Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Friday, March 3, 2023

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The Denver Nuggets (44-19) host the Memphis Grizzlies (38-23) on March 3, 2023 at Ball Arena, where the Nuggets are favored, by 5.5 points in a contest pitting one of the top offensive teams in the NBA (the Nuggets) versus one of the best defensive squads (the Grizzlies). The matchup has a 233.5 point total.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -210 odds to pick up the win, while the Grizzlies are listed at +175 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 233.5 points.

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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Betting Trends

Against the spread, the Nuggets are 35-26-2 this season. Denver has won 36, or 76.6%, of the 47 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Nuggets games this year have gone over the point total 31 times in 61 opportunities (50.8%).

In the Grizzlies’ 61 games this year, they have 29 wins against the spread. Memphis has put together a 1-11 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 8.3% of those games). Grizzlies games this season have gone over the total in 26 of 61 opportunities (42.6%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 55 24.6 11.7 10 1.3 0.7 0.8
Jamal Murray 49 20.1 4.1 6 1 0.2 2.5
Aaron Gordon 51 17 6.8 3 0.8 0.8 1
Michael Porter Jr. 46 17 5.4 1 0.7 0.5 3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 60 11.5 2.9 2.4 1.4 0.5 1.9


Grizzlies Leaders
Ja Morant 52 27.1 6 8.2 1.1 0.3 1.6
Desmond Bane 39 21.4 5.1 4.1 1 0.4 3
Jaren Jackson Jr. 44 16.7 6.6 0.8 1.1 3.3 1.5
Dillon Brooks 56 14.5 3.3 2.5 0.9 0.2 1.8
Brandon Clarke 55 10.1 5.6 1.3 0.6 0.7 0
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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Injury Report

Grizzlies: Steven Adams: Out (Knee)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver has a top-five offense this year, ranking fifth-best in the league with 117.2 points per game. Defensively, it ranks 12th with 112.8 points allowed per contest. In home games, the Nuggets are posting 9.1 more points per game (121.7) than they are when playing on the road (112.6). The Nuggets have been racking up 117.3 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little higher than the 117.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Denver ranks best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 39.2%. It ranks 13th in the league by sinking 12.2 three-pointers per contest. The Nuggets have taken 63.9% two-pointers and 36.1% threes this season. Of the team’s buckets, 72.3% are two-pointers and 27.7% are three-pointers.

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What you need to know about the Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis is ninth in the NBA in points scored (115.9 per game) and sixth in points conceded (111.6). At home, the Grizzlies average 118.4 points per game. On the road, they average 113.3. In their last 10 games, the Grizzlies are compiling 112.5 points per contest, compared to their season average of 115.9.

Memphis is 21st in the NBA in 3-pointers made (11.3 per game) and 24th in 3-point percentage (34.2%). The Grizzlies attempt 64.2% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 35.8% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 73.9% of the Grizzlies’ buckets are 2-pointers, and 26.1% are 3-pointers.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Predictions and Pick

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Grizzlies at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Grizzlies picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Austin Harper

Austin is a co-founders at Betsperts and a devoted father of 2. Born and raised in Atlanta Georgia, Austin is passionate about the Atlanta Hawks, Braves, and Falcons. Austin received his Bachelors of Science from Clemson University and gets back for Clemson football and basketball games every chance he gets!

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