Nuggets vs Heat Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Friday, December 30, 2022

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The Denver Nuggets (22-12) are 4.5-point favorites against the Miami Heat (18-17) on December 30, 2022 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are on a roll, going 8-2 over their past 10 games. The point total is 223.5 points in the contest.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Heat

Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -176 odds to pick up the win, while the Heat are listed at +149 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 223.5 points.

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Nuggets vs. Heat Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, December 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ALT
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Heat Betting Trends

In the Nuggets’ 34 games this season, they have 16 wins against the spread. Denver has been the favorite in 26 games this season and has come away with the win 18 times (69.2%) in those contests. Nuggets games this year have gone over the point total 45.7% of the time (16 out of 35 games with a set point total).

The Heat have 12 wins against the spread in 35 games this season. Miami has gone 3-7 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 30% of those games). Heat games this season have hit the over on 16 of 35 set point totals (45.7%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 31 25.7 10.8 9.4 1.5 0.6 0.8
Jamal Murray 28 18.3 3.9 5.7 1 0.2 2
Aaron Gordon 29 17.5 6.7 2.1 0.9 0.8 1
Michael Porter Jr. 20 16.9 6.1 1.3 0.7 0.5 2.9
Nah’Shon Hyland 26 13 2.2 3.4 0.6 0.3 2.3


Heat Leaders
Jimmy Butler 22 22 6.7 5.7 2 0.4 0.7
Tyler Herro 27 21 5.8 4.6 1 0.4 3.3
Bam Adebayo 31 20.9 9.9 3.3 0.9 0.7 0
Kyle Lowry 30 14.4 4.8 6 1.1 0.5 2.4
Max Strus 33 12.9 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 2.7
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Nuggets: Jamal Murray: Questionable (Injury Management), Bruce Brown: Questionable (Ankle), Aaron Gordon: Questionable (Shoulder), Jeff Green: Out (Hand), Collin Gillespie: Out (Lower Leg)

Heat: Nikola Jovic: Probable (Back), Caleb Martin: Questionable (Ankle), Gabe Vincent: Probable (Knee), Udonis Haslem: Questionable (Achilles), Jimmy Butler: Probable (Right Knee), Dewayne Dedmon: Out (Foot), Omer Yurtseven: Out (Ankle)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

So far this season, Denver is averaging 116.2 points per game (sixth-ranked in NBA) and ceding 114.2 points per contest (17th-ranked). The Nuggets score 118.5 points per game in home games, compared to 114.3 points per game away from home, a difference of 4.2 points per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Nuggets have increased their output slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 119.6 points per contest over that span compared to the 116.2 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.

Denver ranks second-best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 38.8%. It ranks 15th in the league by making 11.7 three-pointers per contest. Of the shots attempted by the Nuggets in 2022-23, 65.1% of them have been two-pointers (73.3% of the team’s made baskets) and 34.9% have been three-pointers (26.7%).

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What you need to know about the Miami Heat

Offensively Miami is the worst team in the NBA (108.2 points per game). However on defense it is fourth-best (108.9 points conceded per game). At home the Heat are putting up 110 points per game, 3.9 more than they are averaging on the road (106.1). The Heat have played worse offensively in their past 10 games, compiling 108.1 points per contest, 0.1 fewer points their than season average of 108.2.

Miami makes 12.4 3-pointers per game and shoots 34% from beyond the arc, ranking 12th and 24th, respectively, in the NBA. In 2022-23, the Heat have taken 42.2% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 57.8% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 31.8% of the Heat’s buckets have been 3-pointers, and 68.2% have been 2-pointers.

Nuggets vs. Heat Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Heat at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Heat picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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