Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Monday, December 12, 2022

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The Dallas Mavericks (13-13) are favorites (-8.5) in their contest with the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-15) at American Airlines Center on December 12, 2022, which will see a pair of the league’s biggest stars — the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic and the Thunder’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — on display. The matchup has a 228.5 point total.

How to bet Mavericks vs. Thunder

Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with oddsmakers listing the Mavericks as the favorites.


As for the moneyline, the Mavericks have -352 odds to pick up the win, while the Thunder are listed at +279 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 228.5 points.

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Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, December 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSW
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • Arena: American Airlines Center

Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

In the Mavericks’ 26 games this season, they have eight wins against the spread. Dallas has been victorious in 12, or 60%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season. The Mavericks have hit the over in 61.5% of their opportunities this year (16 times in 26 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, the Thunder are 15-11-0 this year. Oklahoma City has won nine of the 20 games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (45%). Thunder games this season have gone over the total in 15 of 26 opportunities (57.7%).

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Potential Starting Lineups and Key Players


Mavericks Leaders
Luka Dončić 24 32.9 8.5 8.8 1.8 0.7 2.8
Christian Wood 23 16.8 7.8 1.4 0.4 0.6 1.4
Spencer Dinwiddie 26 16.7 3.2 5.1 1 0.3 2.6
Tim Hardaway Jr. 25 13 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.2 2.8
Tyler Dorsey 1 9 2 0 0 0 1


Thunder Leaders
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 24 30.8 4.6 5.9 1.7 1.1 1
Josh Giddey 23 14.7 7.9 5.4 0.7 0.5 1
Luguentz Dort 25 13.9 4.5 2.3 1.1 0.4 1.7
Jalen Williams 22 10.6 3.1 2.5 0.7 0.3 0.7
Aleksej Pokusevski 23 9.6 5.2 1.9 0.6 1.5 1.3
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Mavericks: Josh Green: Out (Elbow), Luka Dončić: Probable (Quadricep), Maxi Kleber: Questionable (Foot)

Thunder: Kenrich Williams: Questionable (Knee), Chet Holmgren: Out (Foot)

What you need to know about the Dallas Mavericks

Dallas owns a top-five defense this year, ranking fifth-best in the league with 110 points allowed per game. Offensively, it ranks 18th with 111.5 points scored per contest. The Mavericks are averaging 111.4 points per game when playing at home. In away games, they are faring better offensively, averaging 111.8 points per contest. The Mavericks have been putting up 115.5 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly higher than the 111.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign.

Dallas ranks fifth-best in the NBA by making 14.4 three-pointers per game. In terms of three-point percentage, it ranks 16th in the league at 35.5%. Of the shots taken by the Mavericks in 2022-23, 51.5% of them have been two-pointers (63.4% of the team’s made baskets) and 48.5% have been threes (36.6%).

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What you need to know about the Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City is eighth in the NBA in points scored (115.8 per game) and second-worst in points allowed (117.6). In 2022-23 the Thunder are scoring 5.5 more points per game at home (119) than on the road (113.5). Over their last 10 games, the Thunder are posting 115.3 points per contest, 0.5 fewer points than their season average (115.8).

With 11.6 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 34% from beyond the arc, Oklahoma City is 18th and 20th in the league, respectively, in those categories. The Thunder take 63.9% percent of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 36.1% percent from beyond it. In terms of makes, 73.3% of the Thunder’s buckets are 2-pointers, and 26.7% are 3-pointers.

Our prediction to win this matchup is the Mavericks, and we project that Thunder will cover the spread (Mavericks -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 228.5 points.

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You can bet on Mavericks vs. Thunder at every legal online sportsbook. For more NBA odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals as well as NBA prop odds, check out the latest NBA lines as well as our guide to the best NBA betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mavericks vs. Thunder picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Smullen

Hailing all the way from Dublin, Ireland, Dan Smullen has BSC. in the Sports and Exercise Sciences from the University of Limerick. He is data obsessed. In the past he has worked both as a video performance analyst and provided biometric performance testing and analysis for professional rugby teams. Dan is obsessed about helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis. He has worked with over 200 journalists at multiple editorial teams in his previous role as Head of Search for the largest national news publisher in Ireland.

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