | 80 | 11.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.5 |
| Kyle Lowry | 55 | 11.2 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 1.9 |
| Caleb Martin | 71 | 9.6 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
Nuggets: None
Heat: Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Out (Hand)
What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets
Denver is posting 115.8 points per game (12th-ranked in NBA) this season, while ceding 112.5 points per contest (eighth-ranked). The Nuggets are posting 119.4 points per game this year at home, which is 7.2 more points than they’re averaging away from home (112.2). The Nuggets’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, putting up 117.5 points per contest compared to the 115.8 they’ve averaged this year.
Denver ranks fourth-best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 37.9%. It ranks 18th in the league by making 11.8 treys per contest. In terms of shot breakdown, the Nuggets have taken 63.9% two-pointers (accounting for 72.9% of the team’s baskets) and 36.1% threes (27.1%).
What you need to know about the Miami Heat
Miami is the worst squad in the league in points scored (109.5 per game) but second-best in points conceded (109.8). At home the Heat are scoring 111.4 points per game, 3.9 more than they are averaging away (107.5). Over their past 10 games, the Heat are posting 107.2 points per contest, compared to their season average of 109.5.
Beyond the arc, Miami is 16th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12). It is fourth-worst in 3-point percentage at 34.4%. In 2022-23, the Heat have taken 40.8% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 59.2% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 30.5% of the Heat’s baskets have been 3-pointers, and 69.5% have been 2-pointers.
Nuggets vs. Heat Predictions and Pick
You can bet on Nuggets vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.
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