Milwaukee vs. Dallas Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, November 18, 2023

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The Milwaukee Bucks (8-4) will be attempting to build on a four-game home winning streak when taking on the Dallas Mavericks (9-3) on November 18, 2023 at Fiserv Forum.

The Bucks are a slight 2-point favorite against the Mavericks. The over/under for the matchup is set at 247.

Bucks vs. Mavericks Odds

Point Spread for Bucks vs. Mavericks

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with bookmakers listing the Bucks as the favorite.

Milwaukee vs. Dallas Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Milwaukee has -130 odds to win the game, while Dallas is listed at +110 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 247 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • TV: NBA

Bucks vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

The Bucks have covered the spread in a game three times this season (3-8-1). Milwaukee has entered the game as favorites 12 times this season and won eight, or 66.7%, of those games. Bucks games have gone over the total seven times this season.

The Mavericks have compiled a 7-5-0 record against the spread this year. Dallas has split the two match ups it has played as underdogs this season. Games involving the Mavericks have hit the over 10 times this season.

Bucks vs. Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo’s numbers on the season are 24.5 points, 3.0 assists and 11.5 boards per contest. Damian Lillard averages 22.5 points, 6.0 boards and 4.5 assists per contest, shooting 34.4% from the field and 30.0% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 made 3-pointers per game. Malik Beasley’s numbers for the season are 11.5 points, 4.0 boards and 2.0 assists per game, shooting 50.0% from the field and 45.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 made 3-pointers per game. Bobby Portis posts 11.0 points, 5.0 boards and 2.0 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.0 steals and 0.5 blocks.

Mavericks

Luka Doncic gives the Mavericks 41.0 points, 11.5 boards and 8.5 assists per contest. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.0 blocks. Tim Hardaway Jr. chips in with 18.0 points per game, plus 5.0 boards and 2.5 assists. Dereck Lively II gives the Mavericks 12.5 points, 6.0 boards and 0.5 assists per contest, plus 0.5 steals and 1.0 block. Josh Green averages 9.0 points, 2.5 boards and 1.5 assists, making 41.7% of his shots from the floor and 40.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.0 treys per contest.

What you need to know about the Bucks

On offense, the Bucks are averaging 118.1 points per game (sixth-ranked in league). They are giving up 116.2 points per contest on defense (23rd-ranked). It’s been a difficult stretch for the Bucks in terms of rebounding, as they are tallying just 41.6 boards per game (fourth-worst in NBA) and ceding 46.5 rebounds per contest (fifth-worst). The Bucks haven’t put up many dimes this season, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA with 23.5 assists per game.

In home games, Milwaukee is posting 3.5 fewer points per game (116.3) than it is when playing on the road (119.8). With a 38.2% three-point percentage this season, Milwaukee ranks fifth-best in the NBA. It ranks sixth in the league by draining 14.5 treys per contest. With 12.6 treys conceded per game, Milwaukee ranks 17th in the NBA. It is giving up a 35.0% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks ninth in the league.

What you need to know about the Mavericks

Offensively, the Mavericks are the second-best squad in the league (123.4 points per game). Defensively, they are 25th (118.7 points conceded per game). At 42.1 rebounds per game and 45.8 rebounds conceded, Dallas is 22nd and 22nd in the league, respectively. At 25.9 assists per game, the Mavericks are 12th in the league.

The Mavericks are scoring more points at home (124.6 per game) than on the road (122.6). In 2023-24 the Mavericks are best in the NBA in 3-point makes (17.2 per game), and best in 3-point percentage (39.5%). Giving up 12.3 3-pointers per game and conceding 36.3% from beyond the arc, Dallas is 12th and 19th in the NBA, respectively, in those categories.

Bucks vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Bucks, and we expect that Bucks will cover the spread (Bucks -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 247 points.

How to bet Bucks vs. Mavericks

You can bet on Milwaukee vs. Dallas at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Milwaukee vs. Dallas picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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