Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, December 21, 2022

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The Dallas Mavericks (15-16) square off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (16-15) as 3.5-point favorites on Wednesday, December 21, 2022 at 8:00 PM ET on BSSW. The over/under for the matchup is set at 230 points.

How to bet Mavericks vs. Timberwolves

Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Mavericks as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the moneyline, the Mavericks have -154 odds to pick up the win, while the Timberwolves are listed at +131 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 230 points.

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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, December 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSW
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Target Center

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

In the Mavericks’ 31 games this season, they have 10 wins against the spread. Dallas has won 14, or 58.3%, of the 24 contests in which it was the favorite this year. Mavericks games this year have gone over the point total 58.1% of the time (18 out of 31 games with a set point total).

The Timberwolves have played 31 games, with 13 wins against the spread. Minnesota has put together a 5-8 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 38.5% of those games). Timberwolves games this season have hit the over on 13 of 31 set point totals (41.9%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players

Mavericks

Mavericks Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Luka Doncic 28 32.5 8.3 8.6 1.6 0.6 2.9
Christian Wood 28 17.4 8.2 1.4 0.5 0.7 1.6
Spencer Dinwiddie 30 16.6 3.3 5.3 1 0.3 2.7
Kemba Walker 4 15 3 4.3 0 0.5 1.5
Tim Hardaway Jr. 29 13.1 2.7 1.7 1 0.1 2.7

Timberwolves

Timberwolves Leaders
Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Anthony Edwards 31 23 6.1 4.5 1.8 0.4 2.6
D’Angelo Russell 29 16.8 3 6.3 1.2 0.5 2.4
Rudy Gobert 26 14.1 12.2 0.9 0.9 1.2 0
Jaylen Nowell 31 11.7 2.9 2.1 0.6 0.1 1.2
Jaden McDaniels 28 10.9 3.5 1.5 1.1 1.2 1.1
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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Injury Report

Timberwolves: Rudy Gobert: Questionable (Ankle), Kyle Anderson: Questionable (Back), Jordan McLaughlin: Out (Calf), Karl-Anthony Towns: Out (Calf), Taurean Prince: Out (Shoulder), Eric Paschall: Out (Ankle)

What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Dallas is posting 111.2 points per game (20th-ranked in NBA) this year, while ceding 109.8 points per contest (sixth-ranked). Offensively the Mavericks have played better in home games this year, averaging 111.8 points per game, compared to 110.4 per game when playing on the road. In their last 10 games, the Mavericks have been racking up 113.3 points per game, an average that’s slightly higher than the 111.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 season.

Dallas sports a 36% three-point percentage this year (14th-ranked in NBA), but it has really thrived by draining 14.9 three-pointers per contest (third-best). The Mavericks are attempting 42 two-pointers per game this year, which account for 50.3% of the shots they’ve taken (and 61.6% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, they are attempting 41.5 threes per contest, which are 49.7% of their shots (and 38.4% of the team’s buckets).

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What you need to know about the Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota is seventh in the league in points scored (115.5 per game) and 23rd in points conceded (115.9). In 2022-23 the Timberwolves are scoring 5.5 more points per game at home (118.1) than on the road (112.6). The Timberwolves have fared better offensively in their previous 10 games, scoring 117.2 points per contest, 1.7 more than their season average of 115.5.

With 11.2 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34.4% from downtown, Minnesota is 21st and 21st in the NBA, respectively, in those categories. In 2022-23, the Timberwolves have attempted 37.5% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line, and 62.5% percent from inside it. In terms of made shots, 26.3% of the Timberwolves’ buckets have been 3-pointers, and 73.7% have been 2-pointers.

Our prediction to win this contest is the Mavericks, and we expect that Timberwolves will cover the spread (Mavericks -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 230 points.

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You can bet on Mavericks vs. Timberwolves at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mavericks vs. Timberwolves picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Luis Escalante

Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014 and is currently the Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. Luis comes from an analytics background, leveraging his data skills with multiple years of experience in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting.

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