Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 25, 2023

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The efficient offense of the Denver Nuggets (49-24) squares off against the strong defense of the Milwaukee Bucks (53-20) on March 25, 2023 at Ball Arena, where the Nuggets are three-point favorites. The matchup’s over/under is 237.5.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Bucks

Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Nuggets have -156 odds to pick up the win, while the Bucks are listed at +133 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 237.5 points.

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Nuggets vs. Bucks Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 25, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NBA
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Arena: Ball Arena

Nuggets vs. Bucks Betting Trends

The Nuggets have 39 wins against the spread in 73 games this year. Denver has been chosen as the favorite in 56 games this year and has walked away with the win 41 times (73.2%) in those games. Nuggets games this year have eclipsed the over/under 47.9% of the time (35 out of 73 games with a set point total).

The Bucks are 40-28-5 against the spread this season. Milwaukee is 4-9 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 30.8% of those games). Bucks games this season have hit the over on 35 of 73 set point totals (47.9%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Nuggets Leaders
Nikola Jokic 65 24.8 11.9 9.9 1.3 0.6 0.9
Jamal Murray 59 20.1 4 6.1 1 0.2 2.6
Michael Porter Jr. 56 17.3 5.4 1.1 0.7 0.5 3
Aaron Gordon 61 16.6 6.5 2.9 0.8 0.7 0.9
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 70 11 2.7 2.5 1.5 0.4 1.8


Bucks Leaders
Giannis Antetokounmpo 58 31.1 11.8 5.6 0.7 0.8 0.8
Jrue Holiday 61 19 5 7.3 1.2 0.4 2.4
Brook Lopez 71 15.6 6.7 1.3 0.5 2.5 1.8
Bobby Portis 62 13.7 9.5 1.6 0.4 0.2 1.2
Grayson Allen 67 10.8 3.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 2.1
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Nuggets vs. Bucks Injury Report

Bucks: Jae Crowder: Out (Calf), Serge Ibaka: Out (Personal), Goran Dragic: Out (Knee), Meyers Leonard: Out (Calf)

What you need to know about the Denver Nuggets

Denver is scoring 116.7 points per game (eighth-ranked in NBA) this season, while ceding 112.8 points per contest (11th-ranked). Offensively the Nuggets have fared better when playing at home this season, putting up 120.6 points per game, compared to 112.8 per game in away games. On offense, the Nuggets have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 113.2 points per contest over that span compared to the 116.7 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.

Denver is draining 12.1 threes per game this season (15th-ranked in NBA), and it owns a 38.9% three-point percentage (best). When it comes to shot breakdown, the Nuggets have taken 63.9% two-pointers (accounting for 72.4% of the team’s baskets) and 36.1% three-pointers (27.6%).

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What you need to know about the Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee puts up 116.8 points per game and give up 112.2, making them seventh in the NBA offensively and seventh defensively. At home the Bucks are scoring 119.9 points per game, 6.3 more than they are averaging on the road (113.6). The Bucks are compiling 124.9 points per contest over their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 116.8.

Milwaukee is the fourth-best team in the league in 3-pointers made (14.9 per game) and 11th in 3-point percentage (36.7%). The Bucks attempt 44.8% percent of their shots from beyond the arc, and 55.2% percent from inside it. In terms of makes, 34.9% of the Bucks’ baskets are 3-pointers, and 65.1% are 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this contest is the Nuggets, and we project that Bucks will cover the spread (Nuggets -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 237.5 points.

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You can bet on Nuggets vs. Bucks at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nuggets vs. Bucks picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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