Minnesota vs. Dallas Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Thursday, May 30, 2024

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The Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks are meeting in the Western Conference Finals, with a decisive Game 5 coming up.

The Timberwolves are a 4.5-point favorite against the Mavericks when the Timberwolves and the Mavericks meet. The matchup features a point total of 209.5.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Odds

Point Spread for Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Timberwolves as the favorite.

Minnesota vs. Dallas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Minnesota has -192 odds to win the game, while Dallas is listed at +160 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 209.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Thursday, May 30, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: TNT

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

The Timberwolves have put together a record of 40-40-2 against the spread this season. This season, Minnesota has been favored 61 times and won 46, or 75.4%, of those games. Games involving the Timberwolves have hit the over 41 times this season.

The Mavericks have gone 48-34-0 against the spread this season. Dallas has won in 12, or 38.7%, of the 31 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year. Mavericks games have gone over the total 36 times this season.

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards’ numbers for the season are 25.9 points, 5.1 assists and 5.4 boards per game. Rudy Gobert is posting 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 boards per game. Karl-Anthony Towns posts 21.8 points, 8.3 boards and 3.0 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.7 blocks. Naz Reid averages 13.5 points, 5.2 boards and 1.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocks.

Mavericks

Luka Doncic averages 33.9 points, 9.2 boards and 9.8 assists, making 48.7% of his shots from the floor and 38.2% from beyond the arc, with 4.1 triples per game (second in league). Kyrie Irving adds 25.6 points per game, plus 5.0 boards and 5.2 assists. Daniel Gafford averages 11.0 points, 7.6 boards and 1.6 assists, making 72.5% of his shots from the field (first in NBA). P.J. Washington averages 12.9 points, 5.6 boards and 1.9 assists, making 43.6% of his shots from the floor and 32.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 treys per contest.

What you need to know about the Timberwolves

The Timberwolves have been carried by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by giving up just 106.5 points per game. They rank 18th in the league in points scored (113.0 per contest). With 41.4 rebounds allowed per game, the Timberwolves rank fourth-best in the league. They rank 15th in the league by grabbing 43.6 rebounds per contest. The Timberwolves are dishing out 26.6 assists per game, which ranks them 15th in the NBA in 2023-24.

Minnesota is posting 112.0 points per game this year when playing at home, which is 2.0 fewer points than it is averaging in road games (114.0). Minnesota ranks third-best in the NBA with a three-point shooting percentage of 38.7%. It ranks 15th in the league by draining 12.6 three-pointers per contest. Minnesota ranks third-best in the NBA by ceding 11.4 three-pointers per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, it ranks sixth in the league at 35.4%.

The Timberwolves have gone 4-6 over their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Minnesota has hit the over six times. The Timberwolves have been racking up 103.8 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s much lower than the 113.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2023-24 campaign. Minnesota has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 101.7 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 106.5 it has surrendered per game this year.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

The Mavericks put up 117.9 points per game and allow 115.6, ranking them seventh in the NBA offensively and 20th defensively. With 42.9 rebounds per game and 45.1 rebounds conceded, Dallas is 21st and 25th in the league, respectively. With 25.7 assists per game, the Mavericks are 19th in the NBA.

The Mavericks average 118.7 points per game at home, and 117.0 on the road. In 2023-24 the Mavericks are third-best in the league in 3-point makes (14.6 per game), and they rank No. 13 in 3-point percentage (36.9%). Giving up 13.1 3-pointers per game and conceding 36.8% from downtown, Dallas is 18th and 18th in the league, respectively, in those categories.

The Mavericks have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Five of Dallas’ last 10 contests have gone over the total. Dallas has performed worse offensively in its previous 10 games, averaging 106.9 points per contest, 11.0 fewer points its than season average of 117.9. In their last 10 games, the Mavericks are ceding 106.1 points per game, 9.5 fewer points than their season average (115.6).

Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Timberwolves, and we expect that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Timberwolves -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 209.5 points.

How to bet Timberwolves vs. Mavericks

You can bet on Minnesota vs. Dallas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Minnesota vs. Dallas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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